L’École des cotes

Necaxa v Pumas

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-07 03:04 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Necaxa (Local)

Prévision 32.73%3.06cote équitable
EV +0.139%
Avantage +0.046%
Kelly +0.068%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.06

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.40%32.78%32.73%33.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.622.832.823.0638.17%35.30%35.46%32.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Pumas (Visiteur)

Prévision 40.79%2.45cote équitable
EV -3.74%
Avantage -1.58%
Kelly -2.75%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.36

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.02%40.79%40.78%42.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.252.252.3647.62%44.42%44.35%42.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.49%3.78cote équitable
EV -1.47%
Avantage -0.395%
Kelly -0.541%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.72

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.23%26.43%26.49%28.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.453.453.7233.33%28.97%28.99%26.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet3.06I 32.68%NM 31.40%EV +0.139%E +0.046%K +0.068%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.14%EV -7.00%E -3.07%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.47%EV -3.85%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 02:59
LowVig.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 32.20%EV -1.82%E -0.608%K -0.912%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.82%EV -5.78%E -2.50%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.97%EV -1.47%E -0.395%K -0.541%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-07 03:00
BetOnline.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 32.20%EV -1.82%E -0.608%K -0.912%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.82%EV -5.78%E -2.50%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.97%EV -1.47%E -0.395%K -0.541%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-07 03:00
Unibet (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.04%EV -1.82%E -0.608%K -0.912%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.26%EV -4.96%E -2.13%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.70%EV -4.65%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-07 03:00
Casumo3.00I 33.33%NM 32.04%EV -1.82%E -0.608%K -0.912%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.26%EV -4.96%E -2.13%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.70%EV -4.65%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-07 03:00
Svenska Spel3.00I 33.33%NM 32.04%EV -1.82%E -0.608%K -0.912%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.26%EV -4.96%E -2.13%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.70%EV -4.65%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-07 03:00
Unibet (NL)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.75%EV -1.82%E -0.608%K -0.912%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.42%EV -6.19%E -2.69%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.83%EV -5.97%E -1.68%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 03:00
ATG (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.75%EV -1.82%E -0.608%K -0.912%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.42%EV -6.19%E -2.69%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.83%EV -5.97%E -1.68%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 03:00
Pinnacle2.97I 33.67%NM 32.62%EV -2.81%E -0.945%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.05%EV -3.74%E -1.58%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.33%EV -2.53%E -0.688%K -0.944%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-07 02:59
TABtouch2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV -3.46%E -1.17%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.25%EV -7.00%E -3.07%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.30%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 03:00
Coolbet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.84%EV -5.10%E -1.76%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.41%EV -6.19%E -2.69%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.74%EV -2.00%E -0.541%K -0.741%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 02:57
Unibet (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -5.10%E -1.76%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -6.19%E -2.69%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.30%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 03:00
Unibet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -5.10%E -1.76%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%EV -8.23%E -3.66%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -8.62%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 03:00
Grosvenor2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -5.10%E -1.76%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%EV -8.23%E -3.66%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -8.62%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 03:00
betPARX2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -5.10%E -1.76%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%EV -8.23%E -3.66%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -8.62%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 03:00
GTbets2.88I 34.72%NM 32.78%EV -5.75%E -2.00%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.70%EV -5.37%E -2.32%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.52%EV -5.71%E -1.60%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 02:59
Marathon Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.20%EV -5.75%E -2.00%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 40.85%EV -7.41%E -3.26%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.96%EV -8.89%E -2.58%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 02:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.99%EV -5.75%E -2.00%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.31%EV -9.04%E -4.05%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -8.62%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 03:00
DraftKings2.85I 35.09%NM 32.87%EV -6.73%E -2.36%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.73%EV -6.19%E -2.69%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -5.97%E -1.68%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 03:00
FanDuel2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -6.73%E -2.36%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -6.19%E -2.69%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.30%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 03:00
BetMGM2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -6.73%E -2.36%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -6.19%E -2.69%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.30%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 03:00
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -6.73%E -2.36%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -8.23%E -3.66%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.95%E -2.93%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 03:00
LiveScore Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -6.73%E -2.36%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -10.27%E -4.67%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -9.95%E -2.93%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-07 02:59
Bovada2.83I 35.34%NM 32.67%EV -7.39%E -2.61%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 40.91%EV -7.82%E -3.46%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -7.30%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 02:57
NordicBet2.82I 35.46%NM 32.97%EV -7.71%E -2.74%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.08%EV -5.37%E -2.32%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -8.62%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 03:00
Betsson2.82I 35.46%NM 32.97%EV -7.71%E -2.74%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.08%EV -5.37%E -2.32%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -8.62%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 02:59
Bet Victor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -8.37%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.19%E -2.69%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -4.65%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 02:54
BetUS2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -8.37%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.19%E -2.69%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -4.65%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 02:59
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -8.37%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -6.19%E -2.69%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.30%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 03:00
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -8.37%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.19%E -2.69%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.95%E -2.93%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 03:00
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -8.37%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -8.23%E -3.66%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.30%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 02:59
Fliff2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.37%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -8.23%E -3.66%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -9.95%E -2.93%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 03:00
Virgin Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -8.37%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.16%EV -11.08%E -5.08%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.79%EV -11.27%E -3.36%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-07 02:59
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -6.19%E -2.69%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.30%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 02:59
Everygame2.75I 36.36%NM 33.12%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -8.23%E -3.66%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -8.62%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 02:59
Winamax (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.06%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -10.27%E -4.67%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -5.97%E -1.68%K -2.34%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-07 02:59
Paddy Power2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.27%E -4.67%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -12.60%E -3.82%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-07 03:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.27%E -4.67%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -12.60%E -3.82%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-07 03:00
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.27%E -4.67%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -12.60%E -3.82%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-07 03:00
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -10.27%E -4.67%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -13.92%E -4.28%K -6.19%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-07 02:59
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -10.27%E -4.67%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -13.92%E -4.28%K -6.19%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-07 02:59
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -10.27%E -4.67%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -13.92%E -4.28%K -6.19%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-07 02:59
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -10.27%E -4.67%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -13.92%E -4.28%K -6.19%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-07 02:59
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 32.07%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 41.21%EV -12.71%E -5.94%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -12.60%E -3.82%K -5.48%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-07 03:00
Sky Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 32.70%EV -11.64%E -4.31%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -10.27%E -4.67%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -13.92%E -4.28%K -6.19%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-07 03:00
Betclic (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -11.64%E -4.31%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.85%EV -12.30%E -5.72%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -12.60%E -3.82%K -5.48%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-07 02:56
Winamax (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.20%EV -13.28%E -5.01%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.92%EV -12.30%E -5.72%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.88%EV -9.95%E -2.93%K -4.14%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-07 02:59
NetBet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 32.36%EV -13.28%E -5.01%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.84%EV -14.34%E -6.83%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.80%EV -15.24%E -4.76%K -6.93%G +0.000%16.6%2026-03-07 02:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 31.96%EV -13.93%E -5.30%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.02%EV -14.34%E -6.83%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.02%EV -20.54%E -6.85%K -10.27%G +0.000%19.0%2026-03-07 03:00
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 33.70%EV -14.26%E -5.44%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -12.30%E -5.72%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.23%EV -7.30%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-07 03:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.00%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46%0.8%2026-03-07 03:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.00%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46%0.8%2026-03-07 03:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.00%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46%0.8%2026-03-07 03:00
Matchbook3.00I 33.33%NM 32.90%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.78%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32%1.3%2026-03-07 03:00
Smarkets2.96I 33.78%NM 32.97%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.66%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.37%2.5%2026-03-07 03:00