L’École des cotes

Puebla v Querétaro

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-25 03:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Puebla (Local)

Prévision 39.14%2.55cote équitable
EV -4.10%
Avantage -1.67%
Kelly -2.83%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.78%39.17%39.10%39.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.342.352.4545.45%42.77%42.55%40.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Querétaro (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.20%2.92cote équitable
EV -1.49%
Avantage -0.518%
Kelly -0.793%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.70%34.13%34.26%35.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.452.702.712.8840.82%37.03%36.90%34.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.65%3.75cote équitable
EV -1.39%
Avantage -0.375%
Kelly -0.513%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.71%26.70%26.64%29.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.403.403.7034.72%29.43%29.41%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag2.45I 40.82%NM 39.41%EV -4.10%E -1.67%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.49%EV -4.23%E -1.51%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.10%EV -1.39%E -0.375%K -0.513%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-24 03:25
LowVig.ag2.45I 40.82%NM 39.41%EV -4.10%E -1.67%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.49%EV -4.23%E -1.51%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.10%EV -1.39%E -0.375%K -0.513%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-24 03:24
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.89%EV -4.10%E -1.67%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -5.94%E -2.16%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.47%EV -4.05%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 11:54
Pinnacle2.44I 40.98%NM 39.46%EV -4.49%E -1.84%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.38%EV -4.23%E -1.51%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.16%EV -1.92%E -0.521%K -0.716%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-24 03:20
GTbets2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -5.27%E -2.18%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.00%EV -4.57%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.80%EV -5.65%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 14:10
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 38.59%EV -5.27%E -2.18%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.34%EV -6.96%E -2.56%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -8.05%E -2.33%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 14:50
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 38.59%EV -5.27%E -2.18%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.34%EV -6.96%E -2.56%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -8.05%E -2.33%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 14:50
ATG (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.54%EV -6.06%E -2.52%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.95%EV -1.49%E -0.518%K -0.793%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.51%EV -8.05%E -2.33%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-24 00:20
Svenska Spel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.54%EV -6.06%E -2.52%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.95%EV -1.49%E -0.518%K -0.793%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.51%EV -8.05%E -2.33%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-24 00:19
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -6.06%E -2.52%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.94%E -2.16%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -4.05%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-24 03:04
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.06%E -2.52%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -5.94%E -2.16%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 11:58
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -6.06%E -2.52%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.65%E -2.83%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 11:54
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -6.06%E -2.52%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.65%E -2.83%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 02:55
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -6.06%E -2.52%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -9.36%E -3.53%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-24 03:05
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -6.06%E -2.52%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -9.36%E -3.53%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.38%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 11:54
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 39.04%EV -6.84%E -2.87%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.41%EV -7.65%E -2.83%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-24 03:04
1xBet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.96%EV -6.84%E -2.87%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.09%EV -6.96%E -2.56%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.95%EV -8.32%E -2.42%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 08:04
Marathon Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.96%EV -6.84%E -2.87%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.09%EV -6.96%E -2.56%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.95%EV -8.32%E -2.42%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 08:00
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -6.84%E -2.87%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.65%E -2.83%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.38%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 20:30
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 37.93%EV -6.84%E -2.87%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.72%EV -11.07%E -4.26%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -12.05%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-23 11:54
Unibet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -8.01%E -3.41%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -4.23%E -1.51%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -9.38%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-24 00:19
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -8.01%E -3.41%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -4.23%E -1.51%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -9.38%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-24 00:20
Casumo2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -8.01%E -3.41%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -4.23%E -1.51%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -9.38%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-24 00:19
Unibet (NL)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -8.01%E -3.41%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -4.23%E -1.51%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -9.38%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-24 00:19
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -8.01%E -3.41%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -4.23%E -1.51%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -9.38%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-24 00:19
betPARX2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -8.01%E -3.41%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -4.23%E -1.51%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -9.38%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-24 00:19
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 39.29%EV -8.01%E -3.41%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 34.33%EV -7.99%E -2.97%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 07:27
BetUS2.35I 42.55%NM 39.29%EV -8.01%E -3.41%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 34.33%EV -7.99%E -2.97%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 18:15
BetRivers2.33I 42.92%NM 39.56%EV -8.80%E -3.78%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -4.23%E -1.51%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -10.71%E -3.20%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-24 00:20
TABtouch2.32I 43.10%NM 39.67%EV -9.19%E -3.96%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -4.23%E -1.51%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -10.71%E -3.20%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-24 00:19
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -9.97%E -4.34%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -5.94%E -2.16%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.38%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-22 07:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.97%E -4.34%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -5.94%E -2.16%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.05%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-24 00:20
LiveScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.97%E -4.34%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -5.94%E -2.16%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.05%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-24 00:20
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -9.97%E -4.34%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -10.38%E -3.96%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -9.38%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 11:59
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -9.97%E -4.34%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -11.07%E -4.26%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -9.38%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-24 03:23
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -9.97%E -4.34%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -11.07%E -4.26%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -12.05%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-23 11:54
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 38.68%EV -9.97%E -4.34%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.95%EV -10.38%E -3.96%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -13.38%E -4.12%K -5.95%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-22 07:00
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 38.68%EV -9.97%E -4.34%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.95%EV -10.38%E -3.96%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -13.38%E -4.12%K -5.95%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-22 07:00
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.68%EV -9.97%E -4.34%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.95%EV -10.38%E -3.96%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -13.38%E -4.12%K -5.95%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-22 07:00
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.68%EV -9.97%E -4.34%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.95%EV -10.38%E -3.96%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -13.38%E -4.12%K -5.95%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-22 07:00
Virgin Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 39.52%EV -10.75%E -4.72%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.76%EV -5.94%E -2.16%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.72%EV -13.38%E -4.12%K -5.95%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-24 00:19
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -11.93%E -5.30%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -11.07%E -4.26%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -9.38%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-22 03:19
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.46%EV -11.93%E -5.30%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.81%EV -12.78%E -5.01%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.73%EV -8.05%E -2.33%K -3.29%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-23 02:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 37.78%EV -11.93%E -5.30%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.70%EV -11.07%E -4.26%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.52%EV -23.24%E -8.07%K -12.36%G +0.000%17.6%2026-04-24 03:00
PMU (FR)2.23I 44.84%NM 39.40%EV -12.71%E -5.70%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.15%EV -9.36%E -3.53%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.45%EV -14.71%E -4.60%K -6.69%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-24 00:19
LeoVegas2.23I 44.84%NM 39.40%EV -12.71%E -5.70%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.15%EV -9.36%E -3.53%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.45%EV -14.71%E -4.60%K -6.69%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-24 00:19
Betclic (FR)2.22I 45.05%NM 39.54%EV -13.10%E -5.90%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 34.02%EV -11.75%E -4.56%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.44%EV -11.51%E -3.47%K -4.96%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-23 02:53
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.95%EV -13.88%E -6.31%K -11.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.81%EV -11.07%E -4.26%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -10.71%E -3.20%K -4.56%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-24 03:04
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.14%EV -13.88%E -6.31%K -11.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.15%EV -16.20%E -6.61%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.71%EV -10.71%E -3.20%K -4.56%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-23 02:55
NetBet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 38.95%EV -13.88%E -6.31%K -11.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.27%EV -14.49%E -5.80%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.78%EV -14.71%E -4.60%K -6.69%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-23 12:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.08%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.16%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.76%2.4%2026-04-24 03:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.08%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.16%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.76%2.4%2026-04-24 03:10
Matchbook2.50I 40.00%NM 39.08%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.16%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.76%2.4%2026-04-24 03:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.93%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.03%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.04%2.7%2026-04-24 03:10
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 38.84%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.92%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.24%3.0%2026-04-24 03:15
Smarkets2.48I 40.32%NM 39.03%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.08%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.89%3.3%2026-04-24 03:15