La escuela de los momios

Pumas v América

Inicio: 2026-03-22 03:10 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Pumas (Local)

Predicción 34.19%2.92momio equitativo
EV +2.58%
Ventaja +0.860%
Kelly +1.29%
Crecimiento +0.033%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.37%34.01%34.29%35.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.752.723.0040.00%36.37%36.76%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

América (Visitante)

Predicción 37.98%2.63momio equitativo
EV -1.63%
Ventaja -0.630%
Kelly -1.03%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.59

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.01%38.13%37.85%40.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.182.382.382.5945.87%42.07%42.02%38.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.83%3.59momio equitativo
EV -3.72%
Ventaja -1.07%
Kelly -1.51%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.46

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.89%27.86%27.86%29.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.273.303.4634.72%30.54%30.30%28.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
ATG (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV +2.58%E +0.860%K +1.29%G +0.033%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -10.75%E -4.57%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -5.39%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 15:25
Svenska Spel3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV +2.58%E +0.860%K +1.29%G +0.033%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -10.75%E -4.57%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -5.39%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 15:25
Coolbet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.83%EV +1.90%E +0.636%K +0.957%G +0.018%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.85%EV -9.61%E -4.04%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.31%EV -6.78%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 23:59
Unibet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV +0.870%E +0.295%K +0.446%G +0.004%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -12.65%E -5.50%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 03:05
Grosvenor2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV +0.870%E +0.295%K +0.446%G +0.004%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -12.65%E -5.50%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 03:02
Unibet (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV +0.870%E +0.295%K +0.446%G +0.004%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -12.65%E -5.50%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 03:04
Unibet (NL)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV +0.870%E +0.295%K +0.446%G +0.004%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -12.65%E -5.50%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 03:03
Casumo2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV +0.870%E +0.295%K +0.446%G +0.004%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -12.65%E -5.50%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 03:04
betPARX2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV +0.870%E +0.295%K +0.446%G +0.004%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -12.65%E -5.50%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 03:04
BetRivers2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV +0.870%E +0.295%K +0.446%G +0.004%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.59%EV -13.41%E -5.88%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 15:25
TABtouch2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -0.840%E -0.290%K -0.442%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.20%EV -13.41%E -5.88%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -9.56%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 03:03
LeoVegas (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.58%EV -1.52%E -0.529%K -0.810%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.43%EV -14.55%E -6.46%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -9.56%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-22 03:02
LiveScore Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 31.58%EV -1.52%E -0.529%K -0.810%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.43%EV -14.55%E -6.46%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -9.56%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-22 03:04
Virgin Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 31.56%EV -2.55%E -0.895%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.33%EV -15.31%E -6.86%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -10.95%E -3.42%K -4.98%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-22 03:04
BetOnline.ag2.84I 35.21%NM 34.04%EV -2.89%E -1.02%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.77%EV -2.77%E -1.08%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.19%EV -4.55%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-22 02:59
LowVig.ag2.84I 35.21%NM 34.04%EV -2.89%E -1.02%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.77%EV -2.77%E -1.08%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.19%EV -4.55%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-22 02:59
Pinnacle2.80I 35.71%NM 34.60%EV -4.26%E -1.52%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.40%EV -1.63%E -0.630%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 28.00%EV -3.72%E -1.07%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-22 03:04
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 31.51%EV -4.26%E -1.52%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.48%EV -17.20%E -7.89%K -14.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.01%EV -12.34%E -3.92%K -5.74%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-22 03:03
GTbets2.77I 36.10%NM 33.63%EV -5.28%E -1.91%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.81%EV -8.85%E -3.69%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.56%EV -5.94%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-22 02:49
DraftKings2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -5.97%E -2.17%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -5.05%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.39%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-22 02:59
BetUS2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -5.97%E -2.17%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.05%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -6.78%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 02:59
FanDuel2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -5.97%E -2.17%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.95%E -2.84%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.39%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 02:59
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV -5.97%E -2.17%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -6.95%E -2.84%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -6.78%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 02:59
BetMGM2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -5.97%E -2.17%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.85%E -3.69%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -5.39%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-22 02:45
Bovada2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -5.97%E -2.17%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.85%E -3.69%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 03:04
NordicBet2.72I 36.76%NM 34.29%EV -6.99%E -2.57%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.01%EV -4.29%E -1.70%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -9.56%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 02:59
Betsson2.72I 36.76%NM 34.29%EV -6.99%E -2.57%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.01%EV -4.29%E -1.70%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -9.56%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 03:00
1xBet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.68%E -2.84%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.83%EV -6.57%E -2.67%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.70%EV -6.50%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-22 02:59
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.68%E -2.84%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -8.85%E -3.69%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -5.39%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 02:44
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.68%E -2.84%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -6.95%E -2.84%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-22 03:00
Fliff2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -7.68%E -2.84%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -10.75%E -4.57%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-22 02:45
Marathon Bet2.69I 37.17%NM 34.43%EV -8.02%E -2.98%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.50%EV -6.19%E -2.51%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-22 02:59
PlayUp2.65I 37.74%NM 34.93%EV -9.39%E -3.54%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -5.05%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-22 02:59
Bet Right2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -9.39%E -3.54%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -8.85%E -3.69%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -5.39%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-22 02:59
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -9.39%E -3.54%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -6.95%E -2.84%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 03:04
Winamax (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.26%EV -9.39%E -3.54%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -10.75%E -4.57%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -6.78%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-22 03:00
Everygame2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -9.39%E -3.54%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -8.85%E -3.69%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -9.56%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-22 02:59
Bet Victor2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -10.41%E -3.97%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -5.05%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -5.39%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 03:03
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 34.51%EV -10.41%E -3.97%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.67%EV -8.85%E -3.69%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.56%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-22 02:59
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 33.95%EV -10.41%E -3.97%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.68%EV -12.65%E -5.50%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -9.56%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-22 02:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 33.95%EV -10.41%E -3.97%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.68%EV -12.65%E -5.50%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -9.56%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-22 02:44
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 33.62%EV -10.41%E -3.97%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.01%EV -9.61%E -4.04%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.36%EV -16.52%E -5.51%K -8.26%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-22 03:04
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 33.62%EV -10.41%E -3.97%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.01%EV -9.61%E -4.04%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.36%EV -16.52%E -5.51%K -8.26%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-22 03:04
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 33.62%EV -10.41%E -3.97%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.01%EV -9.61%E -4.04%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.36%EV -16.52%E -5.51%K -8.26%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-22 03:05
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 33.62%EV -10.41%E -3.97%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.01%EV -9.61%E -4.04%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.36%EV -16.52%E -5.51%K -8.26%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-22 03:04
Betclic (FR)2.62I 38.17%NM 33.55%EV -10.41%E -3.97%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 38.72%EV -13.79%E -6.07%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 27.73%EV -11.79%E -3.72%K -5.43%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-22 02:59
Sky Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.42%EV -11.10%E -4.27%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -9.61%E -4.04%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.97%EV -10.95%E -3.42%K -4.98%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-22 02:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 32.70%EV -11.10%E -4.27%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 37.78%EV -14.55%E -6.46%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.52%EV -19.86%E -6.89%K -10.56%G +0.000%17.6%2026-03-22 03:03
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.27%EV -12.81%E -5.02%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.84%EV -14.55%E -6.46%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.89%EV -9.56%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-22 03:00
NetBet (FR)2.52I 39.68%NM 34.10%EV -13.83%E -5.49%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.19%EV -14.55%E -6.46%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.72%EV -13.74%E -4.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%16.4%2026-03-22 03:04
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.47%EV -14.52%E -5.81%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.25%EV -9.61%E -4.04%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.28%EV -9.56%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-22 02:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.86I 34.97%NM 34.65%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.82%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.53%0.9%2026-03-22 03:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.55%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.00%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45%1.2%2026-03-22 03:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.55%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.00%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45%1.2%2026-03-22 02:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.55%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.00%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45%1.2%2026-03-22 02:59
Smarkets2.86I 34.97%NM 34.42%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.86%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.73%1.6%2026-03-22 03:00
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 35.91%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.88%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.21%3.1%2026-03-22 03:05