Language:English
Puebla v Querétaro
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Puebla (Local)
Prediction 39.14%2.55fair odd
EV -4.10%
Edge -1.67%
Kelly -2.83%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.78%39.17%39.10%39.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.342.352.4545.45%42.77%42.55%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Querétaro (Visit)
Prediction 34.20%2.92fair odd
EV -1.49%
Edge -0.518%
Kelly -0.793%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.88
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.70%34.13%34.26%35.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.702.712.8840.82%37.03%36.90%34.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.65%3.75fair odd
EV -1.39%
Edge -0.375%
Kelly -0.513%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.71%26.70%26.64%29.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.403.403.7034.72%29.43%29.41%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Puebla (Local): 39.14%; Querétaro (Visit): 34.20%; Draw: 26.65%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.75. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.70, with an expected value of -1.39%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.41%EV -4.10%E -1.67%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.49%EV -4.23%E -1.51%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.10%EV -1.39%E -0.375%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-24 03:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.41%EV -4.10%E -1.67%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.49%EV -4.23%E -1.51%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.10%EV -1.39%E -0.375%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-24 03:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.89%EV -4.10%E -1.67%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -5.94%E -2.16%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.47%EV -4.05%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 11:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.46%EV -4.49%E -1.84%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.38%EV -4.23%E -1.51%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.16%EV -1.92%E -0.521%K -0.716%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-24 03:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -5.27%E -2.18%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.00%EV -4.57%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.80%EV -5.65%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-22 14:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.59%EV -5.27%E -2.18%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.34%EV -6.96%E -2.56%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -8.05%E -2.33%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 14:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.59%EV -5.27%E -2.18%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.34%EV -6.96%E -2.56%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -8.05%E -2.33%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 14:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.54%EV -6.06%E -2.52%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.95%EV -1.49%E -0.518%K -0.793%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.51%EV -8.05%E -2.33%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-24 00:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.54%EV -6.06%E -2.52%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.95%EV -1.49%E -0.518%K -0.793%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.51%EV -8.05%E -2.33%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-24 00:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -6.06%E -2.52%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.94%E -2.16%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -4.05%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-24 03:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.06%E -2.52%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -5.94%E -2.16%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 11:58 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -6.06%E -2.52%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.65%E -2.83%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 11:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -6.06%E -2.52%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.65%E -2.83%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 02:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -6.06%E -2.52%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -9.36%E -3.53%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-24 03:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -6.06%E -2.52%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -9.36%E -3.53%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.38%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-23 11:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.04%EV -6.84%E -2.87%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.41%EV -7.65%E -2.83%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-24 03:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.96%EV -6.84%E -2.87%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.09%EV -6.96%E -2.56%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 26.95%EV -8.32%E -2.42%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 08:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.96%EV -6.84%E -2.87%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.09%EV -6.96%E -2.56%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 26.95%EV -8.32%E -2.42%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 08:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -6.84%E -2.87%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.65%E -2.83%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.38%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 20:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.93%EV -6.84%E -2.87%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.72%EV -11.07%E -4.26%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -12.05%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-23 11:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -8.01%E -3.41%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -4.23%E -1.51%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -9.38%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-24 00:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -8.01%E -3.41%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -4.23%E -1.51%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -9.38%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-24 00:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -8.01%E -3.41%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -4.23%E -1.51%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -9.38%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-24 00:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -8.01%E -3.41%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -4.23%E -1.51%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -9.38%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-24 00:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -8.01%E -3.41%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -4.23%E -1.51%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -9.38%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-24 00:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -8.01%E -3.41%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -4.23%E -1.51%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -9.38%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-24 00:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.29%EV -8.01%E -3.41%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 34.33%EV -7.99%E -2.97%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-22 07:27 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.29%EV -8.01%E -3.41%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 34.33%EV -7.99%E -2.97%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-22 18:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.56%EV -8.80%E -3.78%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -4.23%E -1.51%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -10.71%E -3.20%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-24 00:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.67%EV -9.19%E -3.96%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -4.23%E -1.51%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -10.71%E -3.20%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-24 00:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -9.97%E -4.34%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -5.94%E -2.16%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.38%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-22 07:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.97%E -4.34%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -5.94%E -2.16%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.05%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-24 00:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.97%E -4.34%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -5.94%E -2.16%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.05%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-24 00:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -9.97%E -4.34%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -10.38%E -3.96%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -9.38%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-23 11:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -9.97%E -4.34%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -11.07%E -4.26%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -9.38%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-24 03:23 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -9.97%E -4.34%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -11.07%E -4.26%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -12.05%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-23 11:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.68%EV -9.97%E -4.34%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.95%EV -10.38%E -3.96%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -13.38%E -4.12%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-22 07:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.68%EV -9.97%E -4.34%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.95%EV -10.38%E -3.96%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -13.38%E -4.12%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-22 07:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.68%EV -9.97%E -4.34%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.95%EV -10.38%E -3.96%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -13.38%E -4.12%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-22 07:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.68%EV -9.97%E -4.34%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.95%EV -10.38%E -3.96%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -13.38%E -4.12%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-22 07:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.52%EV -10.75%E -4.72%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.76%EV -5.94%E -2.16%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.72%EV -13.38%E -4.12%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-24 00:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -11.93%E -5.30%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -11.07%E -4.26%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -9.38%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-22 03:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.46%EV -11.93%E -5.30%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.81%EV -12.78%E -5.01%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.73%EV -8.05%E -2.33%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-23 02:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 37.78%EV -11.93%E -5.30%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.70%EV -11.07%E -4.26%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.52%EV -23.24%E -8.07%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 17.6% | 2026-04-24 03:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.40%EV -12.71%E -5.70%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.15%EV -9.36%E -3.53%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.45%EV -14.71%E -4.60%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-24 00:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.40%EV -12.71%E -5.70%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.15%EV -9.36%E -3.53%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.45%EV -14.71%E -4.60%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-24 00:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 39.54%EV -13.10%E -5.90%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 34.02%EV -11.75%E -4.56%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 26.44%EV -11.51%E -3.47%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-23 02:53 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.95%EV -13.88%E -6.31%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.81%EV -11.07%E -4.26%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -10.71%E -3.20%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-24 03:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.14%EV -13.88%E -6.31%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.15%EV -16.20%E -6.61%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.71%EV -10.71%E -3.20%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-04-23 02:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.95%EV -13.88%E -6.31%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.27%EV -14.49%E -5.80%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.78%EV -14.71%E -4.60%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-04-23 12:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.08% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.16% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.76% | 2.4% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.08% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.16% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.76% | 2.4% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.08% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.16% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.76% | 2.4% | 2026-04-24 03:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.93% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.03% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.04% | 2.7% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.84% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.92% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.24% | 3.0% | 2026-04-24 03:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.03% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.08% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.89% | 3.3% | 2026-04-24 03:15 |