مدرسة الاحتمالات

Necaxa v Tigres

البداية: 2026-04-18 23:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Necaxa 1–1 Tigres

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

52 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Necaxa (المضيف)

التنبؤ 25.75%3.88السعر العادل
EV +7.88%
الأفضلية +1.88%
Kelly +2.47%
النمو +0.195%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.19

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
22.90%25.87%25.80%27.86%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.203.583.584.1931.25%27.97%27.97%23.87%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Tigres (الضيف)

التنبؤ 47.32%2.11السعر العادل
EV -3.95%
الأفضلية -1.94%
Kelly -3.83%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.03

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
45.81%47.28%47.30%49.45%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.811.941.942.0355.25%51.67%51.55%49.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 26.94%3.71السعر العادل
EV -4.11%
الأفضلية -1.15%
Kelly -1.60%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.56

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.47%26.85%26.91%28.60%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.403.443.5633.33%29.43%29.11%28.09%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (52 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet4.19I 23.87%NM 22.90%EV +7.88%E +1.88%K +2.47%G +0.195%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.45%EV -8.21%E -4.23%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.65%EV -6.53%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-18 22:55
Pinnacle3.87I 25.84%NM 24.98%EV -0.359%E -0.093%K -0.125%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.86%EV -4.42%E -2.19%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.16%EV -4.11%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-18 22:55
GTbets3.86I 25.91%NM 24.88%EV -0.617%E -0.160%K -0.216%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.42%E -2.19%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.59%EV -6.26%E -1.80%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-18 22:55
LowVig.ag3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%EV -0.874%E -0.227%K -0.307%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.60%EV -3.95%E -1.94%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.30%EV -4.65%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-18 22:45
BetOnline.ag3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%EV -0.874%E -0.227%K -0.307%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.60%EV -3.95%E -1.94%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.30%EV -4.65%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-18 22:45
Coolbet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.75%EV -0.874%E -0.227%K -0.307%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.37%E -2.68%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.62%EV -7.07%E -2.05%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 22:40
FanDuel3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -2.16%E -0.569%K -0.772%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -7.73%E -3.97%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -5.72%E -1.64%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 21:59
ATG (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.25%EV -3.45%E -0.920%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.07%EV -6.79%E -3.44%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.68%EV -4.38%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 22:20
Svenska Spel3.75I 26.67%NM 25.25%EV -3.45%E -0.920%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.07%EV -6.79%E -3.44%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.68%EV -4.38%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 22:20
SportsBet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -3.45%E -0.920%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.73%E -3.97%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.42%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 22:55
DraftKings3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -4.74%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -5.37%E -2.68%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.72%E -1.64%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 22:55
Bet Victor3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.74%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -7.73%E -3.97%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -5.72%E -1.64%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 22:55
Unibet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -4.74%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.11%EV -8.21%E -4.23%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.72%E -1.64%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 22:20
Grosvenor3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -4.74%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.24%EV -8.68%E -4.50%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -5.72%E -1.64%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 22:20
Casumo3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -4.74%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.24%EV -8.68%E -4.50%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -5.72%E -1.64%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 22:20
Unibet (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -4.74%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.24%EV -8.68%E -4.50%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -5.72%E -1.64%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 22:20
Unibet (NL)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -4.74%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.24%EV -8.68%E -4.50%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -5.72%E -1.64%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 22:20
betPARX3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -4.74%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.24%EV -8.68%E -4.50%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -5.72%E -1.64%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 22:20
Marathon Bet3.68I 27.17%NM 25.17%EV -5.25%E -1.43%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.75%EV -8.21%E -4.23%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.08%EV -7.88%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 22:55
BetRivers3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -6.02%E -1.65%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.89%EV -8.68%E -4.50%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -7.07%E -2.05%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 22:20
Bovada3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -6.02%E -1.65%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.12%EV -7.26%E -3.70%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -9.76%E -2.91%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 22:38
TABtouch3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -6.02%E -1.65%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.02%EV -9.15%E -4.77%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -7.07%E -2.05%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 22:20
BetUS3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -6.02%E -1.65%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.38%EV -8.21%E -4.23%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -9.76%E -2.91%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 22:55
LiveScore Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -7.31%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -10.10%E -5.31%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -8.42%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 22:20
LeoVegas (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -7.31%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.06%EV -10.57%E -5.59%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.42%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 22:20
Paddy Power3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -7.31%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -9.62%E -5.04%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -11.11%E -3.37%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 22:55
Betsson3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -8.60%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -6.31%E -3.19%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.07%E -2.05%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 21:05
NordicBet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -8.60%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -6.31%E -3.19%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.07%E -2.05%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 21:05
PlayUp3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -8.60%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.29%EV -5.37%E -2.68%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -9.76%E -2.91%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 22:55
Virgin Bet3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -8.60%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 47.96%EV -11.52%E -6.16%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -9.76%E -2.91%K -4.15%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 22:20
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.89%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.73%E -3.97%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.72%E -1.64%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 21:05
Fanatics3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.89%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.73%E -3.97%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.42%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 17:45
Sky Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -9.89%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -9.62%E -5.04%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -12.46%E -3.83%K -5.54%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-18 22:55
PMU (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -9.89%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.14%EV -13.41%E -7.33%K -16.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.69%EV -11.11%E -3.37%K -4.83%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-18 22:20
LeoVegas3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -9.89%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.14%EV -13.41%E -7.33%K -16.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.69%EV -11.11%E -3.37%K -4.83%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-18 22:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 24.51%EV -9.89%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 46.89%EV -13.41%E -7.33%K -16.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.60%EV -19.19%E -6.40%K -9.60%G +0.000%16.5%2026-04-18 22:55
BetMGM3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -12.46%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -5.37%E -2.68%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -5.72%E -1.64%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 17:40
Winamax (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -12.46%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.88%EV -8.21%E -4.23%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -7.07%E -2.05%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 21:55
Everygame3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.46%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -7.73%E -3.97%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -13.80%E -4.31%K -6.27%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-18 02:45
888sport3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -12.46%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.33%EV -9.62%E -5.04%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -13.80%E -4.31%K -6.27%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-18 21:50
William Hill3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -12.46%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.33%EV -9.62%E -5.04%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -13.80%E -4.31%K -6.27%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-18 21:50
888sport (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -12.46%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.33%EV -9.62%E -5.04%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -13.80%E -4.31%K -6.27%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-18 21:50
Mr Green (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -12.46%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.33%EV -9.62%E -5.04%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -13.80%E -4.31%K -6.27%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-18 21:50
Unibet (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -12.46%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 47.65%EV -12.94%E -7.03%K -15.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.57%EV -11.11%E -3.37%K -4.83%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-18 22:35
NetBet (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 25.37%EV -12.46%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 47.66%EV -14.36%E -7.93%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.96%EV -13.80%E -4.31%K -6.27%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-18 21:10
Bet Right3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -13.75%E -4.10%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -5.37%E -2.68%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.07%E -2.05%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 17:40
Betclic (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 26.16%EV -13.75%E -4.10%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 46.87%EV -11.52%E -6.16%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -12.46%E -3.83%K -5.54%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-18 22:32
betfred_uk3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -16.32%E -5.02%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -7.73%E -3.97%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -8.42%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 17:39
Ladbrokes (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -16.32%E -5.02%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -7.73%E -3.97%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -8.42%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 17:40
Coral3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -16.32%E -5.02%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -7.73%E -3.97%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -8.42%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 17:40
Winamax (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.04%EV -16.32%E -5.02%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 46.74%EV -11.04%E -5.87%K -12.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.23%EV -9.76%E -2.91%K -4.15%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-18 21:55
BoyleSports3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -17.61%E -5.50%K -8.00%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -9.62%E -5.04%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -5.72%E -1.64%K -2.29%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-18 16:05
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.86%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87%0.6%2026-04-18 22:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.09%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.14%0.9%2026-04-18 22:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.09%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.14%0.9%2026-04-18 22:55
Matchbook4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.09%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.14%0.9%2026-04-18 22:55
Smarkets3.95I 25.32%NM 24.79%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.00%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.20%2.1%2026-04-18 22:55
Kalshi3.85I 25.97%NM 24.74%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.59%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.68%5.0%2026-04-18 22:50