Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.10
assuming max odds 3.73
assuming max odds 3.70
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pumas (Local): 45.88%; Atlético San Luis (Visit): 27.85%; Draw: 26.28%. For Atlético San Luis (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.59. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.73, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.86%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.53%EV -5.49%E -2.67%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.69%EV +3.86%E +1.04%K +1.42%G +0.055% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.78%EV -9.35%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-27 17:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -11.00%E -5.67%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV +0.244%E +0.068%K +0.094%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-27 17:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -11.00%E -5.67%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV +0.244%E +0.068%K +0.094%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-27 17:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.86%EV -11.91%E -6.20%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -1.15%E -0.324%K -0.450%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.03%E -2.30%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-27 17:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.86%EV -11.91%E -6.20%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -1.15%E -0.324%K -0.450%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.03%E -2.30%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-27 17:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.86%EV -11.91%E -6.20%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -1.15%E -0.324%K -0.450%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.03%E -2.30%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-27 17:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.86%EV -11.91%E -6.20%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -1.15%E -0.324%K -0.450%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.03%E -2.30%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-27 17:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.86%EV -11.91%E -6.20%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -1.15%E -0.324%K -0.450%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.03%E -2.30%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-27 17:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.86%EV -11.91%E -6.20%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -1.15%E -0.324%K -0.450%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.03%E -2.30%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-27 17:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.43%EV -13.29%E -7.03%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.78%EV -1.15%E -0.324%K -0.450%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.78%EV -6.72%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-27 17:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.45%EV -4.57%E -2.20%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.37%EV -1.71%E -0.483%K -0.674%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.18%EV -3.04%E -0.824%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-27 17:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.45%EV -4.57%E -2.20%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.44%EV -1.98%E -0.564%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.11%EV -2.78%E -0.751%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-27 17:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.45%EV -4.57%E -2.20%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.44%EV -1.98%E -0.564%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.11%EV -2.78%E -0.751%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-27 17:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -8.24%E -4.12%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -2.54%E -0.726%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-27 17:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -11.45%E -5.94%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -2.54%E -0.726%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.03%E -2.30%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-27 17:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.22%EV -5.95%E -2.90%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.46%EV -3.93%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-27 17:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.67%EV -13.75%E -7.31%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.98%EV -3.93%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.36%EV -10.66%E -3.14%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-27 17:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.67%EV -13.75%E -7.31%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.98%EV -3.93%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.36%EV -10.66%E -3.14%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-27 17:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.67%EV -13.75%E -7.31%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.98%EV -3.93%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.36%EV -10.66%E -3.14%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-27 17:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.88%EV -4.57%E -2.20%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.90%EV -4.77%E -1.39%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.22%EV -4.36%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-27 17:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.95%E -2.90%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.33%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-27 17:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.95%E -2.90%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.33%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.03%E -2.30%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-27 17:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.95%E -2.90%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.33%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.03%E -2.30%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-27 17:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.48%EV -9.16%E -4.63%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -5.33%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.45%EV -8.56%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-27 17:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -15.12%E -8.18%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -5.33%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -10.66%E -3.14%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-27 17:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.84%EV -5.95%E -2.90%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -6.72%E -2.01%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-27 17:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -7.33%E -3.63%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -6.72%E -2.01%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -9.35%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-27 17:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -7.33%E -3.63%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -6.72%E -2.01%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -9.35%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-27 17:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.95%E -2.90%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -8.11%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-27 17:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.95%E -2.90%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -8.11%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-27 17:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.95%E -2.90%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -8.11%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-27 17:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -5.95%E -2.90%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.11%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -10.66%E -3.14%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-27 17:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.24%E -4.12%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -8.11%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.66%E -3.14%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-27 17:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 47.63%EV -17.42%E -9.68%K -21.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.98%EV -8.11%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.38%EV -14.60%E -4.49%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-09-27 17:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.76%EV -4.57%E -2.20%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -9.50%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -8.03%E -2.30%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-27 17:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.83%EV -8.24%E -4.12%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -9.50%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -14.60%E -4.49%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-27 17:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -3.66%E -1.74%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -8.03%E -2.30%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-27 17:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -8.24%E -4.12%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-27 17:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -10.54%E -5.40%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -8.03%E -2.30%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-27 17:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -8.24%E -4.12%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -13.29%E -4.03%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-27 17:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.71%EV -5.95%E -2.90%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -12.29%E -3.90%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.03%E -2.30%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-27 17:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.51%EV -11.45%E -5.94%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.88%EV -12.29%E -3.90%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.61%EV -13.29%E -4.03%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-27 17:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -5.95%E -2.90%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -13.68%E -4.41%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -13.29%E -4.03%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-27 17:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -12.37%E -6.48%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -13.68%E -4.41%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-27 17:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -8.24%E -4.12%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -13.68%E -4.41%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -14.60%E -4.49%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-27 17:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -8.24%E -4.12%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -13.68%E -4.41%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -14.60%E -4.49%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-27 17:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -8.24%E -4.12%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -13.68%E -4.41%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -14.60%E -4.49%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-27 17:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -8.24%E -4.12%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -13.68%E -4.41%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -14.60%E -4.49%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-27 17:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.92%EV -10.54%E -5.40%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 28.53%EV -14.51%E -4.73%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.54%EV -13.29%E -4.03%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-09-27 17:55 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.36% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46% | 0.8% | 2026-09-27 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.36% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46% | 0.8% | 2026-09-27 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.36% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46% | 0.8% | 2026-09-27 17:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.36% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46% | 0.8% | 2026-09-27 17:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.20% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72% | 1.2% | 2026-09-27 17:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.03% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.47% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50% | 2.0% | 2026-09-27 17:50 |