Language:English
Pachuca v Necaxa
Head to Head
Pachuca (Local)
Prediction 56.73%1.76fair odd
EV -5.26%
Edge -3.15%
Kelly -7.85%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.67
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.00%56.71%56.68%57.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.611.611.6764.52%62.00%62.11%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Necaxa (Visit)
Prediction 19.36%5.16fair odd
EV -3.19%
Edge -0.638%
Kelly -0.797%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.88%19.42%19.41%20.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.614.605.0023.81%21.68%21.74%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.91%4.18fair odd
EV -1.99%
Edge -0.485%
Kelly -0.641%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.72%23.86%23.91%24.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.803.854.1027.78%26.34%25.97%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Pachuca (Local): 56.73%; Necaxa (Visit): 19.36%; Draw: 23.91%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.18. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.10, with an expected value of -1.99%; they do not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -5.26%E -3.15%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -3.19%E -0.638%K -0.797%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -4.38%E -1.09%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-28 13:28 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.14%EV -6.39%E -3.87%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 4.68I 21.37%NM 19.79%EV -9.38%E -2.01%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -7.96%E -2.07%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-28 14:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.24%EV -7.53%E -4.62%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -7.06%E -1.47%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -4.38%E -1.09%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-28 13:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.49%EV -7.53%E -4.62%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.59%EV -9.00%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -7.96%E -2.07%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-28 14:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.10%EV -8.09%E -5.00%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -5.12%E -1.05%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -7.96%E -2.07%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-28 14:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.10%EV -8.09%E -5.00%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -5.12%E -1.05%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -7.96%E -2.07%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-28 14:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.70%EV -8.09%E -5.00%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -7.06%E -1.47%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -9.16%E -2.41%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-28 15:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.00%EV -8.09%E -5.00%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.25%EV -14.81%E -3.36%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -13.94%E -3.87%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-28 13:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.87%EV -8.66%E -5.38%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.41%EV -7.06%E -1.47%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -1.99%E -0.485%K -0.641%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-28 13:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.15%EV -8.66%E -5.38%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.18%EV -14.81%E -3.36%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -13.94%E -3.87%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-28 13:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.15%EV -8.66%E -5.38%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.18%EV -14.81%E -3.36%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -13.94%E -3.87%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-28 13:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.15%EV -8.66%E -5.38%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.18%EV -14.81%E -3.36%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -13.94%E -3.87%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-28 13:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -9.23%E -5.77%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -10.93%E -2.38%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -6.77%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-28 13:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.46%EV -9.23%E -5.77%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -12.87%E -2.86%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -7.96%E -2.07%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-28 13:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.29%EV -9.23%E -5.77%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -12.87%E -2.86%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -9.16%E -2.41%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-28 13:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 55.25%EV -10.93%E -6.96%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.65%EV -18.68%E -4.45%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.10%EV -13.94%E -3.87%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-09-28 13:38 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 56.59%EV -12.06%E -7.78%K -21.94%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 19.71%EV -13.84%E -3.11%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.70%EV -11.55%E -3.12%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-28 13:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.54% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 19.83% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.63% | 6.0% | 2026-09-28 19:30 |