StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Pachuca v Tijuana

2026-09-21 00:00 UTC — Liga MX

Matchresultat

34 spelbolag (10 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Pachuca (Hemma)

Prognos 50.60%1.98rättvist odds
EV -1.83%
Fördel -0.944%
Kelly -1.95%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.94

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
47.87%50.37%50.72%51.45%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.731.851.851.9457.80%54.09%54.05%51.55%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Tijuana (Borta)

Prognos 23.59%4.24rättvist odds
EV -3.27%
Fördel -0.797%
Kelly -1.05%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.10

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
23.19%23.76%23.61%25.30%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.403.753.754.1029.41%26.66%26.67%24.39%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 25.80%3.88rättvist odds
EV -3.23%
Fördel -0.862%
Kelly -1.18%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.75

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
25.17%25.87%25.67%27.01%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.203.483.453.7531.25%28.72%28.99%26.67%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Pachuca (Hemma): 50.60%; Tijuana (Borta): 23.59%; Oavgjort: 25.80%. För Pachuca (Hemma) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 1.98. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån: bästa tillgängliga odds är 1.94, med väntevärdet -1.83%; det ger inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (34 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Svenska Spel🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -1.83%E -0.944%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -11.52%E -3.07%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.68%E -2.77%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-14 00:36
ATG (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -1.83%E -0.944%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -11.52%E -3.07%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.68%E -2.77%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-14 00:36
Unibet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.15%EV -3.35%E -1.75%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -13.88%E -3.80%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -10.97%E -3.18%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-14 00:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.15%EV -3.35%E -1.75%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -13.88%E -3.80%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -10.97%E -3.18%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-14 00:36
Casumo🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.15%EV -3.35%E -1.75%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -13.88%E -3.80%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -10.97%E -3.18%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-14 00:36
Grosvenor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.15%EV -3.35%E -1.75%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -13.88%E -3.80%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -10.97%E -3.18%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-14 00:36
BetRivers🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.15%EV -3.35%E -1.75%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -13.88%E -3.80%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -10.97%E -3.18%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-14 00:36
Unibet (NL)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.15%EV -3.35%E -1.75%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -13.88%E -3.80%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -10.97%E -3.18%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-14 00:36
betPARX🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.15%EV -3.35%E -1.75%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -13.88%E -3.80%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -10.97%E -3.18%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-14 00:36
Coolbet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -4.87%E -2.59%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -9.16%E -2.38%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.20%EV -3.23%E -0.862%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 00:15
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.33%EV -5.37%E -2.87%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -5.63%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -7.10%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-14 00:40
TABtouch🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.96%EV -5.37%E -2.87%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -16.24%E -4.58%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -13.56%E -4.05%K -5.77%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-14 00:36
LiveScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.96%EV -5.37%E -2.87%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -16.24%E -4.58%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -13.56%E -4.05%K -5.77%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-14 00:36
Virgin Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.96%EV -5.37%E -2.87%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -16.24%E -4.58%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -13.56%E -4.05%K -5.77%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-14 00:35
Pinnacle🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.39%EV -6.39%E -3.45%K -7.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -3.27%E -0.797%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.42%EV -3.49%E -0.934%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-14 01:25
SportsBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -6.39%E -3.45%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -7.98%E -2.05%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -4.52%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-14 00:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -6.39%E -3.45%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -7.98%E -2.05%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -4.52%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-14 01:05
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -6.39%E -3.45%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -6.81%E -1.72%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -10.97%E -3.18%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-14 00:25
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -6.39%E -3.45%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -6.81%E -1.72%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -10.97%E -3.18%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-14 00:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -6.39%E -3.45%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -17.42%E -4.98%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -14.85%E -4.50%K -6.45%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-14 00:36
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -7.40%E -4.04%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -7.98%E -2.05%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -4.52%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-14 00:19
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -7.40%E -4.04%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -15.06%E -4.18%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -9.68%E -2.77%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-14 00:20
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.17%EV -7.90%E -4.34%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.52%EV -6.57%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.31%EV -5.04%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-14 00:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.45%EV -8.92%E -4.95%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.39%EV -6.57%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.17%EV -5.04%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-14 00:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -8.92%E -4.95%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.98%E -2.05%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.10%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-14 00:25
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -8.92%E -4.95%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.34%E -2.72%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -7.10%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-14 00:25
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -8.92%E -4.95%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -11.52%E -3.07%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -7.10%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-14 00:20
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -8.92%E -4.95%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -10.34%E -2.72%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -14.85%E -4.50%K -6.45%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-14 01:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -8.92%E -4.95%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -10.34%E -2.72%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -14.85%E -4.50%K -6.45%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-14 01:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -8.92%E -4.95%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -10.34%E -2.72%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -14.85%E -4.50%K -6.45%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-14 01:15
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -8.92%E -4.95%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -10.34%E -2.72%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -14.85%E -4.50%K -6.45%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-14 01:21
PMU (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 47.94%EV -9.42%E -5.26%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.24%EV -19.78%E -5.82%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.82%EV -17.43%E -5.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%16.5%2026-09-14 00:36
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 49.25%EV -11.45%E -6.54%K -15.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.63%EV -17.42%E -4.98%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.12%EV -14.85%E -4.50%K -6.45%G +0.000%16.0%2026-09-14 00:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 50.77%EV -12.46%E -7.20%K -17.07%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 23.55%EV -12.00%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 25.68%EV -11.75%E -3.44%K -4.85%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-14 00:18
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.54%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.75%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.71%1.0%2026-09-14 02:25
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 49.68%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.87%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.45%16.4%2026-09-14 00:26
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-09-14 00:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-09-14 00:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-09-14 00:40