A Escola das Oddsodds.school
Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Pachuca v Tijuana

Início: 2026-09-21 00:02 UTC

Final: Pachuca 2–2 Tijuana

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Pachuca (Local)

Previsão 56.01%1.79odd justa
EV -2.55%
Vantagem -1.46%
Kelly -3.44%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.74

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.29%55.96%55.96%57.89%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.581.671.671.7463.29%59.97%59.88%57.47%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Tijuana (Visitante)

Previsão 18.95%5.28odd justa
EV +2.34%
Vantagem +0.433%
Kelly +0.532%
Crescimento +0.012%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.65%19.08%18.93%21.84%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.954.674.605.4025.32%21.43%21.74%18.52%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 25.04%3.99odd justa
EV +2.17%
Vantagem +0.532%
Kelly +0.705%
Crescimento +0.015%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.08

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.67%24.96%25.10%26.37%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.403.673.704.0829.41%27.22%27.03%24.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Pachuca (Local): 56.01%; Tijuana (Visitante): 18.95%; Empate: 25.04%. Para Tijuana (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.28. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.40, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.34%.

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
LowVig.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.89%EV -6.47%E -3.87%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.41%EV -0.503%E -0.096%K -0.118%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.70%EV +2.17%E +0.532%K +0.705%G +0.015%3.4%2026-09-20 23:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.89%EV -6.47%E -3.87%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.41%EV -0.503%E -0.096%K -0.118%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.70%EV +2.17%E +0.532%K +0.705%G +0.015%3.4%2026-09-20 23:44
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.39%EV -7.59%E -4.60%K -11.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -5.24%E -1.05%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV +0.167%E +0.042%K +0.056%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-20 23:09
Pinnacle🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.73%EV -4.79%E -2.82%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.08I 19.69%NM 18.98%EV -3.73%E -0.733%K -0.913%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.29%EV -0.584%E -0.147%K -0.197%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-20 23:50
GTbets🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.78%EV -7.59%E -4.60%K -11.68%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.65%EV +2.34%E +0.433%K +0.532%G +0.012%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.57%EV -2.84%E -0.732%K -0.985%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-20 23:50
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.63%EV -5.91%E -3.52%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.35%E -0.656%K -0.816%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.71%EV -3.59%E -0.932%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-20 23:34
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.90%EV -6.47%E -3.87%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -0.503%E -0.096%K -0.118%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.00%EV -4.84%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-20 23:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.96%EV -2.55%E -1.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -16.61%E -3.78%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71%EV -4.84%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-20 23:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.96%EV -2.55%E -1.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -16.61%E -3.78%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71%EV -4.84%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-20 23:59
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.42%EV -5.35%E -3.17%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -10.93%E -2.32%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.65%EV -4.84%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-21 00:00
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -6.47%E -3.87%K -9.66%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -9.98%E -2.10%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -4.84%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 23:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -10.39%E -6.49%K -17.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -5.24%E -1.05%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -4.84%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 23:45
betano_uk🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -7.59%E -4.60%K -11.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -5.24%E -1.05%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -6.09%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 23:57
1xBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.16%EV -4.23%E -2.47%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.29I 18.90%NM 18.16%EV +0.255%E +0.048%K +0.059%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.68%EV -6.34%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-20 23:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.55%EV -8.71%E -5.34%K -13.82%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -7.14%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.64%EV -6.34%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-20 23:53
SportsBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.72%EV -5.35%E -3.17%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.24%E -1.05%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -7.35%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 23:59
FanDuel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.01%EV -6.47%E -3.87%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -5.24%E -1.05%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -7.35%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-21 00:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.01%EV -6.47%E -3.87%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -5.24%E -1.05%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -7.35%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 23:54
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.01%EV -6.47%E -3.87%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -5.24%E -1.05%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -7.35%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 23:59
Unibet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.49%EV -3.67%E -2.13%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -19.46%E -4.58%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -7.35%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 23:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.49%EV -3.67%E -2.13%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -19.46%E -4.58%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -7.35%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 23:59
Casumo🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.49%EV -3.67%E -2.13%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -19.46%E -4.58%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -7.35%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 23:59
Grosvenor🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.49%EV -3.67%E -2.13%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -19.46%E -4.58%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -7.35%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 23:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.49%EV -3.67%E -2.13%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -19.46%E -4.58%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -7.35%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 23:59
Bet Right🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.87%EV -6.47%E -3.87%K -9.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -14.72%E -3.27%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -7.35%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-20 23:59
BetRivers🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.44%EV -3.67%E -2.13%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -18.51%E -4.30%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -8.60%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 23:24
betPARX🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.44%EV -3.67%E -2.13%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -18.51%E -4.30%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -8.60%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 23:24
LeoVegas🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.84%EV -8.15%E -4.97%K -12.73%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -9.03%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -8.60%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-20 23:59
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -5.91%E -3.52%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -7.14%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -9.85%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-20 23:59
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -5.91%E -3.52%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -7.14%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -9.85%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-20 23:59
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.16%EV -5.91%E -3.52%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.11%EV -8.08%E -1.67%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -9.85%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-21 00:00
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.83%EV -9.27%E -5.72%K -14.95%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -9.98%E -2.10%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -9.85%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-20 23:59
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.07%EV -6.47%E -3.87%K -9.66%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.85%EV -17.94%E -4.14%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.08%EV -9.85%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-20 23:59
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.49%EV -9.27%E -5.72%K -14.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -12.82%E -2.79%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -9.85%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-20 23:44
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.29%EV -5.91%E -3.52%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.84%EV -22.30%E -5.44%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.87%EV -9.85%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-21 00:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.29%EV -5.91%E -3.52%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.84%EV -22.30%E -5.44%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.87%EV -9.85%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-21 00:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.29%EV -5.91%E -3.52%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.84%EV -22.30%E -5.44%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.87%EV -9.85%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-20 23:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.41%EV -7.03%E -4.23%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -22.30%E -5.44%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.97%EV -11.10%E -3.13%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-21 00:00
Paddy Power🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.98%EV -7.59%E -4.60%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -9.98%E -2.10%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -12.35%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-20 23:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 55.24%EV -10.95%E -6.89%K -18.56%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.30%EV -13.77%E -3.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.46%EV -13.61%E -3.94%K -5.55%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-20 23:58
NetBet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 55.28%EV -11.51%E -7.28%K -19.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.41%EV -14.72%E -3.27%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.32%EV -13.61%E -3.94%K -5.55%G +0.000%14.5%2026-09-21 00:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 53.35%EV -9.83%E -6.11%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.75%EV -25.14%E -6.36%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.90%EV -13.61%E -3.94%K -5.55%G +0.000%16.4%2026-09-20 23:59
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.70%EV -6.47%E -3.87%K -9.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -14.72%E -3.27%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -14.86%E -4.37%K -6.19%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-21 00:00
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.69%EV -9.27%E -5.72%K -14.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.26%EV -12.82%E -2.79%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.86%E -4.37%K -6.19%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-20 23:54
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 54.84%EV -9.83%E -6.11%K -16.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.19%EV -12.82%E -2.79%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.97%EV -14.86%E -4.37%K -6.19%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-20 23:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 54.84%EV -9.83%E -6.11%K -16.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.19%EV -12.82%E -2.79%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.97%EV -14.86%E -4.37%K -6.19%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-20 23:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 54.84%EV -9.83%E -6.11%K -16.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.19%EV -12.82%E -2.79%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.97%EV -14.86%E -4.37%K -6.19%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-20 23:54
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.31%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.46%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.23%0.3%2026-09-20 23:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.45%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.40%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.7%2026-09-20 23:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.13%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.40%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47%0.7%2026-09-21 00:00
Matchbook◎1.77I 56.50%NM 55.94%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.34%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%1.0%2026-09-21 00:00
Kalshi◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.49%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.79%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%1.2%2026-09-20 23:45
Smarkets◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.08%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.28%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.64%1.3%2026-09-21 00:00