La scuola delle quote

Pachuca v Toluca

Inizio: 2026-03-22 23:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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51 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Pachuca (Casa)

Previsione 25.58%3.91quota equa
EV -0.243%
Vantaggio -0.062%
Kelly -0.084%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.71%25.61%25.55%26.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.583.603.9030.30%27.94%27.78%25.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Toluca (Trasferta)

Previsione 49.31%2.03quota equa
EV -2.36%
Vantaggio -1.19%
Kelly -2.41%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.98

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.89%49.25%49.24%50.40%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.731.871.871.9857.80%53.34%53.48%50.51%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 25.11%3.98quota equa
EV -2.59%
Vantaggio -0.667%
Kelly -0.898%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.88

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.44%25.14%25.20%26.38%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.633.653.8831.25%27.56%27.40%25.77%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (51 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
LowVig.ag3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -0.243%E -0.062%K -0.084%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.93%EV -4.82%E -2.50%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.36%EV -4.59%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-22 14:00
BetOnline.ag3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -0.243%E -0.062%K -0.084%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.93%EV -4.82%E -2.50%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.36%EV -4.59%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-22 13:59
Pinnacle3.84I 26.04%NM 25.13%EV -1.78%E -0.463%K -0.626%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.50%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.87%EV -2.59%E -0.667%K -0.898%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-22 22:45
Coolbet3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.80%E -0.737%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.57%EV -5.32%E -2.77%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -5.85%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 13:59
FanDuel3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -2.80%E -0.737%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -7.78%E -4.16%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -4.59%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 22:43
1xBet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.65%EV -4.08%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -2.36%E -1.19%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.78%EV -6.35%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-22 22:55
DraftKings3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -4.08%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.70%EV -5.81%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -4.59%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 15:29
BetUS3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.08%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.37%EV -5.81%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -7.11%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 22:44
SportsBet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -4.08%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.20%EV -8.27%E -4.45%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -5.85%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 22:44
Bet Victor3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -5.36%E -1.45%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -7.78%E -4.16%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -4.59%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 22:53
BetMGM3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -5.36%E -1.45%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.90%EV -7.78%E -4.16%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -5.85%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 22:39
GTbets3.69I 27.10%NM 25.95%EV -5.61%E -1.52%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.37%EV -2.36%E -1.19%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.68%EV -6.35%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-22 14:44
Marathon Bet3.68I 27.17%NM 25.17%EV -5.87%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.53%EV -7.78%E -4.16%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.31%EV -8.11%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-22 22:39
ATG (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.94%EV -6.64%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -4.33%E -2.23%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.25%EV -5.85%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 22:25
Svenska Spel3.65I 27.40%NM 25.94%EV -6.64%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -4.33%E -2.23%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.25%EV -5.85%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 22:25
Bovada3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -6.64%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.53%EV -8.27%E -4.45%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -8.36%E -2.29%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-22 22:43
Unibet (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.92%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -6.30%E -3.32%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -5.85%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 17:35
Unibet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -7.92%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.69%EV -5.81%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -8.36%E -2.29%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 22:49
Casumo3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -7.92%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.69%EV -5.81%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -8.36%E -2.29%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 22:50
Unibet (NL)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -7.92%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.69%EV -5.81%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -8.36%E -2.29%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 22:50
Unibet (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -7.92%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.69%EV -5.81%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -8.36%E -2.29%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 22:49
Grosvenor3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -7.92%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.69%EV -5.81%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -8.36%E -2.29%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 22:49
betPARX3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -7.92%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.69%EV -5.81%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -8.36%E -2.29%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 22:50
Betway3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.92%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.81%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-22 22:40
Paddy Power3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -7.92%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -9.75%E -5.33%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-22 22:44
Fliff3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -7.92%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -9.75%E -5.33%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-22 22:39
NordicBet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -9.20%E -2.59%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -5.32%E -2.77%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.11%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 22:35
Betsson3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -9.20%E -2.59%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -5.32%E -2.77%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.11%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 22:35
BetRivers3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -9.20%E -2.59%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -7.29%E -3.88%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -8.36%E -2.29%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-22 22:25
Bet Right3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -9.20%E -2.59%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.34%EV -8.27%E -4.45%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -7.11%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 22:50
TABtouch3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -9.20%E -2.59%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -7.29%E -3.88%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 22:49
PlayUp3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -10.47%E -2.99%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.33%EV -5.81%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -8.36%E -2.29%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 22:39
Fanatics3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.47%E -2.99%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -5.81%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-22 20:20
Winamax (DE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -10.47%E -2.99%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.16%EV -8.27%E -4.45%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -7.11%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-22 17:34
LeoVegas (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -10.47%E -2.99%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.52%EV -7.78%E -4.16%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -10.87%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-22 22:50
LiveScore Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -10.47%E -2.99%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.52%EV -7.78%E -4.16%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -10.87%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-22 22:49
Everygame3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.47%E -2.99%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -8.77%E -4.74%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-22 22:34
Ladbrokes (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -10.47%E -2.99%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -9.75%E -5.33%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-22 22:45
Coral3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -10.47%E -2.99%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -9.75%E -5.33%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-22 22:39
Sky Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -10.47%E -2.99%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -11.23%E -6.24%K -14.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -12.13%E -3.46%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-22 22:45
Virgin Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -11.75%E -3.41%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -8.77%E -4.74%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.33%EV -10.87%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-22 22:20
Betclic (FR)3.43I 29.15%NM 25.54%EV -12.26%E -3.58%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 49.21%EV -12.22%E -6.87%K -15.67%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 25.25%EV -12.88%E -3.71%K -5.21%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-22 22:33
888sport3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -13.03%E -3.83%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -8.77%E -4.74%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.64%E -4.31%K -6.10%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-22 15:45
William Hill3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -13.03%E -3.83%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -8.77%E -4.74%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.64%E -4.31%K -6.10%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-22 15:45
888sport (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -13.03%E -3.83%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -8.77%E -4.74%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.64%E -4.31%K -6.10%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-22 15:44
Mr Green (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -13.03%E -3.83%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -8.77%E -4.74%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.64%E -4.31%K -6.10%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-22 15:44
LeoVegas3.40I 29.41%NM 25.88%EV -13.03%E -3.83%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 48.61%EV -10.74%E -5.93%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.51%EV -13.38%E -3.88%K -5.46%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-22 22:50
NetBet (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 25.27%EV -13.03%E -3.83%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 49.09%EV -13.70%E -7.83%K -18.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.64%EV -15.89%E -4.74%K -6.76%G +0.000%16.4%2026-03-22 22:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 24.83%EV -13.03%E -3.83%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 48.79%EV -14.69%E -8.49%K -20.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.38%EV -19.66%E -6.14%K -8.94%G +0.000%18.5%2026-03-22 22:45
Winamax (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 26.28%EV -14.31%E -4.27%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.92%EV -11.23%E -6.24%K -14.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.80%EV -10.87%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-22 17:35
BoyleSports3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -15.59%E -4.72%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.89%EV -11.23%E -6.24%K -14.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.44%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-22 15:44
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook4.00I 25.00%NM 24.86%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.97%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.17%0.6%2026-03-22 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 25.41%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.81%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78%0.9%2026-03-22 22:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.95I 25.32%NM 25.03%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.94%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.03%1.1%2026-03-22 22:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.95I 25.32%NM 25.03%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.94%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.03%1.1%2026-03-22 22:55
Smarkets3.95I 25.32%NM 24.97%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.06%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.97%1.4%2026-03-22 22:55
Kalshi3.85I 25.97%NM 25.20%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.54%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.26%3.1%2026-03-22 22:35