Language:English
Puebla v Atlante FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Puebla (Local)
Prediction 41.78%2.39fair odd
EV -3.48%
Edge -1.51%
Kelly -2.66%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.31
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.54%41.86%41.74%45.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.972.182.162.3150.76%45.91%46.30%43.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Atlante FC (Visit)
Prediction 30.97%3.23fair odd
EV +2.22%
Edge +0.671%
Kelly +0.963%
Growth +0.021%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.67%30.87%31.06%32.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.003.003.3035.71%33.30%33.33%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.24%3.67fair odd
EV -1.92%
Edge -0.534%
Kelly -0.739%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.28%27.28%27.20%28.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.373.403.6032.26%29.65%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Puebla (Local): 41.78%; Atlante FC (Visit): 30.97%; Draw: 27.24%. For Atlante FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.23. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.22%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -12.26%E -5.84%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV +2.22%E +0.671%K +0.963%G +0.021% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -1.92%E -0.534%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-17 02:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.38%EV -4.74%E -2.08%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.48%EV -1.81%E -0.571%K -0.835%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.14%EV -3.01%E -0.846%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-18 05:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.38%EV -4.74%E -2.08%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.48%EV -1.81%E -0.571%K -0.835%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.14%EV -3.01%E -0.846%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-18 05:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.91%EV -5.16%E -2.27%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.11%EV -2.12%E -0.671%K -0.982%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-18 11:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.42%EV -9.75%E -4.51%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -2.43%E -0.772%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -4.65%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-18 10:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.42%EV -9.75%E -4.51%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -2.43%E -0.772%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -4.65%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-18 10:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.90%EV -3.48%E -1.51%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.92%EV -3.05%E -0.974%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.18%EV -3.01%E -0.846%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-18 13:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.42%EV -3.90%E -1.70%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.73%EV -3.98%E -1.28%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -6.83%E -2.00%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-18 09:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.22%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -3.98%E -1.28%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -4.65%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-18 05:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -12.26%E -5.84%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -3.98%E -1.28%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -4.65%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-18 09:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -11.42%E -5.39%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -3.98%E -1.28%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-18 10:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -11.42%E -5.39%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -3.98%E -1.28%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-18 10:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -11.42%E -5.39%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -3.98%E -1.28%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-18 10:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -11.42%E -5.39%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -3.98%E -1.28%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-18 10:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -11.42%E -5.39%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -3.98%E -1.28%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-18 10:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -11.42%E -5.39%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -3.98%E -1.28%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-18 10:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -11.42%E -5.39%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -3.98%E -1.28%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-18 10:28 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -5.53%E -1.81%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -4.65%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-18 09:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.51%EV -6.83%E -3.06%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.45%EV -5.84%E -1.92%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -10.10%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-18 15:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -7.08%E -2.36%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.65%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-18 15:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.08%E -2.36%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-18 05:19 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.08%E -2.36%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-18 13:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.08%E -2.36%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-18 13:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -8.08%E -3.67%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.08%E -2.36%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-18 09:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.33%EV -13.51%E -6.53%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -7.08%E -2.36%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -8.73%E -2.61%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-18 10:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.33%EV -13.51%E -6.53%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -7.08%E -2.36%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -8.73%E -2.61%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-18 10:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.33%EV -13.51%E -6.53%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -7.08%E -2.36%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -8.73%E -2.61%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-18 10:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.10%EV -6.41%E -2.86%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.00%EV -8.01%E -2.70%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -10.10%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -8.63%E -2.92%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -4.65%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-18 05:23 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -8.63%E -2.92%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -4.65%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-18 05:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -8.63%E -2.92%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -10.10%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-18 13:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -8.63%E -2.92%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -10.10%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-18 13:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -8.08%E -3.67%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -8.63%E -2.92%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -8.73%E -2.61%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-18 11:34 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.18%EV -10.17%E -4.73%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -8.63%E -2.92%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -8.73%E -2.61%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-18 09:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.18%EV -14.35%E -7.00%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.00%EV -8.63%E -2.92%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.82%EV -10.10%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-18 10:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.54%EV -4.74%E -2.08%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.87%EV -10.17%E -3.51%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -8.73%E -2.61%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-18 13:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.08%E -3.67%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -10.17%E -3.51%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-18 05:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.13%EV -11.42%E -5.39%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.80%EV -10.17%E -3.51%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -10.10%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-18 13:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -8.08%E -3.67%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -10.79%E -3.75%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-18 05:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.98%EV -10.17%E -4.73%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.59%EV -10.79%E -3.75%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -15.54%E -5.01%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-09-18 09:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.98%EV -10.17%E -4.73%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.59%EV -10.79%E -3.75%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -15.54%E -5.01%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-09-18 09:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.98%EV -10.17%E -4.73%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.59%EV -10.79%E -3.75%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -15.54%E -5.01%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-09-18 09:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.98%EV -10.17%E -4.73%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.59%EV -10.79%E -3.75%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -15.54%E -5.01%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-09-18 09:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 43.48%EV -17.69%E -8.98%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.74%EV -10.79%E -3.75%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.77%EV -12.82%E -4.01%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-09-18 10:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.65%EV -12.26%E -5.84%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 31.02%EV -12.65%E -4.49%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.33%EV -12.82%E -4.01%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-18 09:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -8.08%E -3.67%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -13.27%E -4.74%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -10.10%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-18 05:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -10.17%E -4.73%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -13.27%E -4.74%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -10.10%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-18 09:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -10.17%E -4.73%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -13.27%E -4.74%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -10.10%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-18 05:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.79% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39% | 1.4% | 2026-09-18 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.79% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39% | 1.4% | 2026-09-18 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.79% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39% | 1.4% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.79% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39% | 1.4% | 2026-09-18 15:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.79% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39% | 1.4% | 2026-09-18 15:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.72% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.08% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.21% | 3.1% | 2026-09-18 15:00 |