L’École des cotesNecaxa v Guadalajara
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Necaxa (Local)
Prévision 17.78%5.63cote équitable
EV +2.22%
Avantage +0.386%
Kelly +0.467%
Croissance +0.010%
avec la cote maximale 5.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.23%17.80%17.79%19.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.605.075.005.7521.74%19.74%20.00%17.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Guadalajara (Visiteur)
Prévision 60.86%1.64cote équitable
EV -1.41%
Avantage -0.873%
Kelly -2.28%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.62
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.46%60.74%60.88%62.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.431.531.531.6269.93%65.46%65.36%61.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 21.37%4.68cote équitable
EV -0.853%
Avantage -0.184%
Kelly -0.234%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.64
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.70%21.46%21.33%23.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.854.214.204.6425.97%23.75%23.81%21.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV +2.22%E +0.386%K +0.467%G +0.010% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -8.72%E -5.81%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -7.48%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 02:54 |
| Coolbet | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.65%EV +1.33%E +0.233%K +0.283%G +0.004% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.89%E -4.50%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.33%EV -4.91%E -1.10%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 02:20 |
| Pinnacle | 5.47I 18.28%NM 17.60%EV -2.76%E -0.504%K -0.617%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.33%EV -4.46%E -2.84%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 4.57I 21.88%NM 21.07%EV -2.35%E -0.514%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-23 02:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.71%EV -3.11%E -0.571%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.48%EV -4.46%E -2.84%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 4.64I 21.55%NM 20.80%EV -0.853%E -0.184%K -0.234%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-23 02:14 |
| BetOnline.ag | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.71%EV -3.11%E -0.571%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.48%EV -4.46%E -2.84%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 4.64I 21.55%NM 20.80%EV -0.853%E -0.184%K -0.234%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-23 02:14 |
| FanDuel | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.45%EV -4.00%E -0.741%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.60%EV -6.89%E -4.50%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.94%EV -3.84%E -0.854%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 02:49 |
| NordicBet | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -4.00%E -0.741%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.61%EV -7.50%E -4.93%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.05%EV -4.91%E -1.10%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 02:34 |
| Betsson | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -4.00%E -0.741%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.61%EV -7.50%E -4.93%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.05%EV -4.91%E -1.10%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 02:35 |
| 1xBet | 5.33I 18.76%NM 17.98%EV -5.25%E -0.985%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.05%EV -4.46%E -2.84%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 4.57I 21.88%NM 20.97%EV -2.35%E -0.514%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-23 02:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -6.67%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -6.28%E -4.08%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -5.98%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 02:49 |
| DraftKings | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -6.67%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -6.28%E -4.08%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -5.98%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 02:49 |
| BetMGM | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -6.67%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.01%EV -6.89%E -4.50%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -5.98%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 02:34 |
| Fanatics | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -6.67%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.71%EV -6.89%E -4.50%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.60%EV -8.12%E -1.89%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 02:30 |
| PlayUp | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.62%EV -6.67%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.86%EV -7.50%E -4.93%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -8.12%E -1.89%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 02:44 |
| Betway | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.60%EV -6.67%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.40%EV -6.89%E -4.50%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 02:55 |
| Bet Right | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.53%EV -6.67%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.55%EV -7.50%E -4.93%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 02:49 |
| GTbets | 5.21I 19.19%NM 18.03%EV -7.38%E -1.42%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.61%EV -5.67%E -3.66%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -5.98%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 02:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.83%EV -7.56%E -1.45%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.60%EV -6.89%E -4.50%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.56%EV -8.12%E -1.89%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 02:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.65%EV -9.34%E -1.83%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.71%EV -1.41%E -0.873%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 02:49 |
| ATG (SE) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.65%EV -9.34%E -1.83%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.71%EV -1.41%E -0.873%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 02:49 |
| BetUS | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.12%EV -9.34%E -1.83%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.39%EV -6.89%E -4.50%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -8.12%E -1.89%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 02:54 |
| Bovada | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.26%EV -10.23%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.29%EV -6.89%E -4.50%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -8.12%E -1.89%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-23 02:51 |
| Unibet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -11.11%E -2.22%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.78%EV -3.85%E -2.44%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -12.39%E -3.02%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 02:49 |
| Casumo | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -11.11%E -2.22%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.93%EV -4.46%E -2.84%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -12.39%E -3.02%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 02:49 |
| Grosvenor | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -11.11%E -2.22%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.93%EV -4.46%E -2.84%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -12.39%E -3.02%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 02:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -11.11%E -2.22%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.93%EV -4.46%E -2.84%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -12.39%E -3.02%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 02:49 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -11.11%E -2.22%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.93%EV -4.46%E -2.84%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -12.39%E -3.02%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 02:49 |
| betPARX | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -11.11%E -2.22%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.93%EV -4.46%E -2.84%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -12.39%E -3.02%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 02:49 |
| BetRivers | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -11.11%E -2.22%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -4.46%E -2.84%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -14.53%E -3.63%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 02:49 |
| SportsBet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -11.11%E -2.22%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -8.72%E -5.81%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -5.98%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-23 02:49 |
| Paddy Power | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -11.11%E -2.22%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -8.72%E -5.81%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-23 02:50 |
| Everygame | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -11.11%E -2.22%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -8.72%E -5.81%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-23 02:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -11.11%E -2.22%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -9.93%E -6.71%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-23 02:35 |
| Coral | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -11.11%E -2.22%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -9.93%E -6.71%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-23 02:35 |
| betfred_uk | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.11%E -2.22%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.72%E -5.81%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -14.53%E -3.63%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-23 02:49 |
| TABtouch | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -12.89%E -2.63%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.54%EV -5.07%E -3.25%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -14.53%E -3.63%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-23 02:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -12.89%E -2.63%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.54%EV -5.07%E -3.25%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -14.53%E -3.63%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-23 02:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -12.89%E -2.63%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.54%EV -5.07%E -3.25%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -14.53%E -3.63%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-23 02:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.59%EV -12.89%E -2.63%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.72%EV -8.72%E -5.81%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -5.98%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-23 02:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.91%EV -12.89%E -2.63%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.94%EV -12.37%E -8.59%K -28.11%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.15%EV -11.32%E -2.73%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-23 02:49 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.04%EV -13.78%E -2.84%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 60.35%EV -11.76%E -8.11%K -26.13%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 21.61%EV -13.46%E -3.32%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-23 02:48 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -14.67%E -3.06%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.46%EV -6.28%E -4.08%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.79%EV -15.60%E -3.95%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-23 02:49 |
| Sky Bet | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -14.67%E -3.06%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -8.72%E -5.81%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -14.53%E -3.63%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-23 02:49 |
| 888sport | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -14.67%E -3.06%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -8.72%E -5.81%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -14.53%E -3.63%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-23 02:30 |
| William Hill | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -14.67%E -3.06%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -8.72%E -5.81%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -14.53%E -3.63%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-23 02:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -14.67%E -3.06%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -8.72%E -5.81%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -14.53%E -3.63%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-23 02:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -14.67%E -3.06%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -8.72%E -5.81%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -14.53%E -3.63%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-23 02:30 |
| BoyleSports | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.88%EV -15.56%E -3.28%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -8.72%E -5.81%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-23 02:29 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.68%EV -16.45%E -3.50%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.52%EV -8.72%E -5.81%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.80%EV -17.73%E -4.61%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-23 02:49 |
| LeoVegas | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.68%EV -16.45%E -3.50%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.52%EV -8.72%E -5.81%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.80%EV -17.73%E -4.61%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-23 02:49 |
| NetBet (FR) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.31%EV -16.45%E -3.50%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 60.18%EV -12.98%E -9.08%K -30.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.51%EV -14.53%E -3.63%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-23 02:54 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.14%EV -18.23%E -3.96%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 59.90%EV -10.54%E -7.17%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.96%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-23 02:49 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.08% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.29% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.63% | 1.0% | 2026-04-23 02:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.08% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.29% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.63% | 1.0% | 2026-04-23 02:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.08% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.29% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.63% | 1.0% | 2026-04-23 02:55 |
| Matchbook | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.08% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.29% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.63% | 1.0% | 2026-04-23 02:54 |
| Kalshi | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.62% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.79% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.59% | 2.1% | 2026-04-23 02:55 |
| Smarkets | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.11% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.13% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.75% | 2.5% | 2026-04-23 02:50 |