Language:English
Necaxa v Tigres
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Necaxa (Local)
Prediction 25.75%3.88fair odd
EV +7.88%
Edge +1.88%
Kelly +2.47%
Growth +0.195%
assuming max odds 4.19
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.90%25.87%25.80%27.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.583.584.1931.25%27.97%27.97%23.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tigres (Visit)
Prediction 47.32%2.11fair odd
EV -3.95%
Edge -1.94%
Kelly -3.83%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.03
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.81%47.28%47.30%49.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.811.941.942.0355.25%51.67%51.55%49.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.94%3.71fair odd
EV -4.11%
Edge -1.15%
Kelly -1.60%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.56
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.47%26.85%26.91%28.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.403.443.5633.33%29.43%29.11%28.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Necaxa (Local): 25.75%; Tigres (Visit): 47.32%; Draw: 26.94%. For Necaxa (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.88. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.19, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.88%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.19I 23.87%NM 22.90%EV +7.88%E +1.88%K +2.47%G +0.195% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.45%EV -8.21%E -4.23%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.65%EV -6.53%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-18 22:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.98%EV -0.359%E -0.093%K -0.125%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.86%EV -4.42%E -2.19%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.16%EV -4.11%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-18 22:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.88%EV -0.617%E -0.160%K -0.216%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.42%E -2.19%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.59%EV -6.26%E -1.80%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-18 22:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%EV -0.874%E -0.227%K -0.307%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.60%EV -3.95%E -1.94%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.30%EV -4.65%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-18 22:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%EV -0.874%E -0.227%K -0.307%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.60%EV -3.95%E -1.94%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.30%EV -4.65%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-18 22:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.75%EV -0.874%E -0.227%K -0.307%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.37%E -2.68%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.62%EV -7.07%E -2.05%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-18 22:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -2.16%E -0.569%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -7.73%E -3.97%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -5.72%E -1.64%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 21:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.25%EV -3.45%E -0.920%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.07%EV -6.79%E -3.44%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.68%EV -4.38%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-18 22:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.25%EV -3.45%E -0.920%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.07%EV -6.79%E -3.44%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.68%EV -4.38%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-18 22:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -3.45%E -0.920%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.73%E -3.97%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.42%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-18 22:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -4.74%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -5.37%E -2.68%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.72%E -1.64%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-18 22:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.74%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -7.73%E -3.97%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -5.72%E -1.64%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 22:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -4.74%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.11%EV -8.21%E -4.23%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.72%E -1.64%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 22:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -4.74%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.24%EV -8.68%E -4.50%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -5.72%E -1.64%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-18 22:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -4.74%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.24%EV -8.68%E -4.50%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -5.72%E -1.64%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-18 22:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -4.74%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.24%EV -8.68%E -4.50%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -5.72%E -1.64%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-18 22:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -4.74%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.24%EV -8.68%E -4.50%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -5.72%E -1.64%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-18 22:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -4.74%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.24%EV -8.68%E -4.50%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -5.72%E -1.64%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-18 22:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.17%EV -5.25%E -1.43%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.75%EV -8.21%E -4.23%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.08%EV -7.88%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 22:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -6.02%E -1.65%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.89%EV -8.68%E -4.50%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -7.07%E -2.05%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-18 22:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -6.02%E -1.65%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.12%EV -7.26%E -3.70%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -9.76%E -2.91%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-18 22:38 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -6.02%E -1.65%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.02%EV -9.15%E -4.77%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -7.07%E -2.05%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 22:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -6.02%E -1.65%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.38%EV -8.21%E -4.23%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -9.76%E -2.91%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 22:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -7.31%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -10.10%E -5.31%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -8.42%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-18 22:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -7.31%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.06%EV -10.57%E -5.59%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.42%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-18 22:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -7.31%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -9.62%E -5.04%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -11.11%E -3.37%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-18 22:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -8.60%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -6.31%E -3.19%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.07%E -2.05%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 21:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -8.60%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -6.31%E -3.19%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.07%E -2.05%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 21:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -8.60%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.29%EV -5.37%E -2.68%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -9.76%E -2.91%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 22:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -8.60%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.96%EV -11.52%E -6.16%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -9.76%E -2.91%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-18 22:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.89%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.73%E -3.97%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.72%E -1.64%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 21:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.89%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.73%E -3.97%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.42%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-18 17:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -9.89%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -9.62%E -5.04%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -12.46%E -3.83%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-18 22:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -9.89%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.14%EV -13.41%E -7.33%K -16.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.69%EV -11.11%E -3.37%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-18 22:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -9.89%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.14%EV -13.41%E -7.33%K -16.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.69%EV -11.11%E -3.37%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-18 22:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.51%EV -9.89%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.89%EV -13.41%E -7.33%K -16.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.60%EV -19.19%E -6.40%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-04-18 22:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -12.46%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -5.37%E -2.68%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -5.72%E -1.64%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 17:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -12.46%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.88%EV -8.21%E -4.23%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -7.07%E -2.05%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-18 21:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.46%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -7.73%E -3.97%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -13.80%E -4.31%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-18 02:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -12.46%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.33%EV -9.62%E -5.04%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -13.80%E -4.31%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-18 21:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -12.46%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.33%EV -9.62%E -5.04%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -13.80%E -4.31%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-18 21:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -12.46%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.33%EV -9.62%E -5.04%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -13.80%E -4.31%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-18 21:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -12.46%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.33%EV -9.62%E -5.04%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -13.80%E -4.31%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-18 21:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -12.46%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 47.65%EV -12.94%E -7.03%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.57%EV -11.11%E -3.37%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-18 22:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.37%EV -12.46%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 47.66%EV -14.36%E -7.93%K -17.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.96%EV -13.80%E -4.31%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-04-18 21:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -13.75%E -4.10%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -5.37%E -2.68%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.07%E -2.05%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 17:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.16%EV -13.75%E -4.10%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 46.87%EV -11.52%E -6.16%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -12.46%E -3.83%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-18 22:32 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -16.32%E -5.02%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -7.73%E -3.97%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -8.42%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-18 17:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -16.32%E -5.02%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -7.73%E -3.97%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -8.42%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-18 17:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -16.32%E -5.02%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -7.73%E -3.97%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -8.42%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-18 17:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.04%EV -16.32%E -5.02%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.74%EV -11.04%E -5.87%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.23%EV -9.76%E -2.91%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-18 21:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -17.61%E -5.50%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -9.62%E -5.04%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -5.72%E -1.64%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-18 16:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.86% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87% | 0.6% | 2026-04-18 22:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.09% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.14% | 0.9% | 2026-04-18 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.09% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.14% | 0.9% | 2026-04-18 22:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.09% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.14% | 0.9% | 2026-04-18 22:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.79% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.00% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.20% | 2.1% | 2026-04-18 22:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.74% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.59% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.68% | 5.0% | 2026-04-18 22:50 |