La escuela de los momiosNecaxa v Guadalajara
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Necaxa (Local)
Predicción 17.78%5.63momio equitativo
EV +2.22%
Ventaja +0.386%
Kelly +0.467%
Crecimiento +0.010%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.23%17.80%17.79%19.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.605.075.005.7521.74%19.74%20.00%17.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Guadalajara (Visitante)
Predicción 60.86%1.64momio equitativo
EV -1.41%
Ventaja -0.873%
Kelly -2.28%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.62
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.46%60.74%60.88%62.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.431.531.531.6269.93%65.46%65.36%61.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 21.37%4.68momio equitativo
EV -0.853%
Ventaja -0.184%
Kelly -0.234%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.64
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.70%21.46%21.33%23.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.854.214.204.6425.97%23.75%23.81%21.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV +2.22%E +0.386%K +0.467%G +0.010% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -8.72%E -5.81%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -7.48%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 02:54 |
| Coolbet | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.65%EV +1.33%E +0.233%K +0.283%G +0.004% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.89%E -4.50%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.33%EV -4.91%E -1.10%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 02:20 |
| Pinnacle | 5.47I 18.28%NM 17.60%EV -2.76%E -0.504%K -0.617%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.33%EV -4.46%E -2.84%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 4.57I 21.88%NM 21.07%EV -2.35%E -0.514%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-23 02:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.71%EV -3.11%E -0.571%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.48%EV -4.46%E -2.84%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 4.64I 21.55%NM 20.80%EV -0.853%E -0.184%K -0.234%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-23 02:14 |
| BetOnline.ag | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.71%EV -3.11%E -0.571%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.48%EV -4.46%E -2.84%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 4.64I 21.55%NM 20.80%EV -0.853%E -0.184%K -0.234%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-23 02:14 |
| FanDuel | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.45%EV -4.00%E -0.741%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.60%EV -6.89%E -4.50%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.94%EV -3.84%E -0.854%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 02:49 |
| NordicBet | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -4.00%E -0.741%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.61%EV -7.50%E -4.93%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.05%EV -4.91%E -1.10%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 02:34 |
| Betsson | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -4.00%E -0.741%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.61%EV -7.50%E -4.93%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.05%EV -4.91%E -1.10%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 02:35 |
| 1xBet | 5.33I 18.76%NM 17.98%EV -5.25%E -0.985%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.05%EV -4.46%E -2.84%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 4.57I 21.88%NM 20.97%EV -2.35%E -0.514%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-23 02:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -6.67%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -6.28%E -4.08%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -5.98%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 02:49 |
| DraftKings | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -6.67%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -6.28%E -4.08%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -5.98%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 02:49 |
| BetMGM | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -6.67%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.01%EV -6.89%E -4.50%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -5.98%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 02:34 |
| Fanatics | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -6.67%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.71%EV -6.89%E -4.50%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.60%EV -8.12%E -1.89%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 02:30 |
| PlayUp | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.62%EV -6.67%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.86%EV -7.50%E -4.93%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -8.12%E -1.89%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 02:44 |
| Betway | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.60%EV -6.67%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.40%EV -6.89%E -4.50%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 02:55 |
| Bet Right | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.53%EV -6.67%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.55%EV -7.50%E -4.93%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 02:49 |
| GTbets | 5.21I 19.19%NM 18.03%EV -7.38%E -1.42%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.61%EV -5.67%E -3.66%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -5.98%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 02:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.83%EV -7.56%E -1.45%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.60%EV -6.89%E -4.50%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.56%EV -8.12%E -1.89%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 02:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.65%EV -9.34%E -1.83%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.71%EV -1.41%E -0.873%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 02:49 |
| ATG (SE) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.65%EV -9.34%E -1.83%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.71%EV -1.41%E -0.873%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 02:49 |
| BetUS | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.12%EV -9.34%E -1.83%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.39%EV -6.89%E -4.50%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -8.12%E -1.89%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 02:54 |
| Bovada | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.26%EV -10.23%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.29%EV -6.89%E -4.50%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -8.12%E -1.89%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-23 02:51 |
| Unibet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -11.11%E -2.22%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.78%EV -3.85%E -2.44%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -12.39%E -3.02%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 02:49 |
| Casumo | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -11.11%E -2.22%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.93%EV -4.46%E -2.84%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -12.39%E -3.02%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 02:49 |
| Grosvenor | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -11.11%E -2.22%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.93%EV -4.46%E -2.84%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -12.39%E -3.02%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 02:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -11.11%E -2.22%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.93%EV -4.46%E -2.84%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -12.39%E -3.02%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 02:49 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -11.11%E -2.22%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.93%EV -4.46%E -2.84%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -12.39%E -3.02%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 02:49 |
| betPARX | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -11.11%E -2.22%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.93%EV -4.46%E -2.84%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -12.39%E -3.02%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 02:49 |
| BetRivers | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -11.11%E -2.22%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -4.46%E -2.84%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -14.53%E -3.63%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 02:49 |
| SportsBet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -11.11%E -2.22%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -8.72%E -5.81%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -5.98%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-23 02:49 |
| Paddy Power | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -11.11%E -2.22%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -8.72%E -5.81%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-23 02:50 |
| Everygame | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -11.11%E -2.22%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -8.72%E -5.81%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-23 02:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -11.11%E -2.22%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -9.93%E -6.71%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-23 02:35 |
| Coral | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -11.11%E -2.22%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -9.93%E -6.71%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-23 02:35 |
| betfred_uk | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.11%E -2.22%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.72%E -5.81%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -14.53%E -3.63%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-23 02:49 |
| TABtouch | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -12.89%E -2.63%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.54%EV -5.07%E -3.25%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -14.53%E -3.63%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-23 02:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -12.89%E -2.63%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.54%EV -5.07%E -3.25%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -14.53%E -3.63%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-23 02:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -12.89%E -2.63%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.54%EV -5.07%E -3.25%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -14.53%E -3.63%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-23 02:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.59%EV -12.89%E -2.63%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.72%EV -8.72%E -5.81%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -5.98%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-23 02:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.91%EV -12.89%E -2.63%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.94%EV -12.37%E -8.59%K -28.11%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.15%EV -11.32%E -2.73%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-23 02:49 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.04%EV -13.78%E -2.84%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 60.35%EV -11.76%E -8.11%K -26.13%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 21.61%EV -13.46%E -3.32%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-23 02:48 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -14.67%E -3.06%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.46%EV -6.28%E -4.08%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.79%EV -15.60%E -3.95%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-23 02:49 |
| Sky Bet | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -14.67%E -3.06%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -8.72%E -5.81%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -14.53%E -3.63%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-23 02:49 |
| 888sport | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -14.67%E -3.06%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -8.72%E -5.81%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -14.53%E -3.63%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-23 02:30 |
| William Hill | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -14.67%E -3.06%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -8.72%E -5.81%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -14.53%E -3.63%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-23 02:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -14.67%E -3.06%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -8.72%E -5.81%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -14.53%E -3.63%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-23 02:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -14.67%E -3.06%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -8.72%E -5.81%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -14.53%E -3.63%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-23 02:30 |
| BoyleSports | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.88%EV -15.56%E -3.28%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -8.72%E -5.81%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-23 02:29 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.68%EV -16.45%E -3.50%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.52%EV -8.72%E -5.81%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.80%EV -17.73%E -4.61%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-23 02:49 |
| LeoVegas | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.68%EV -16.45%E -3.50%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.52%EV -8.72%E -5.81%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.80%EV -17.73%E -4.61%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-23 02:49 |
| NetBet (FR) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.31%EV -16.45%E -3.50%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 60.18%EV -12.98%E -9.08%K -30.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.51%EV -14.53%E -3.63%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-23 02:54 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.14%EV -18.23%E -3.96%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 59.90%EV -10.54%E -7.17%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.96%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-23 02:49 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.08% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.29% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.63% | 1.0% | 2026-04-23 02:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.08% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.29% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.63% | 1.0% | 2026-04-23 02:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.08% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.29% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.63% | 1.0% | 2026-04-23 02:55 |
| Matchbook | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.08% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.29% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.63% | 1.0% | 2026-04-23 02:54 |
| Kalshi | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.62% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.79% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.59% | 2.1% | 2026-04-23 02:55 |
| Smarkets | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.11% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.13% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.75% | 2.5% | 2026-04-23 02:50 |