L’École des cotesPachuca v Toluca
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Pachuca (Local)
Prévision 25.58%3.91cote équitable
EV -0.243%
Avantage -0.062%
Kelly -0.084%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.90
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.71%25.61%25.55%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.583.603.9030.30%27.94%27.78%25.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Toluca (Visiteur)
Prévision 49.31%2.03cote équitable
EV -2.36%
Avantage -1.19%
Kelly -2.41%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.98
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.89%49.25%49.24%50.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.731.871.871.9857.80%53.34%53.48%50.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 25.11%3.98cote équitable
EV -2.59%
Avantage -0.667%
Kelly -0.898%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.88
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.44%25.14%25.20%26.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.633.653.8831.25%27.56%27.40%25.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -0.243%E -0.062%K -0.084%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.93%EV -4.82%E -2.50%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.36%EV -4.59%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-22 14:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -0.243%E -0.062%K -0.084%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.93%EV -4.82%E -2.50%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.36%EV -4.59%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-22 13:59 |
| Pinnacle | 3.84I 26.04%NM 25.13%EV -1.78%E -0.463%K -0.626%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.50%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.87%EV -2.59%E -0.667%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-22 22:45 |
| Coolbet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.80%E -0.737%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.57%EV -5.32%E -2.77%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -5.85%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-22 13:59 |
| FanDuel | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -2.80%E -0.737%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -7.78%E -4.16%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -4.59%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-22 22:43 |
| 1xBet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.65%EV -4.08%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -2.36%E -1.19%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.78%EV -6.35%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-22 22:55 |
| DraftKings | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -4.08%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.70%EV -5.81%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -4.59%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 15:29 |
| BetUS | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.08%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.37%EV -5.81%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -7.11%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-22 22:44 |
| SportsBet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -4.08%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.20%EV -8.27%E -4.45%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -5.85%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-22 22:44 |
| Bet Victor | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -5.36%E -1.45%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -7.78%E -4.16%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -4.59%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-22 22:53 |
| BetMGM | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -5.36%E -1.45%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.90%EV -7.78%E -4.16%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -5.85%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-22 22:39 |
| GTbets | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.95%EV -5.61%E -1.52%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.37%EV -2.36%E -1.19%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.68%EV -6.35%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-22 14:44 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.17%EV -5.87%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.53%EV -7.78%E -4.16%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 25.31%EV -8.11%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-22 22:39 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.94%EV -6.64%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -4.33%E -2.23%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.25%EV -5.85%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-22 22:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.94%EV -6.64%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -4.33%E -2.23%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.25%EV -5.85%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-22 22:25 |
| Bovada | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -6.64%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.53%EV -8.27%E -4.45%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -8.36%E -2.29%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-22 22:43 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.92%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -6.30%E -3.32%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -5.85%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-22 17:35 |
| Unibet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -7.92%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.69%EV -5.81%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -8.36%E -2.29%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-22 22:49 |
| Casumo | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -7.92%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.69%EV -5.81%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -8.36%E -2.29%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-22 22:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -7.92%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.69%EV -5.81%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -8.36%E -2.29%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-22 22:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -7.92%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.69%EV -5.81%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -8.36%E -2.29%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-22 22:49 |
| Grosvenor | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -7.92%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.69%EV -5.81%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -8.36%E -2.29%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-22 22:49 |
| betPARX | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -7.92%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.69%EV -5.81%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -8.36%E -2.29%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-22 22:50 |
| Betway | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.92%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.81%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-22 22:40 |
| Paddy Power | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -7.92%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -9.75%E -5.33%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-22 22:44 |
| Fliff | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -7.92%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -9.75%E -5.33%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-22 22:39 |
| NordicBet | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -9.20%E -2.59%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -5.32%E -2.77%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.11%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-22 22:35 |
| Betsson | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -9.20%E -2.59%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -5.32%E -2.77%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.11%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-22 22:35 |
| BetRivers | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -9.20%E -2.59%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -7.29%E -3.88%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -8.36%E -2.29%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-22 22:25 |
| Bet Right | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -9.20%E -2.59%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.34%EV -8.27%E -4.45%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -7.11%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-22 22:50 |
| TABtouch | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -9.20%E -2.59%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -7.29%E -3.88%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-22 22:49 |
| PlayUp | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -10.47%E -2.99%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.33%EV -5.81%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -8.36%E -2.29%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-22 22:39 |
| Fanatics | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.47%E -2.99%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -5.81%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-22 20:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -10.47%E -2.99%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.16%EV -8.27%E -4.45%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -7.11%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-22 17:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -10.47%E -2.99%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.52%EV -7.78%E -4.16%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -10.87%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-22 22:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -10.47%E -2.99%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.52%EV -7.78%E -4.16%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -10.87%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-22 22:49 |
| Everygame | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.47%E -2.99%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -8.77%E -4.74%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-22 22:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -10.47%E -2.99%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -9.75%E -5.33%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-22 22:45 |
| Coral | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -10.47%E -2.99%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -9.75%E -5.33%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-22 22:39 |
| Sky Bet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -10.47%E -2.99%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -11.23%E -6.24%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -12.13%E -3.46%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-22 22:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -11.75%E -3.41%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -8.77%E -4.74%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.33%EV -10.87%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-22 22:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.43I 29.15%NM 25.54%EV -12.26%E -3.58%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.21%EV -12.22%E -6.87%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 25.25%EV -12.88%E -3.71%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-03-22 22:33 |
| 888sport | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -13.03%E -3.83%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -8.77%E -4.74%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.64%E -4.31%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-03-22 15:45 |
| William Hill | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -13.03%E -3.83%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -8.77%E -4.74%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.64%E -4.31%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-03-22 15:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -13.03%E -3.83%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -8.77%E -4.74%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.64%E -4.31%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-03-22 15:44 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -13.03%E -3.83%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -8.77%E -4.74%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.64%E -4.31%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-03-22 15:44 |
| LeoVegas | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.88%EV -13.03%E -3.83%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.61%EV -10.74%E -5.93%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.51%EV -13.38%E -3.88%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-03-22 22:50 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.27%EV -13.03%E -3.83%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 49.09%EV -13.70%E -7.83%K -18.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.64%EV -15.89%E -4.74%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-03-22 22:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.83%EV -13.03%E -3.83%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 48.79%EV -14.69%E -8.49%K -20.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.38%EV -19.66%E -6.14%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 18.5% | 2026-03-22 22:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.28%EV -14.31%E -4.27%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.92%EV -11.23%E -6.24%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.80%EV -10.87%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-03-22 17:35 |
| BoyleSports | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -15.59%E -4.72%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.89%EV -11.23%E -6.24%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.44%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-03-22 15:44 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.86% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.97% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.17% | 0.6% | 2026-03-22 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.41% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.81% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78% | 0.9% | 2026-03-22 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.03% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.94% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.03% | 1.1% | 2026-03-22 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.03% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.94% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.03% | 1.1% | 2026-03-22 22:55 |
| Smarkets | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.97% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.06% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.97% | 1.4% | 2026-03-22 22:55 |
| Kalshi | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.20% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.54% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.26% | 3.1% | 2026-03-22 22:35 |