A Escola das Odds

Pachuca v Necaxa

Início: 2026-03-04 01:02 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Pachuca (Local)

Previsão 54.49%1.84odd justa
EV +1.36%
Vantagem +0.729%
Kelly +1.58%
Crescimento +0.021%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.86

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.64%54.58%54.46%56.70%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.621.701.701.8661.73%58.93%58.82%53.76%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Necaxa (Visitante)

Previsão 21.40%4.67odd justa
EV +4.87%
Vantagem +0.994%
Kelly +1.25%
Crescimento +0.061%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.71%21.34%21.35%23.55%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.804.344.354.9026.32%23.03%22.99%20.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 24.11%4.15odd justa
EV -0.925%
Vantagem -0.225%
Kelly -0.297%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.11

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.37%24.08%24.20%25.81%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.353.773.804.1129.85%26.52%26.32%24.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.52%EV -5.18%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.71%EV +4.87%E +0.994%K +1.25%G +0.061%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.77%EV -5.99%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-04 01:00
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.52%EV -5.18%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.71%EV +4.87%E +0.994%K +1.25%G +0.061%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.77%EV -5.99%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-04 00:59
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 55.13%EV -6.82%E -3.99%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.06%EV +0.590%E +0.126%K +0.160%G +0.001%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -8.40%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 00:59
FanDuel1.65I 60.61%NM 56.70%EV -10.09%E -6.11%K -15.52%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.91%EV +0.590%E +0.126%K +0.160%G +0.001%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -3.58%E -0.894%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-04 00:59
Pinnacle1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -5.73%E -3.31%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.79%EV -0.694%E -0.150%K -0.191%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.47%EV -0.925%E -0.225%K -0.297%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-04 00:59
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.31%EV -9.54%E -5.75%K -14.46%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -1.55%E -0.337%K -0.430%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.58%E -0.894%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 01:00
1xBet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.47%EV -5.73%E -3.31%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.58I 21.83%NM 20.95%EV -1.98%E -0.432%K -0.552%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.58%EV -1.89%E -0.464%K -0.615%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-04 00:59
Coolbet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.34%EV -6.27%E -3.65%K -8.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%EV -3.69%E -0.820%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.50%EV -2.37%E -0.586%K -0.778%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 00:59
ATG (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.09%E -2.33%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -3.69%E -0.820%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -8.40%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 01:00
Svenska Spel1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.09%E -2.33%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -3.69%E -0.820%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -8.40%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 01:00
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 55.11%EV -7.91%E -4.68%K -11.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -3.69%E -0.820%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.19%EV -7.19%E -1.87%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-04 01:00
Unibet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -6.27%E -3.65%K -8.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -3.69%E -0.820%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -10.81%E -2.92%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-04 01:00
Unibet (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -6.27%E -3.65%K -8.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -3.69%E -0.820%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -10.81%E -2.92%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-04 01:00
Unibet (NL)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -6.27%E -3.65%K -8.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -3.69%E -0.820%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -10.81%E -2.92%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-04 01:00
Grosvenor1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -6.27%E -3.65%K -8.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -3.69%E -0.820%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -10.81%E -2.92%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-04 01:00
Casumo1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -6.27%E -3.65%K -8.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -3.69%E -0.820%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -10.81%E -2.92%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-04 01:00
betPARX1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -6.27%E -3.65%K -8.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -3.69%E -0.820%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -10.81%E -2.92%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-04 01:00
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -7.36%E -4.33%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -5.83%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -5.99%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-04 01:00
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -6.82%E -3.99%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -5.83%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -12.01%E -3.29%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-04 01:00
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 55.73%EV -11.72%E -7.24%K -18.91%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -5.83%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -8.40%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-04 01:00
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.47%EV -7.36%E -4.33%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.29%EV -6.90%E -1.59%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.24%EV -7.92%E -2.07%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-04 00:59
BetRivers1.71I 58.48%NM 54.08%EV -6.82%E -3.99%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26%EV -6.90%E -1.59%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -9.60%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-04 00:49
Bovada1.68I 59.52%NM 54.87%EV -8.45%E -5.03%K -12.43%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.19%EV -6.90%E -1.59%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -7.19%E -1.87%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-04 00:59
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 55.48%EV -10.09%E -6.11%K -15.52%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.04%EV -6.90%E -1.59%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -5.99%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-04 01:00
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 53.97%EV -8.45%E -5.03%K -12.43%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.84%EV -6.90%E -1.59%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -13.22%E -3.67%K -5.08%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-04 00:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 53.97%EV -8.45%E -5.03%K -12.43%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.84%EV -6.90%E -1.59%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -13.22%E -3.67%K -5.08%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-04 01:00
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -5.73%E -3.31%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -7.33%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -8.40%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-04 00:59
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 54.20%EV -6.82%E -3.99%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.41%EV -7.33%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -8.40%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-04 00:59
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -7.36%E -4.33%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.34%EV -7.33%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -8.40%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-04 01:00
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 54.91%EV -10.09%E -6.11%K -15.52%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.93%EV -7.33%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -9.60%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-04 01:00
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 54.12%EV -6.82%E -3.99%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV -7.97%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -8.40%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-04 01:00
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 54.44%EV -7.36%E -4.33%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV -7.97%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.04%EV -7.19%E -1.87%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-04 01:00
Virgin Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.99%EV -9.00%E -5.39%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.97%EV -7.97%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.04%EV -13.22%E -3.67%K -5.08%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-04 00:59
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.63%EV -7.36%E -4.33%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -9.04%E -2.13%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -4.78%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-04 01:00
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 54.63%EV -7.36%E -4.33%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -9.04%E -2.13%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -4.78%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-04 01:00
LeoVegas1.63I 61.35%NM 53.94%EV -11.18%E -6.86%K -17.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.94%EV -10.11%E -2.41%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.12%EV -15.63%E -4.47%K -6.25%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-04 01:00
Bet Right1.73I 57.80%NM 53.10%EV -5.73%E -3.31%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -9.60%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-04 00:59
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.17%EV -8.45%E -5.03%K -12.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -7.19%E -1.87%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-04 00:59
GTbets1.86I 53.76%NM 50.64%EV +1.36%E +0.729%K +1.58%G +0.021%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -12.01%E -3.29%K -4.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-04 00:59
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -9.00%E -5.39%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -13.22%E -3.67%K -5.08%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-04 00:59
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -9.00%E -5.39%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -13.22%E -3.67%K -5.08%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-04 01:00
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -9.00%E -5.39%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -13.22%E -3.67%K -5.08%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-04 00:59
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -9.00%E -5.39%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -13.22%E -3.67%K -5.08%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-04 00:59
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 54.44%EV -11.72%E -7.24%K -18.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.05%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.52%EV -9.60%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-04 01:00
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 53.63%EV -10.63%E -6.48%K -16.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.27%EV -15.46%E -3.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.10%EV -12.01%E -3.29%K -4.53%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-04 00:59
Betclic (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 53.50%EV -10.09%E -6.11%K -15.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.64%EV -16.53%E -4.24%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.86%EV -10.81%E -2.92%K -4.00%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-04 01:00
NetBet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 51.90%EV -10.09%E -6.11%K -15.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.54%EV -18.67%E -4.91%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.56%EV -19.25%E -5.74%K -8.19%G +0.000%16.8%2026-03-04 01:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.46%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.88%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%0.6%2026-03-04 01:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 55.58%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.96%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.46%2.2%2026-03-04 01:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 55.58%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.96%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.46%2.2%2026-03-04 01:00
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 55.58%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.96%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.46%2.2%2026-03-04 01:00
Smarkets1.74I 57.47%NM 55.72%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.63%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%3.1%2026-03-04 01:00