L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
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Pachuca v Tijuana

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-21 00:02 UTC

Score final : Pachuca 2–2 Tijuana

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Pachuca (Local)

Prévision 56.01%1.79cote équitable
EV -2.55%
Avantage -1.46%
Kelly -3.44%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.74

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.29%55.96%55.96%57.89%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.581.671.671.7463.29%59.97%59.88%57.47%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Tijuana (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.95%5.28cote équitable
EV +2.34%
Avantage +0.433%
Kelly +0.532%
Croissance +0.012%

avec la cote maximale 5.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.65%19.08%18.93%21.84%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.954.674.605.4025.32%21.43%21.74%18.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.04%3.99cote équitable
EV +2.17%
Avantage +0.532%
Kelly +0.705%
Croissance +0.015%

avec la cote maximale 4.08

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.67%24.96%25.10%26.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.403.673.704.0829.41%27.22%27.03%24.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Pachuca (Local) : 56.01% ; Tijuana (Visiteur) : 18.95% ; Match nul : 25.04%. Pour Tijuana (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.28. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.40, soit une espérance positive de +2.34%.

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.89%EV -6.47%E -3.87%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.41%EV -0.503%E -0.096%K -0.118%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.70%EV +2.17%E +0.532%K +0.705%G +0.015%3.4%2026-09-20 23:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.89%EV -6.47%E -3.87%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.41%EV -0.503%E -0.096%K -0.118%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.70%EV +2.17%E +0.532%K +0.705%G +0.015%3.4%2026-09-20 23:44
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.39%EV -7.59%E -4.60%K -11.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -5.24%E -1.05%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV +0.167%E +0.042%K +0.056%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-20 23:09
Pinnacle🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.73%EV -4.79%E -2.82%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.08I 19.69%NM 18.98%EV -3.73%E -0.733%K -0.913%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.29%EV -0.584%E -0.147%K -0.197%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-20 23:50
GTbets🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.78%EV -7.59%E -4.60%K -11.68%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.65%EV +2.34%E +0.433%K +0.532%G +0.012%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.57%EV -2.84%E -0.732%K -0.985%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-20 23:50
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.63%EV -5.91%E -3.52%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.35%E -0.656%K -0.816%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.71%EV -3.59%E -0.932%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-20 23:34
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.90%EV -6.47%E -3.87%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -0.503%E -0.096%K -0.118%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.00%EV -4.84%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-20 23:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.96%EV -2.55%E -1.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -16.61%E -3.78%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71%EV -4.84%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-20 23:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.96%EV -2.55%E -1.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -16.61%E -3.78%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71%EV -4.84%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-20 23:59
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.42%EV -5.35%E -3.17%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -10.93%E -2.32%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.65%EV -4.84%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-21 00:00
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -6.47%E -3.87%K -9.66%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -9.98%E -2.10%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -4.84%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 23:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -10.39%E -6.49%K -17.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -5.24%E -1.05%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -4.84%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 23:45
betano_uk🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -7.59%E -4.60%K -11.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -5.24%E -1.05%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -6.09%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 23:57
1xBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.16%EV -4.23%E -2.47%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.29I 18.90%NM 18.16%EV +0.255%E +0.048%K +0.059%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.68%EV -6.34%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-20 23:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.55%EV -8.71%E -5.34%K -13.82%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -7.14%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.64%EV -6.34%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-20 23:53
SportsBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.72%EV -5.35%E -3.17%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.24%E -1.05%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -7.35%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 23:59
FanDuel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.01%EV -6.47%E -3.87%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -5.24%E -1.05%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -7.35%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-21 00:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.01%EV -6.47%E -3.87%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -5.24%E -1.05%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -7.35%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 23:54
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.01%EV -6.47%E -3.87%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -5.24%E -1.05%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -7.35%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 23:59
Unibet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.49%EV -3.67%E -2.13%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -19.46%E -4.58%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -7.35%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 23:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.49%EV -3.67%E -2.13%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -19.46%E -4.58%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -7.35%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 23:59
Casumo🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.49%EV -3.67%E -2.13%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -19.46%E -4.58%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -7.35%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 23:59
Grosvenor🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.49%EV -3.67%E -2.13%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -19.46%E -4.58%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -7.35%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 23:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.49%EV -3.67%E -2.13%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -19.46%E -4.58%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -7.35%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 23:59
Bet Right🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.87%EV -6.47%E -3.87%K -9.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -14.72%E -3.27%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -7.35%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-20 23:59
BetRivers🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.44%EV -3.67%E -2.13%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -18.51%E -4.30%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -8.60%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 23:24
betPARX🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.44%EV -3.67%E -2.13%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -18.51%E -4.30%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -8.60%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 23:24
LeoVegas🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.84%EV -8.15%E -4.97%K -12.73%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -9.03%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -8.60%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-20 23:59
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -5.91%E -3.52%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -7.14%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -9.85%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-20 23:59
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -5.91%E -3.52%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -7.14%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -9.85%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-20 23:59
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.16%EV -5.91%E -3.52%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.11%EV -8.08%E -1.67%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -9.85%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-21 00:00
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.83%EV -9.27%E -5.72%K -14.95%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -9.98%E -2.10%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -9.85%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-20 23:59
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.07%EV -6.47%E -3.87%K -9.66%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.85%EV -17.94%E -4.14%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.08%EV -9.85%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-20 23:59
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.49%EV -9.27%E -5.72%K -14.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -12.82%E -2.79%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -9.85%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-20 23:44
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.29%EV -5.91%E -3.52%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.84%EV -22.30%E -5.44%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.87%EV -9.85%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-21 00:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.29%EV -5.91%E -3.52%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.84%EV -22.30%E -5.44%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.87%EV -9.85%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-21 00:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.29%EV -5.91%E -3.52%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.84%EV -22.30%E -5.44%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.87%EV -9.85%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-20 23:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.41%EV -7.03%E -4.23%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -22.30%E -5.44%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.97%EV -11.10%E -3.13%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-21 00:00
Paddy Power🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.98%EV -7.59%E -4.60%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -9.98%E -2.10%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -12.35%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-20 23:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 55.24%EV -10.95%E -6.89%K -18.56%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.30%EV -13.77%E -3.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.46%EV -13.61%E -3.94%K -5.55%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-20 23:58
NetBet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 55.28%EV -11.51%E -7.28%K -19.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.41%EV -14.72%E -3.27%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.32%EV -13.61%E -3.94%K -5.55%G +0.000%14.5%2026-09-21 00:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 53.35%EV -9.83%E -6.11%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.75%EV -25.14%E -6.36%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.90%EV -13.61%E -3.94%K -5.55%G +0.000%16.4%2026-09-20 23:59
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.70%EV -6.47%E -3.87%K -9.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -14.72%E -3.27%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -14.86%E -4.37%K -6.19%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-21 00:00
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.69%EV -9.27%E -5.72%K -14.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.26%EV -12.82%E -2.79%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.86%E -4.37%K -6.19%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-20 23:54
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 54.84%EV -9.83%E -6.11%K -16.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.19%EV -12.82%E -2.79%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.97%EV -14.86%E -4.37%K -6.19%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-20 23:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 54.84%EV -9.83%E -6.11%K -16.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.19%EV -12.82%E -2.79%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.97%EV -14.86%E -4.37%K -6.19%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-20 23:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 54.84%EV -9.83%E -6.11%K -16.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.19%EV -12.82%E -2.79%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.97%EV -14.86%E -4.37%K -6.19%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-20 23:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.31%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.46%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.23%0.3%2026-09-20 23:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.45%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.40%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.7%2026-09-20 23:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.13%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.40%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47%0.7%2026-09-21 00:00
Matchbook◎1.77I 56.50%NM 55.94%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.34%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%1.0%2026-09-21 00:00
Kalshi◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.49%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.79%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%1.2%2026-09-20 23:45
Smarkets◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.08%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.28%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.64%1.3%2026-09-21 00:00