Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Pumas v Atlético San Luis

2026-09-27 18:00 UTC — Liga MX

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Pumas (Local)

Prévision 47.78%2.09cote équitable
EV -4.44%
Avantage -2.22%
Kelly -4.44%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.56%47.61%47.85%48.43%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.781.921.912.0056.18%52.18%52.36%50.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Atlético San Luis (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.26%3.81cote équitable
EV -3.89%
Avantage -1.06%
Kelly -1.46%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.66

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.61%26.44%26.17%28.07%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.473.453.6632.26%28.83%28.99%27.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.96%3.85cote équitable
EV -2.64%
Avantage -0.705%
Kelly -0.962%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.14%25.95%25.98%27.34%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.513.553.7530.77%28.50%28.17%26.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Pumas (Local) : 47.78% ; Atlético San Luis (Visiteur) : 26.26% ; Match nul : 25.96%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 3.85. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 3.75, pour une espérance de -2.64% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -4.44%E -2.22%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -10.72%E -3.15%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -2.64%E -0.705%K -0.962%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-20 18:24
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -4.44%E -2.22%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -10.72%E -3.15%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.94%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-20 18:29
SportsBet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.29%EV -4.92%E -2.47%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -9.40%E -2.73%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.43%EV -3.94%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 18:24
Pinnacle🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.40%E -2.73%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.98%EV -3.89%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.98%EV -4.98%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-20 21:49
GTbets🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.92%EV -5.88%E -2.98%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.15%EV -5.20%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.93%EV -5.50%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-21 00:10
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.83%E -3.50%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-20 18:39
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -6.83%E -3.50%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV -6.78%E -1.91%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV -7.84%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-20 18:48
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -6.83%E -3.50%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -14.66%E -4.51%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-20 18:24
1xBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.81%EV -7.31%E -3.77%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.06%EV -6.52%E -1.83%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -7.84%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-20 21:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -7.79%E -4.03%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -4.15%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 18:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -7.79%E -4.03%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -4.15%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 18:19
betano_uk🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.90%EV -7.79%E -4.03%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-21 00:09
Bet Victor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.90%EV -7.79%E -4.03%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-21 00:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -7.79%E -4.03%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-20 18:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.00%EV -8.26%E -4.30%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.04%EV -7.04%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -7.84%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-20 21:50
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -8.26%E -4.30%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.40%E -2.73%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 21:49
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -8.26%E -4.30%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.40%E -2.73%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 21:49
LeoVegas🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.33%EV -8.26%E -4.30%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -9.40%E -2.73%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -10.43%E -3.02%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-20 18:19
Unibet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.17%EV -8.74%E -4.58%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -6.78%E -1.91%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -7.84%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 18:44
Grosvenor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.17%EV -8.74%E -4.58%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -6.78%E -1.91%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -7.84%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 18:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.17%EV -8.74%E -4.58%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -6.78%E -1.91%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -7.84%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 18:45
Casumo🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.17%EV -8.74%E -4.58%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -6.78%E -1.91%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -7.84%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 18:45
BetRivers🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.17%EV -8.74%E -4.58%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -6.78%E -1.91%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -7.84%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 18:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.17%EV -8.74%E -4.58%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -6.78%E -1.91%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -7.84%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 18:44
betPARX🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.17%EV -8.74%E -4.58%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -6.78%E -1.91%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -7.84%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 18:44
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -8.74%E -4.58%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -13.34%E -4.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -6.54%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-20 18:29
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.52%EV -8.74%E -4.58%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -10.72%E -3.15%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -15.63%E -4.81%K -6.94%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-20 19:14
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.52%EV -8.74%E -4.58%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -10.72%E -3.15%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -15.63%E -4.81%K -6.94%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-20 19:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.52%EV -8.74%E -4.58%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -10.72%E -3.15%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -15.63%E -4.81%K -6.94%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-20 19:14
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.52%EV -8.74%E -4.58%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -10.72%E -3.15%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -15.63%E -4.81%K -6.94%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-20 19:19
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 45.56%EV -8.74%E -4.58%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.07%EV -18.60%E -6.00%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.37%EV -14.33%E -4.34%K -6.23%G +0.000%14.9%2026-09-20 18:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.98%EV -10.65%E -5.70%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -9.40%E -2.73%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -10.43%E -3.02%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-20 18:44
TABtouch🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.98%EV -10.65%E -5.70%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -9.40%E -2.73%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -10.43%E -3.02%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-20 18:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.98%EV -10.65%E -5.70%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -9.40%E -2.73%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -10.43%E -3.02%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-20 18:44
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.24%EV -10.65%E -5.70%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -13.34%E -4.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -11.73%E -3.45%K -4.89%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-20 18:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.07%EV -11.61%E -6.27%K -13.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.78%EV -9.40%E -2.73%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.16%EV -11.73%E -3.45%K -4.89%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-20 18:44
Betclic (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 47.94%EV -12.56%E -6.87%K -15.14%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.03%EV -11.51%E -3.41%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.03%EV -12.51%E -3.71%K -5.28%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-20 18:24
PMU (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 48.10%EV -14.95%E -8.40%K -19.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.95%EV -13.34%E -4.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.95%EV -14.33%E -4.34%K -6.23%G +0.000%16.8%2026-09-20 18:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (2)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-09-21 00:05
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 46.84%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.79%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.37%16.7%2026-09-20 18:39