Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Pachuca v Tijuana

2026-09-21 00:00 UTC — Liga MX

Frente a frente

34 casas de apostas (10 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Pachuca (Local)

Previsão 50.60%1.98odd justa
EV -1.83%
Vantagem -0.944%
Kelly -1.95%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.94

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.87%50.37%50.72%51.45%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.731.851.851.9457.80%54.09%54.05%51.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Tijuana (Visitante)

Previsão 23.59%4.24odd justa
EV -3.27%
Vantagem -0.797%
Kelly -1.05%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.19%23.76%23.61%25.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.403.753.754.1029.41%26.66%26.67%24.39%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 25.80%3.88odd justa
EV -3.23%
Vantagem -0.862%
Kelly -1.18%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.17%25.87%25.67%27.01%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.203.483.453.7531.25%28.72%28.99%26.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Pachuca (Local): 50.60%; Tijuana (Visitante): 23.59%; Empate: 25.80%. Para Pachuca (Local), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 1.98. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferece odds acima desse nível: as melhores odds disponíveis são 1.94, com valor esperado de -1.83%; não produzem valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (34 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Svenska Spel🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -1.83%E -0.944%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -11.52%E -3.07%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.68%E -2.77%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-14 00:36
ATG (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -1.83%E -0.944%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -11.52%E -3.07%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.68%E -2.77%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-14 00:36
Unibet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.15%EV -3.35%E -1.75%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -13.88%E -3.80%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -10.97%E -3.18%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-14 00:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.15%EV -3.35%E -1.75%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -13.88%E -3.80%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -10.97%E -3.18%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-14 00:36
Casumo🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.15%EV -3.35%E -1.75%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -13.88%E -3.80%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -10.97%E -3.18%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-14 00:36
Grosvenor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.15%EV -3.35%E -1.75%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -13.88%E -3.80%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -10.97%E -3.18%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-14 00:36
BetRivers🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.15%EV -3.35%E -1.75%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -13.88%E -3.80%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -10.97%E -3.18%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-14 00:36
Unibet (NL)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.15%EV -3.35%E -1.75%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -13.88%E -3.80%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -10.97%E -3.18%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-14 00:36
betPARX🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.15%EV -3.35%E -1.75%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -13.88%E -3.80%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -10.97%E -3.18%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-14 00:36
Coolbet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -4.87%E -2.59%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -9.16%E -2.38%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.20%EV -3.23%E -0.862%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 00:15
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.33%EV -5.37%E -2.87%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -5.63%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -7.10%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-14 00:40
TABtouch🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.96%EV -5.37%E -2.87%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -16.24%E -4.58%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -13.56%E -4.05%K -5.77%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-14 00:36
LiveScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.96%EV -5.37%E -2.87%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -16.24%E -4.58%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -13.56%E -4.05%K -5.77%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-14 00:36
Virgin Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.96%EV -5.37%E -2.87%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -16.24%E -4.58%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -13.56%E -4.05%K -5.77%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-14 00:35
Pinnacle🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.39%EV -6.39%E -3.45%K -7.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -3.27%E -0.797%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.42%EV -3.49%E -0.934%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-14 01:25
SportsBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -6.39%E -3.45%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -7.98%E -2.05%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -4.52%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-14 00:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -6.39%E -3.45%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -7.98%E -2.05%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -4.52%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-14 01:05
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -6.39%E -3.45%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -6.81%E -1.72%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -10.97%E -3.18%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-14 00:25
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -6.39%E -3.45%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -6.81%E -1.72%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -10.97%E -3.18%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-14 00:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -6.39%E -3.45%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -17.42%E -4.98%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -14.85%E -4.50%K -6.45%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-14 00:36
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -7.40%E -4.04%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -7.98%E -2.05%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -4.52%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-14 00:19
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -7.40%E -4.04%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -15.06%E -4.18%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -9.68%E -2.77%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-14 00:20
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.17%EV -7.90%E -4.34%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.52%EV -6.57%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.31%EV -5.04%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-14 00:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.45%EV -8.92%E -4.95%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.39%EV -6.57%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.17%EV -5.04%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-14 00:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -8.92%E -4.95%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.98%E -2.05%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.10%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-14 00:25
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -8.92%E -4.95%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.34%E -2.72%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -7.10%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-14 00:25
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -8.92%E -4.95%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -11.52%E -3.07%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -7.10%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-14 00:20
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -8.92%E -4.95%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -10.34%E -2.72%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -14.85%E -4.50%K -6.45%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-14 01:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -8.92%E -4.95%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -10.34%E -2.72%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -14.85%E -4.50%K -6.45%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-14 01:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -8.92%E -4.95%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -10.34%E -2.72%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -14.85%E -4.50%K -6.45%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-14 01:15
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -8.92%E -4.95%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -10.34%E -2.72%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -14.85%E -4.50%K -6.45%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-14 01:21
PMU (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 47.94%EV -9.42%E -5.26%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.24%EV -19.78%E -5.82%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.82%EV -17.43%E -5.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%16.5%2026-09-14 00:36
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 49.25%EV -11.45%E -6.54%K -15.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.63%EV -17.42%E -4.98%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.12%EV -14.85%E -4.50%K -6.45%G +0.000%16.0%2026-09-14 00:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 50.77%EV -12.46%E -7.20%K -17.07%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 23.55%EV -12.00%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 25.68%EV -11.75%E -3.44%K -4.85%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-14 00:18
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.54%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.75%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.71%1.0%2026-09-14 02:25
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 49.68%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.87%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.45%16.4%2026-09-14 00:26
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-09-14 00:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-09-14 00:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-09-14 00:40