La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Pachuca v Necaxa
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Pachuca (Local)
Predicción 54.49%1.84momio equitativo
EV +1.36%
Ventaja +0.729%
Kelly +1.58%
Crecimiento +0.021%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.86
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.64%54.58%54.46%56.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.621.701.701.8661.73%58.93%58.82%53.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Necaxa (Visitante)
Predicción 21.40%4.67momio equitativo
EV +4.87%
Ventaja +0.994%
Kelly +1.25%
Crecimiento +0.061%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.71%21.34%21.35%23.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.804.344.354.9026.32%23.03%22.99%20.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 24.11%4.15momio equitativo
EV -0.925%
Ventaja -0.225%
Kelly -0.297%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.11
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.37%24.08%24.20%25.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.353.773.804.1129.85%26.52%26.32%24.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.52%EV -5.18%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.71%EV +4.87%E +0.994%K +1.25%G +0.061% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.77%EV -5.99%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-04 01:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.52%EV -5.18%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.71%EV +4.87%E +0.994%K +1.25%G +0.061% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.77%EV -5.99%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-04 00:59 |
| BetUS | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.13%EV -6.82%E -3.99%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.06%EV +0.590%E +0.126%K +0.160%G +0.001% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -8.40%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 00:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.70%EV -10.09%E -6.11%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.91%EV +0.590%E +0.126%K +0.160%G +0.001% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -3.58%E -0.894%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-04 00:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -5.73%E -3.31%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 4.64I 21.55%NM 20.79%EV -0.694%E -0.150%K -0.191%G +0.000% | 4.11I 24.33%NM 23.47%EV -0.925%E -0.225%K -0.297%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-04 00:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.31%EV -9.54%E -5.75%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -1.55%E -0.337%K -0.430%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.58%E -0.894%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 01:00 |
| 1xBet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.47%EV -5.73%E -3.31%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 4.58I 21.83%NM 20.95%EV -1.98%E -0.432%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.58%EV -1.89%E -0.464%K -0.615%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-04 00:59 |
| Coolbet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.34%EV -6.27%E -3.65%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%EV -3.69%E -0.820%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.50%EV -2.37%E -0.586%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 00:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.09%E -2.33%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -3.69%E -0.820%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -8.40%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 01:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.09%E -2.33%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -3.69%E -0.820%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -8.40%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 01:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.11%EV -7.91%E -4.68%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -3.69%E -0.820%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.19%EV -7.19%E -1.87%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-04 01:00 |
| Unibet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -6.27%E -3.65%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -3.69%E -0.820%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -10.81%E -2.92%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-04 01:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -6.27%E -3.65%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -3.69%E -0.820%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -10.81%E -2.92%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-04 01:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -6.27%E -3.65%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -3.69%E -0.820%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -10.81%E -2.92%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-04 01:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -6.27%E -3.65%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -3.69%E -0.820%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -10.81%E -2.92%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-04 01:00 |
| Casumo | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -6.27%E -3.65%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -3.69%E -0.820%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -10.81%E -2.92%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-04 01:00 |
| betPARX | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -6.27%E -3.65%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -3.69%E -0.820%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -10.81%E -2.92%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-04 01:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -7.36%E -4.33%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -5.83%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -5.99%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-04 01:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -6.82%E -3.99%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -5.83%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -12.01%E -3.29%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-04 01:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.73%EV -11.72%E -7.24%K -18.91%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -5.83%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -8.40%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-04 01:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.47%EV -7.36%E -4.33%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.29%EV -6.90%E -1.59%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.24%EV -7.92%E -2.07%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-04 00:59 |
| BetRivers | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.08%EV -6.82%E -3.99%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26%EV -6.90%E -1.59%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -9.60%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-04 00:49 |
| Bovada | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.87%EV -8.45%E -5.03%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.19%EV -6.90%E -1.59%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -7.19%E -1.87%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-04 00:59 |
| Fliff | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.48%EV -10.09%E -6.11%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.04%EV -6.90%E -1.59%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -5.99%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-04 01:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.97%EV -8.45%E -5.03%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.84%EV -6.90%E -1.59%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -13.22%E -3.67%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-04 00:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.97%EV -8.45%E -5.03%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.84%EV -6.90%E -1.59%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -13.22%E -3.67%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-04 01:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -5.73%E -3.31%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -7.33%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -8.40%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-04 00:59 |
| BetMGM | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.20%EV -6.82%E -3.99%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.41%EV -7.33%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -8.40%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-04 00:59 |
| Betway | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -7.36%E -4.33%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.34%EV -7.33%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -8.40%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-04 01:00 |
| Everygame | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.91%EV -10.09%E -6.11%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.93%EV -7.33%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -9.60%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-04 01:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.12%EV -6.82%E -3.99%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV -7.97%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -8.40%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-04 01:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.44%EV -7.36%E -4.33%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV -7.97%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.04%EV -7.19%E -1.87%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-04 01:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.99%EV -9.00%E -5.39%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.97%EV -7.97%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.04%EV -13.22%E -3.67%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-04 00:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.63%EV -7.36%E -4.33%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -9.04%E -2.13%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -4.78%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-04 01:00 |
| Betsson | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.63%EV -7.36%E -4.33%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -9.04%E -2.13%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -4.78%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-04 01:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.63I 61.35%NM 53.94%EV -11.18%E -6.86%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.94%EV -10.11%E -2.41%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.12%EV -15.63%E -4.47%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-04 01:00 |
| Bet Right | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.10%EV -5.73%E -3.31%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -9.60%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-04 00:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.17%EV -8.45%E -5.03%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -7.19%E -1.87%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-04 00:59 |
| GTbets | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.64%EV +1.36%E +0.729%K +1.58%G +0.021% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -12.01%E -3.29%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-04 00:59 |
| 888sport | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -9.00%E -5.39%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -13.22%E -3.67%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-04 00:59 |
| William Hill | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -9.00%E -5.39%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -13.22%E -3.67%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-04 01:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -9.00%E -5.39%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -13.22%E -3.67%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-04 00:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -9.00%E -5.39%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -13.22%E -3.67%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-04 00:59 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.44%EV -11.72%E -7.24%K -18.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.05%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.52%EV -9.60%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-03-04 01:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 53.63%EV -10.63%E -6.48%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.27%EV -15.46%E -3.91%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.10%EV -12.01%E -3.29%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-04 00:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.50%EV -10.09%E -6.11%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.64%EV -16.53%E -4.24%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.86%EV -10.81%E -2.92%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-04 01:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 51.90%EV -10.09%E -6.11%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.54%EV -18.67%E -4.91%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.56%EV -19.25%E -5.74%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-03-04 01:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.46% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.88% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66% | 0.6% | 2026-03-04 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.58% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.96% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.46% | 2.2% | 2026-03-04 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.58% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.96% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.46% | 2.2% | 2026-03-04 01:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.58% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.96% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.46% | 2.2% | 2026-03-04 01:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.72% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.63% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65% | 3.1% | 2026-03-04 01:00 |