La scuola delle quote

Necaxa v Pumas

Inizio: 2026-03-07 03:04 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

50 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Necaxa (Casa)

Previsione 32.73%3.06quota equa
EV +0.139%
Vantaggio +0.046%
Kelly +0.068%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.06

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.40%32.78%32.73%33.70%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.622.832.823.0638.17%35.30%35.46%32.68%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pumas (Trasferta)

Previsione 40.79%2.45quota equa
EV -3.74%
Vantaggio -1.58%
Kelly -2.75%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.36

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.02%40.79%40.78%42.14%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.102.252.252.3647.62%44.42%44.35%42.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 26.49%3.78quota equa
EV -1.47%
Vantaggio -0.395%
Kelly -0.541%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.72

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.23%26.43%26.49%28.02%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.453.453.7233.33%28.97%28.99%26.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (50 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet3.06I 32.68%NM 31.40%EV +0.139%E +0.046%K +0.068%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.14%EV -7.00%E -3.07%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.47%EV -3.85%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 02:59
LowVig.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 32.20%EV -1.82%E -0.608%K -0.912%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.82%EV -5.78%E -2.50%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.97%EV -1.47%E -0.395%K -0.541%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-07 03:00
BetOnline.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 32.20%EV -1.82%E -0.608%K -0.912%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.82%EV -5.78%E -2.50%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.97%EV -1.47%E -0.395%K -0.541%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-07 03:00
Unibet (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.04%EV -1.82%E -0.608%K -0.912%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.26%EV -4.96%E -2.13%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.70%EV -4.65%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-07 03:00
Casumo3.00I 33.33%NM 32.04%EV -1.82%E -0.608%K -0.912%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.26%EV -4.96%E -2.13%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.70%EV -4.65%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-07 03:00
Svenska Spel3.00I 33.33%NM 32.04%EV -1.82%E -0.608%K -0.912%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.26%EV -4.96%E -2.13%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.70%EV -4.65%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-07 03:00
Unibet (NL)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.75%EV -1.82%E -0.608%K -0.912%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.42%EV -6.19%E -2.69%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.83%EV -5.97%E -1.68%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 03:00
ATG (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.75%EV -1.82%E -0.608%K -0.912%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.42%EV -6.19%E -2.69%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.83%EV -5.97%E -1.68%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 03:00
Pinnacle2.97I 33.67%NM 32.62%EV -2.81%E -0.945%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.05%EV -3.74%E -1.58%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.33%EV -2.53%E -0.688%K -0.944%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-07 02:59
TABtouch2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV -3.46%E -1.17%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.25%EV -7.00%E -3.07%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.30%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 03:00
Coolbet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.84%EV -5.10%E -1.76%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.41%EV -6.19%E -2.69%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.74%EV -2.00%E -0.541%K -0.741%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 02:57
Unibet (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -5.10%E -1.76%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -6.19%E -2.69%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.30%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 03:00
Unibet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -5.10%E -1.76%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%EV -8.23%E -3.66%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -8.62%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 03:00
Grosvenor2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -5.10%E -1.76%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%EV -8.23%E -3.66%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -8.62%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 03:00
betPARX2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -5.10%E -1.76%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%EV -8.23%E -3.66%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -8.62%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 03:00
GTbets2.88I 34.72%NM 32.78%EV -5.75%E -2.00%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.70%EV -5.37%E -2.32%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.52%EV -5.71%E -1.60%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 02:59
Marathon Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.20%EV -5.75%E -2.00%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 40.85%EV -7.41%E -3.26%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.96%EV -8.89%E -2.58%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 02:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.99%EV -5.75%E -2.00%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.31%EV -9.04%E -4.05%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -8.62%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 03:00
DraftKings2.85I 35.09%NM 32.87%EV -6.73%E -2.36%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.73%EV -6.19%E -2.69%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -5.97%E -1.68%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 03:00
FanDuel2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -6.73%E -2.36%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -6.19%E -2.69%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.30%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 03:00
BetMGM2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -6.73%E -2.36%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -6.19%E -2.69%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.30%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 03:00
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -6.73%E -2.36%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -8.23%E -3.66%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.95%E -2.93%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 03:00
LiveScore Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -6.73%E -2.36%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -10.27%E -4.67%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -9.95%E -2.93%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-07 02:59
Bovada2.83I 35.34%NM 32.67%EV -7.39%E -2.61%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 40.91%EV -7.82%E -3.46%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -7.30%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 02:57
NordicBet2.82I 35.46%NM 32.97%EV -7.71%E -2.74%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.08%EV -5.37%E -2.32%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -8.62%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 03:00
Betsson2.82I 35.46%NM 32.97%EV -7.71%E -2.74%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.08%EV -5.37%E -2.32%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -8.62%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 02:59
Bet Victor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -8.37%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.19%E -2.69%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -4.65%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 02:54
BetUS2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -8.37%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.19%E -2.69%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -4.65%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 02:59
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -8.37%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -6.19%E -2.69%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.30%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 03:00
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -8.37%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.19%E -2.69%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.95%E -2.93%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 03:00
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -8.37%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -8.23%E -3.66%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.30%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 02:59
Fliff2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.37%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -8.23%E -3.66%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -9.95%E -2.93%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 03:00
Virgin Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -8.37%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.16%EV -11.08%E -5.08%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.79%EV -11.27%E -3.36%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-07 02:59
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -6.19%E -2.69%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.30%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 02:59
Everygame2.75I 36.36%NM 33.12%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -8.23%E -3.66%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -8.62%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 02:59
Winamax (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.06%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -10.27%E -4.67%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -5.97%E -1.68%K -2.34%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-07 02:59
Paddy Power2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.27%E -4.67%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -12.60%E -3.82%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-07 03:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.27%E -4.67%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -12.60%E -3.82%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-07 03:00
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.27%E -4.67%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -12.60%E -3.82%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-07 03:00
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -10.27%E -4.67%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -13.92%E -4.28%K -6.19%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-07 02:59
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -10.27%E -4.67%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -13.92%E -4.28%K -6.19%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-07 02:59
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -10.27%E -4.67%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -13.92%E -4.28%K -6.19%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-07 02:59
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -10.27%E -4.67%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -13.92%E -4.28%K -6.19%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-07 02:59
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 32.07%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 41.21%EV -12.71%E -5.94%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -12.60%E -3.82%K -5.48%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-07 03:00
Sky Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 32.70%EV -11.64%E -4.31%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -10.27%E -4.67%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -13.92%E -4.28%K -6.19%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-07 03:00
Betclic (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -11.64%E -4.31%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.85%EV -12.30%E -5.72%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -12.60%E -3.82%K -5.48%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-07 02:56
Winamax (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.20%EV -13.28%E -5.01%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.92%EV -12.30%E -5.72%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.88%EV -9.95%E -2.93%K -4.14%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-07 02:59
NetBet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 32.36%EV -13.28%E -5.01%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.84%EV -14.34%E -6.83%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.80%EV -15.24%E -4.76%K -6.93%G +0.000%16.6%2026-03-07 02:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 31.96%EV -13.93%E -5.30%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.02%EV -14.34%E -6.83%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.02%EV -20.54%E -6.85%K -10.27%G +0.000%19.0%2026-03-07 03:00
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 33.70%EV -14.26%E -5.44%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -12.30%E -5.72%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.23%EV -7.30%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-07 03:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.00%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46%0.8%2026-03-07 03:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.00%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46%0.8%2026-03-07 03:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.00%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46%0.8%2026-03-07 03:00
Matchbook3.00I 33.33%NM 32.90%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.78%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32%1.3%2026-03-07 03:00
Smarkets2.96I 33.78%NM 32.97%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.66%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.37%2.5%2026-03-07 03:00