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Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
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Puebla v Atlante FC

Início: 2026-09-19 01:00 UTC

Final: Puebla 1–1 Atlante FC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Puebla (Local)

Previsão 41.78%2.39odd justa
EV -3.48%
Vantagem -1.51%
Kelly -2.66%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.31

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.54%41.86%41.74%45.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.972.182.162.3150.76%45.91%46.30%43.29%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Atlante FC (Visitante)

Previsão 30.97%3.23odd justa
EV +2.22%
Vantagem +0.671%
Kelly +0.963%
Crescimento +0.021%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.67%30.87%31.06%32.04%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.803.003.003.3035.71%33.30%33.33%30.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.24%3.67odd justa
EV -1.92%
Vantagem -0.534%
Kelly -0.739%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.28%27.28%27.20%28.42%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.373.403.6032.26%29.65%29.41%27.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Puebla (Local): 41.78%; Atlante FC (Visitante): 30.97%; Empate: 27.24%. Para Atlante FC (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.23. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.30, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.22%.

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -12.26%E -5.84%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV +2.22%E +0.671%K +0.963%G +0.021%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -1.92%E -0.534%K -0.739%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-17 02:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.38%EV -4.74%E -2.08%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.48%EV -1.81%E -0.571%K -0.835%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.14%EV -3.01%E -0.846%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-18 05:39
BetOnline.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.38%EV -4.74%E -2.08%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.48%EV -1.81%E -0.571%K -0.835%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.14%EV -3.01%E -0.846%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-18 05:40
GTbets🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.91%EV -5.16%E -2.27%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.11%EV -2.12%E -0.671%K -0.982%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-18 11:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.42%EV -9.75%E -4.51%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -2.43%E -0.772%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -4.65%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-18 10:29
Svenska Spel🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.42%EV -9.75%E -4.51%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -2.43%E -0.772%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -4.65%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-18 10:30
Pinnacle🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.90%EV -3.48%E -1.51%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.92%EV -3.05%E -0.974%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.18%EV -3.01%E -0.846%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-18 13:40
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.42%EV -3.90%E -1.70%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.73%EV -3.98%E -1.28%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -6.83%E -2.00%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-18 09:50
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.22%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -3.98%E -1.28%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -4.65%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 05:15
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -12.26%E -5.84%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -3.98%E -1.28%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -4.65%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-18 09:25
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -11.42%E -5.39%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -3.98%E -1.28%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 10:30
Grosvenor🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -11.42%E -5.39%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -3.98%E -1.28%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 10:30
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -11.42%E -5.39%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -3.98%E -1.28%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 10:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -11.42%E -5.39%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -3.98%E -1.28%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 10:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -11.42%E -5.39%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -3.98%E -1.28%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 10:30
Casumo🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -11.42%E -5.39%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -3.98%E -1.28%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 10:30
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -11.42%E -5.39%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -3.98%E -1.28%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 10:28
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -5.53%E -1.81%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -4.65%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-18 09:25
1xBet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.51%EV -6.83%E -3.06%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.45%EV -5.84%E -1.92%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -10.10%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-18 15:29
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -7.08%E -2.36%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.65%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-18 15:29
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.08%E -2.36%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 05:19
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.08%E -2.36%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 13:04
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.08%E -2.36%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 13:04
BetUS🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -8.08%E -3.67%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.08%E -2.36%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-18 09:29
Virgin Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.33%EV -13.51%E -6.53%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -7.08%E -2.36%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -8.73%E -2.61%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-18 10:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.33%EV -13.51%E -6.53%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -7.08%E -2.36%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -8.73%E -2.61%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-18 10:29
TABtouch🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.33%EV -13.51%E -6.53%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -7.08%E -2.36%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -8.73%E -2.61%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-18 10:29
Marathon Bet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.10%EV -6.41%E -2.86%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.00%EV -8.01%E -2.70%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -10.10%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 15:30
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -8.63%E -2.92%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -4.65%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-18 05:23
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -8.63%E -2.92%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -4.65%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-18 05:25
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -8.63%E -2.92%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -10.10%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 13:50
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -8.63%E -2.92%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -10.10%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 13:50
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -8.08%E -3.67%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -8.63%E -2.92%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -8.73%E -2.61%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-18 11:34
Fliff🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.18%EV -10.17%E -4.73%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -8.63%E -2.92%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -8.73%E -2.61%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-18 09:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.18%EV -14.35%E -7.00%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.00%EV -8.63%E -2.92%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.82%EV -10.10%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-18 10:30
PlayUp🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.54%EV -4.74%E -2.08%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.87%EV -10.17%E -3.51%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -8.73%E -2.61%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-18 13:50
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.08%E -3.67%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -10.17%E -3.51%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-18 05:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.13%EV -11.42%E -5.39%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.80%EV -10.17%E -3.51%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -10.10%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-18 13:09
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -8.08%E -3.67%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -10.79%E -3.75%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-18 05:25
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.98%EV -10.17%E -4.73%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.59%EV -10.79%E -3.75%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -15.54%E -5.01%K -7.40%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-18 09:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.98%EV -10.17%E -4.73%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.59%EV -10.79%E -3.75%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -15.54%E -5.01%K -7.40%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-18 09:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.98%EV -10.17%E -4.73%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.59%EV -10.79%E -3.75%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -15.54%E -5.01%K -7.40%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-18 09:25
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.98%EV -10.17%E -4.73%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.59%EV -10.79%E -3.75%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -15.54%E -5.01%K -7.40%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-18 09:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 43.48%EV -17.69%E -8.98%K -18.24%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.74%EV -10.79%E -3.75%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.77%EV -12.82%E -4.01%K -5.83%G +0.000%16.7%2026-09-18 10:30
NetBet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.65%EV -12.26%E -5.84%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.02%EV -12.65%E -4.49%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.33%EV -12.82%E -4.01%K -5.83%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-18 09:29
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -8.08%E -3.67%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -13.27%E -4.74%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -10.10%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-18 05:25
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -10.17%E -4.73%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -13.27%E -4.74%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -10.10%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-18 09:24
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -10.17%E -4.73%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -13.27%E -4.74%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -10.10%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-18 05:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.79%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%1.4%2026-09-18 15:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.79%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%1.4%2026-09-18 15:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.79%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%1.4%2026-09-18 15:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.79%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%1.4%2026-09-18 15:10
Matchbook◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.79%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%1.4%2026-09-18 15:10
Kalshi◎2.27I 44.05%NM 42.72%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.08%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.21%3.1%2026-09-18 15:00