默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Pachuca v Necaxa

2026-10-11 23:15 UTC — Liga MX

胜负盘

17 家博彩公司 (7 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Pachuca (主队)

预测 56.54%1.77公平赔率
EV -5.58%
优势 -3.34%
Kelly -8.33%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.67

博彩公司预测分布
55.00%56.51%56.64%57.87%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.551.621.611.6764.52%61.86%62.11%59.88%最小值均值中位数最大值

Necaxa (客队)

预测 19.39%5.16公平赔率
EV -3.04%
优势 -0.609%
Kelly -0.761%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 5.00

博彩公司预测分布
18.76%19.41%19.43%20.65%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.204.614.605.0023.81%21.68%21.74%20.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 24.07%4.15公平赔率
EV -1.32%
优势 -0.321%
Kelly -0.424%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.10

博彩公司预测分布
22.72%24.08%23.94%25.53%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.603.773.804.1027.78%26.54%26.32%24.39%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Pachuca (主队):56.54%;Necaxa (客队):19.39%;平局:24.07%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.15。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率:当前最佳赔率为4.10,期望值为-1.32%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (17 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -5.58%E -3.34%K -8.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -3.04%E -0.609%K -0.761%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -3.72%E -0.931%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-28 13:28
1xBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.14%EV -6.71%E -4.07%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.68I 21.37%NM 19.79%EV -9.25%E -1.98%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -7.33%E -1.90%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-28 14:35
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -6.71%E -4.07%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -4.98%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -13.35%E -3.71%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-28 19:55
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -6.71%E -4.07%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -4.98%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -13.35%E -3.71%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-28 20:00
SportsBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.24%EV -7.84%E -4.81%K -12.45%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -6.92%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -3.72%E -0.931%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-28 13:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.49%EV -7.84%E -4.81%K -12.45%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.59%EV -8.86%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -7.33%E -1.90%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-28 14:34
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.70%EV -8.41%E -5.19%K -13.56%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -6.92%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -8.54%E -2.25%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-28 15:10
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.00%EV -8.41%E -5.19%K -13.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.25%EV -14.68%E -3.34%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -13.35%E -3.71%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-28 13:24
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.87%EV -8.97%E -5.57%K -14.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.41%EV -6.92%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -1.32%E -0.321%K -0.424%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-28 13:24
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.15%EV -8.97%E -5.57%K -14.71%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.18%EV -14.68%E -3.34%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -13.35%E -3.71%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-28 13:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.15%EV -8.97%E -5.57%K -14.71%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.18%EV -14.68%E -3.34%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -13.35%E -3.71%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-28 13:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.15%EV -8.97%E -5.57%K -14.71%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.18%EV -14.68%E -3.34%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -13.35%E -3.71%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-28 13:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -9.54%E -5.96%K -15.90%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -10.80%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -6.13%E -1.57%K -2.11%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-28 13:55
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.46%EV -9.54%E -5.96%K -15.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -12.74%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -7.33%E -1.90%K -2.57%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-28 13:24
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.29%EV -9.54%E -5.96%K -15.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -12.74%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -8.54%E -2.25%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-28 13:25
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 55.25%EV -11.23%E -7.15%K -19.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.65%EV -18.56%E -4.42%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.10%EV -13.35%E -3.71%K -5.13%G +0.000%15.3%2026-09-28 13:38
Betclic (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 56.59%EV -12.36%E -7.98%K -22.48%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.71%EV -13.71%E -3.08%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.70%EV -10.94%E -2.96%K -4.05%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-28 13:25
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎1.64I 60.98%NM 55.97%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.01%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.01%8.9%2026-09-28 20:20