La escuela de los momios

Necaxa v Pumas

Inicio: 2026-03-07 03:04 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Necaxa (Local)

Predicción 32.73%3.06momio equitativo
EV +0.139%
Ventaja +0.046%
Kelly +0.068%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.06

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.40%32.78%32.73%33.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.622.832.823.0638.17%35.30%35.46%32.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Pumas (Visitante)

Predicción 40.79%2.45momio equitativo
EV -3.74%
Ventaja -1.58%
Kelly -2.75%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.36

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.02%40.79%40.78%42.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.252.252.3647.62%44.42%44.35%42.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.49%3.78momio equitativo
EV -1.47%
Ventaja -0.395%
Kelly -0.541%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.72

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.23%26.43%26.49%28.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.453.453.7233.33%28.97%28.99%26.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet3.06I 32.68%NM 31.40%EV +0.139%E +0.046%K +0.068%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.14%EV -7.00%E -3.07%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.47%EV -3.85%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 02:59
LowVig.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 32.20%EV -1.82%E -0.608%K -0.912%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.82%EV -5.78%E -2.50%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.97%EV -1.47%E -0.395%K -0.541%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-07 03:00
BetOnline.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 32.20%EV -1.82%E -0.608%K -0.912%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.82%EV -5.78%E -2.50%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.97%EV -1.47%E -0.395%K -0.541%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-07 03:00
Unibet (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.04%EV -1.82%E -0.608%K -0.912%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.26%EV -4.96%E -2.13%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.70%EV -4.65%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-07 03:00
Casumo3.00I 33.33%NM 32.04%EV -1.82%E -0.608%K -0.912%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.26%EV -4.96%E -2.13%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.70%EV -4.65%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-07 03:00
Svenska Spel3.00I 33.33%NM 32.04%EV -1.82%E -0.608%K -0.912%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.26%EV -4.96%E -2.13%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.70%EV -4.65%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-07 03:00
Unibet (NL)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.75%EV -1.82%E -0.608%K -0.912%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.42%EV -6.19%E -2.69%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.83%EV -5.97%E -1.68%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 03:00
ATG (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.75%EV -1.82%E -0.608%K -0.912%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.42%EV -6.19%E -2.69%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.83%EV -5.97%E -1.68%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 03:00
Pinnacle2.97I 33.67%NM 32.62%EV -2.81%E -0.945%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.05%EV -3.74%E -1.58%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.33%EV -2.53%E -0.688%K -0.944%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-07 02:59
TABtouch2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV -3.46%E -1.17%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.25%EV -7.00%E -3.07%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.30%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 03:00
Coolbet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.84%EV -5.10%E -1.76%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.41%EV -6.19%E -2.69%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.74%EV -2.00%E -0.541%K -0.741%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 02:57
Unibet (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -5.10%E -1.76%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -6.19%E -2.69%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.30%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 03:00
Unibet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -5.10%E -1.76%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%EV -8.23%E -3.66%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -8.62%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 03:00
Grosvenor2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -5.10%E -1.76%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%EV -8.23%E -3.66%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -8.62%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 03:00
betPARX2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -5.10%E -1.76%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%EV -8.23%E -3.66%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -8.62%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 03:00
GTbets2.88I 34.72%NM 32.78%EV -5.75%E -2.00%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.70%EV -5.37%E -2.32%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.52%EV -5.71%E -1.60%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 02:59
Marathon Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.20%EV -5.75%E -2.00%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 40.85%EV -7.41%E -3.26%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.96%EV -8.89%E -2.58%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 02:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.99%EV -5.75%E -2.00%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.31%EV -9.04%E -4.05%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -8.62%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 03:00
DraftKings2.85I 35.09%NM 32.87%EV -6.73%E -2.36%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.73%EV -6.19%E -2.69%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -5.97%E -1.68%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 03:00
FanDuel2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -6.73%E -2.36%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -6.19%E -2.69%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.30%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 03:00
BetMGM2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -6.73%E -2.36%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -6.19%E -2.69%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.30%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 03:00
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -6.73%E -2.36%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -8.23%E -3.66%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.95%E -2.93%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 03:00
LiveScore Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -6.73%E -2.36%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -10.27%E -4.67%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -9.95%E -2.93%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-07 02:59
Bovada2.83I 35.34%NM 32.67%EV -7.39%E -2.61%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 40.91%EV -7.82%E -3.46%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -7.30%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 02:57
NordicBet2.82I 35.46%NM 32.97%EV -7.71%E -2.74%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.08%EV -5.37%E -2.32%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -8.62%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 03:00
Betsson2.82I 35.46%NM 32.97%EV -7.71%E -2.74%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.08%EV -5.37%E -2.32%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -8.62%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 02:59
Bet Victor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -8.37%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.19%E -2.69%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -4.65%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 02:54
BetUS2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -8.37%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.19%E -2.69%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -4.65%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 02:59
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -8.37%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -6.19%E -2.69%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.30%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 03:00
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -8.37%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.19%E -2.69%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.95%E -2.93%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 03:00
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -8.37%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -8.23%E -3.66%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.30%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 02:59
Fliff2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.37%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -8.23%E -3.66%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -9.95%E -2.93%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 03:00
Virgin Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -8.37%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.16%EV -11.08%E -5.08%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.79%EV -11.27%E -3.36%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-07 02:59
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -6.19%E -2.69%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.30%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 02:59
Everygame2.75I 36.36%NM 33.12%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -8.23%E -3.66%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -8.62%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 02:59
Winamax (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.06%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -10.27%E -4.67%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -5.97%E -1.68%K -2.34%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-07 02:59
Paddy Power2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.27%E -4.67%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -12.60%E -3.82%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-07 03:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.27%E -4.67%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -12.60%E -3.82%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-07 03:00
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.27%E -4.67%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -12.60%E -3.82%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-07 03:00
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -10.27%E -4.67%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -13.92%E -4.28%K -6.19%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-07 02:59
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -10.27%E -4.67%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -13.92%E -4.28%K -6.19%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-07 02:59
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -10.27%E -4.67%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -13.92%E -4.28%K -6.19%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-07 02:59
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -10.27%E -4.67%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -13.92%E -4.28%K -6.19%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-07 02:59
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 32.07%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 41.21%EV -12.71%E -5.94%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -12.60%E -3.82%K -5.48%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-07 03:00
Sky Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 32.70%EV -11.64%E -4.31%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -10.27%E -4.67%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -13.92%E -4.28%K -6.19%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-07 03:00
Betclic (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -11.64%E -4.31%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.85%EV -12.30%E -5.72%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -12.60%E -3.82%K -5.48%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-07 02:56
Winamax (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.20%EV -13.28%E -5.01%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.92%EV -12.30%E -5.72%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.88%EV -9.95%E -2.93%K -4.14%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-07 02:59
NetBet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 32.36%EV -13.28%E -5.01%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.84%EV -14.34%E -6.83%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.80%EV -15.24%E -4.76%K -6.93%G +0.000%16.6%2026-03-07 02:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 31.96%EV -13.93%E -5.30%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.02%EV -14.34%E -6.83%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.02%EV -20.54%E -6.85%K -10.27%G +0.000%19.0%2026-03-07 03:00
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 33.70%EV -14.26%E -5.44%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -12.30%E -5.72%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.23%EV -7.30%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-07 03:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.00%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46%0.8%2026-03-07 03:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.00%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46%0.8%2026-03-07 03:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.00%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46%0.8%2026-03-07 03:00
Matchbook3.00I 33.33%NM 32.90%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.78%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32%1.3%2026-03-07 03:00
Smarkets2.96I 33.78%NM 32.97%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.66%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.37%2.5%2026-03-07 03:00