Language:English
Pumas v América
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Pumas (Local)
Prediction 34.19%2.92fair odd
EV +2.58%
Edge +0.860%
Kelly +1.29%
Growth +0.033%
assuming max odds 3.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.37%34.01%34.29%35.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.752.723.0040.00%36.37%36.76%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
América (Visit)
Prediction 37.98%2.63fair odd
EV -1.63%
Edge -0.630%
Kelly -1.03%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.59
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.01%38.13%37.85%40.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.182.382.382.5945.87%42.07%42.02%38.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.83%3.59fair odd
EV -3.72%
Edge -1.07%
Kelly -1.51%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.46
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.89%27.86%27.86%29.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.273.303.4634.72%30.54%30.30%28.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pumas (Local): 34.19%; América (Visit): 37.98%; Draw: 27.83%. For Pumas (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.92. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.58%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV +2.58%E +0.860%K +1.29%G +0.033% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -10.75%E -4.57%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -5.39%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 15:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV +2.58%E +0.860%K +1.29%G +0.033% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -10.75%E -4.57%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -5.39%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 15:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.83%EV +1.90%E +0.636%K +0.957%G +0.018% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.85%EV -9.61%E -4.04%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.31%EV -6.78%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 23:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV +0.870%E +0.295%K +0.446%G +0.004% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -12.65%E -5.50%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-22 03:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV +0.870%E +0.295%K +0.446%G +0.004% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -12.65%E -5.50%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-22 03:02 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV +0.870%E +0.295%K +0.446%G +0.004% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -12.65%E -5.50%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-22 03:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV +0.870%E +0.295%K +0.446%G +0.004% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -12.65%E -5.50%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-22 03:03 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV +0.870%E +0.295%K +0.446%G +0.004% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -12.65%E -5.50%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-22 03:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV +0.870%E +0.295%K +0.446%G +0.004% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -12.65%E -5.50%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-22 03:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV +0.870%E +0.295%K +0.446%G +0.004% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.59%EV -13.41%E -5.88%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-21 15:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -0.840%E -0.290%K -0.442%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.20%EV -13.41%E -5.88%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -9.56%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-22 03:03 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.58%EV -1.52%E -0.529%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.43%EV -14.55%E -6.46%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -9.56%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-22 03:02 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.58%EV -1.52%E -0.529%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.43%EV -14.55%E -6.46%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -9.56%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-22 03:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.56%EV -2.55%E -0.895%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.33%EV -15.31%E -6.86%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -10.95%E -3.42%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-22 03:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.04%EV -2.89%E -1.02%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.77%EV -2.77%E -1.08%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 28.19%EV -4.55%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-22 02:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.04%EV -2.89%E -1.02%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.77%EV -2.77%E -1.08%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 28.19%EV -4.55%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-22 02:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.60%EV -4.26%E -1.52%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.40%EV -1.63%E -0.630%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 28.00%EV -3.72%E -1.07%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-22 03:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.51%EV -4.26%E -1.52%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.48%EV -17.20%E -7.89%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.01%EV -12.34%E -3.92%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-22 03:03 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.63%EV -5.28%E -1.91%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.81%EV -8.85%E -3.69%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.56%EV -5.94%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-22 02:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -5.97%E -2.17%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -5.05%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.39%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-22 02:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -5.97%E -2.17%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.05%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -6.78%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-22 02:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -5.97%E -2.17%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.95%E -2.84%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.39%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-22 02:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV -5.97%E -2.17%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -6.95%E -2.84%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -6.78%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-22 02:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -5.97%E -2.17%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.85%E -3.69%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -5.39%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-22 02:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -5.97%E -2.17%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.85%E -3.69%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-22 03:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.29%EV -6.99%E -2.57%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.01%EV -4.29%E -1.70%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -9.56%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-22 02:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.29%EV -6.99%E -2.57%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.01%EV -4.29%E -1.70%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -9.56%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-22 03:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.68%E -2.84%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.83%EV -6.57%E -2.67%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.70%EV -6.50%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-22 02:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.68%E -2.84%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -8.85%E -3.69%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -5.39%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-22 02:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.68%E -2.84%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -6.95%E -2.84%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-22 03:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -7.68%E -2.84%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -10.75%E -4.57%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-22 02:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 34.43%EV -8.02%E -2.98%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.50%EV -6.19%E -2.51%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-22 02:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.93%EV -9.39%E -3.54%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -5.05%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-22 02:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -9.39%E -3.54%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -8.85%E -3.69%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -5.39%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-22 02:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -9.39%E -3.54%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -6.95%E -2.84%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-22 03:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.26%EV -9.39%E -3.54%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -10.75%E -4.57%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -6.78%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-22 03:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -9.39%E -3.54%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -8.85%E -3.69%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -9.56%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-22 02:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -10.41%E -3.97%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -5.05%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -5.39%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-22 03:03 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.51%EV -10.41%E -3.97%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.67%EV -8.85%E -3.69%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.56%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-22 02:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.95%EV -10.41%E -3.97%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.68%EV -12.65%E -5.50%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -9.56%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-22 02:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.95%EV -10.41%E -3.97%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.68%EV -12.65%E -5.50%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -9.56%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-22 02:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.62%EV -10.41%E -3.97%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.01%EV -9.61%E -4.04%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.36%EV -16.52%E -5.51%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-22 03:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.62%EV -10.41%E -3.97%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.01%EV -9.61%E -4.04%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.36%EV -16.52%E -5.51%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-22 03:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.62%EV -10.41%E -3.97%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.01%EV -9.61%E -4.04%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.36%EV -16.52%E -5.51%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-22 03:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.62%EV -10.41%E -3.97%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.01%EV -9.61%E -4.04%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.36%EV -16.52%E -5.51%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-22 03:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.55%EV -10.41%E -3.97%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 38.72%EV -13.79%E -6.07%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 27.73%EV -11.79%E -3.72%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-22 02:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.42%EV -11.10%E -4.27%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -9.61%E -4.04%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.97%EV -10.95%E -3.42%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-22 02:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.70%EV -11.10%E -4.27%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 37.78%EV -14.55%E -6.46%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.52%EV -19.86%E -6.89%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 17.6% | 2026-03-22 03:03 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.27%EV -12.81%E -5.02%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.84%EV -14.55%E -6.46%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.89%EV -9.56%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-22 03:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 34.10%EV -13.83%E -5.49%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.19%EV -14.55%E -6.46%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.72%EV -13.74%E -4.43%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-03-22 03:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.47%EV -14.52%E -5.81%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.25%EV -9.61%E -4.04%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.28%EV -9.56%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-22 02:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.65% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.82% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.53% | 0.9% | 2026-03-22 03:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.55% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.00% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45% | 1.2% | 2026-03-22 03:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.55% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.00% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45% | 1.2% | 2026-03-22 02:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.55% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.00% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45% | 1.2% | 2026-03-22 02:59 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.42% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.86% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.73% | 1.6% | 2026-03-22 03:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.91% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.88% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.21% | 3.1% | 2026-03-22 03:05 |