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Pumas v Atlético San Luis

2026-09-27 18:00 UTC — Liga MX

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pumas (Local)

Prediction 47.78%2.09fair odd
EV -4.44%
Edge -2.22%
Kelly -4.44%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.56%47.61%47.85%48.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.921.912.0056.18%52.18%52.36%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Atlético San Luis (Visit)

Prediction 26.26%3.81fair odd
EV -3.89%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -1.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.66

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.61%26.44%26.17%28.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.473.453.6632.26%28.83%28.99%27.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.96%3.85fair odd
EV -2.64%
Edge -0.705%
Kelly -0.962%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.14%25.95%25.98%27.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.513.553.7530.77%28.50%28.17%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Pumas (Local): 47.78%; Atlético San Luis (Visit): 26.26%; Draw: 25.96%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.85. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.75, with an expected value of -2.64%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -4.44%E -2.22%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -10.72%E -3.15%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -2.64%E -0.705%K -0.962%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-20 18:24
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -4.44%E -2.22%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -10.72%E -3.15%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.94%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-20 18:29
SportsBet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.29%EV -4.92%E -2.47%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -9.40%E -2.73%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.43%EV -3.94%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 18:24
Pinnacle🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.40%E -2.73%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.98%EV -3.89%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.98%EV -4.98%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-20 21:49
GTbets🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.92%EV -5.88%E -2.98%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.15%EV -5.20%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.93%EV -5.50%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-21 00:10
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.83%E -3.50%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-20 18:39
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -6.83%E -3.50%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV -6.78%E -1.91%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV -7.84%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-20 18:48
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -6.83%E -3.50%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -14.66%E -4.51%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-20 18:24
1xBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.81%EV -7.31%E -3.77%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.06%EV -6.52%E -1.83%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -7.84%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-20 21:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -7.79%E -4.03%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -4.15%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 18:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -7.79%E -4.03%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -4.15%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 18:19
betano_uk🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.90%EV -7.79%E -4.03%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-21 00:09
Bet Victor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.90%EV -7.79%E -4.03%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-21 00:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -7.79%E -4.03%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-20 18:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.00%EV -8.26%E -4.30%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.04%EV -7.04%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -7.84%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-20 21:50
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -8.26%E -4.30%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.40%E -2.73%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 21:49
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -8.26%E -4.30%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.40%E -2.73%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 21:49
LeoVegas🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.33%EV -8.26%E -4.30%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -9.40%E -2.73%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -10.43%E -3.02%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-20 18:19
Unibet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.17%EV -8.74%E -4.58%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -6.78%E -1.91%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -7.84%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 18:44
Grosvenor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.17%EV -8.74%E -4.58%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -6.78%E -1.91%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -7.84%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 18:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.17%EV -8.74%E -4.58%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -6.78%E -1.91%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -7.84%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 18:45
Casumo🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.17%EV -8.74%E -4.58%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -6.78%E -1.91%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -7.84%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 18:45
BetRivers🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.17%EV -8.74%E -4.58%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -6.78%E -1.91%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -7.84%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 18:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.17%EV -8.74%E -4.58%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -6.78%E -1.91%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -7.84%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 18:44
betPARX🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.17%EV -8.74%E -4.58%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -6.78%E -1.91%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -7.84%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 18:44
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -8.74%E -4.58%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -13.34%E -4.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-20 18:29
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.52%EV -8.74%E -4.58%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -10.72%E -3.15%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -15.63%E -4.81%K -6.94%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-20 19:14
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.52%EV -8.74%E -4.58%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -10.72%E -3.15%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -15.63%E -4.81%K -6.94%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-20 19:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.52%EV -8.74%E -4.58%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -10.72%E -3.15%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -15.63%E -4.81%K -6.94%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-20 19:14
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.52%EV -8.74%E -4.58%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -10.72%E -3.15%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -15.63%E -4.81%K -6.94%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-20 19:19
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 45.56%EV -8.74%E -4.58%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.07%EV -18.60%E -6.00%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.37%EV -14.33%E -4.34%K -6.23%G +0.000%14.9%2026-09-20 18:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.98%EV -10.65%E -5.70%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -9.40%E -2.73%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -10.43%E -3.02%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-20 18:44
TABtouch🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.98%EV -10.65%E -5.70%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -9.40%E -2.73%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -10.43%E -3.02%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-20 18:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.98%EV -10.65%E -5.70%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -9.40%E -2.73%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -10.43%E -3.02%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-20 18:44
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.24%EV -10.65%E -5.70%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -13.34%E -4.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -11.73%E -3.45%K -4.89%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-20 18:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.07%EV -11.61%E -6.27%K -13.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.78%EV -9.40%E -2.73%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.16%EV -11.73%E -3.45%K -4.89%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-20 18:44
Betclic (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 47.94%EV -12.56%E -6.87%K -15.14%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.03%EV -11.51%E -3.41%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.03%EV -12.51%E -3.71%K -5.28%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-20 18:24
PMU (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 48.10%EV -14.95%E -8.40%K -19.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.95%EV -13.34%E -4.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.95%EV -14.33%E -4.34%K -6.23%G +0.000%16.8%2026-09-20 18:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-09-21 00:05
Smarkets◎1.83I 54.64%NM 46.84%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.79%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.37%16.7%2026-09-20 18:39