Language:English
Monterrey v Tigres
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Monterrey (Local)
Prediction 46.80%2.14fair odd
EV +1.08%
Edge +0.499%
Kelly +0.929%
Growth +0.010%
assuming max odds 2.16
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.13%46.57%46.76%48.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.872.022.002.1653.48%49.62%50.00%46.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tigres (Visit)
Prediction 26.34%3.80fair odd
EV -0.178%
Edge -0.047%
Kelly -0.064%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.79
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.34%26.56%26.32%30.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.343.403.7935.71%29.91%29.41%26.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.87%3.72fair odd
EV -3.28%
Edge -0.911%
Kelly -1.26%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.75%26.87%26.92%28.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.423.453.6031.25%29.24%28.99%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Monterrey (Local): 46.80%; Tigres (Visit): 26.34%; Draw: 26.87%. For Monterrey (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.14. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.16, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.08%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.38%EV +1.08%E +0.499%K +0.929%G +0.010% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -18.35%E -5.92%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -4.62%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-13 00:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.38%EV +1.08%E +0.499%K +0.929%G +0.010% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -18.35%E -5.92%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -4.62%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-13 00:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.25%EV -0.794%E -0.375%K -0.709%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -20.99%E -7.00%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -5.97%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-13 00:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.25%EV -0.794%E -0.375%K -0.709%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -20.99%E -7.00%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -5.97%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-13 00:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.25%EV -0.794%E -0.375%K -0.709%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -20.99%E -7.00%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -5.97%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-13 00:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.25%EV -0.794%E -0.375%K -0.709%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -20.99%E -7.00%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -5.97%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-13 00:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.25%EV -0.794%E -0.375%K -0.709%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -20.99%E -7.00%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -5.97%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-13 00:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.25%EV -0.794%E -0.375%K -0.709%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -20.99%E -7.00%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -5.97%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-13 00:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.25%EV -0.794%E -0.375%K -0.709%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -20.99%E -7.00%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -5.97%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-13 00:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -1.73%E -0.824%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -10.00%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-13 01:06 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.45%EV -2.67%E -1.28%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.26%EV -3.08%E -0.836%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.29%EV -4.89%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-13 00:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.45%EV -2.67%E -1.28%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.26%EV -3.08%E -0.836%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.29%EV -4.89%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-13 00:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.45%EV -2.67%E -1.28%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.26%EV -3.08%E -0.836%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.29%EV -4.89%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-13 00:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.28%EV -3.13%E -1.51%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.37%EV -22.30%E -7.56%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-13 00:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.28%EV -3.13%E -1.51%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.37%EV -22.30%E -7.56%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-13 00:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.28%EV -3.13%E -1.51%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.37%EV -22.30%E -7.56%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-13 00:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.13%EV -4.07%E -1.99%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.48%EV -23.62%E -8.14%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.39%EV -10.00%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-13 00:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.56%EV -5.01%E -2.47%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.54%EV -0.442%E -0.117%K -0.159%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.89%EV -3.55%E -0.988%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-13 01:01 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.54%EV -5.47%E -2.71%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.34%EV -0.178%E -0.047%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.13%EV -4.89%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-13 00:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.66%EV -5.47%E -2.71%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.40%EV -5.97%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.97%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-13 00:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.85%EV -5.47%E -2.71%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -6.50%E -1.83%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -11.34%E -3.44%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-13 01:06 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.85%EV -5.47%E -2.71%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -6.50%E -1.83%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -11.34%E -3.44%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-13 01:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.41%E -3.20%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.18%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.97%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-13 00:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.41%E -3.20%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.18%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.97%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-13 00:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.41%E -3.20%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.82%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.97%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-13 00:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.41%E -3.20%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.82%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.97%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-13 00:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.41%E -3.20%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.18%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-13 01:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.29%EV -6.41%E -3.20%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -6.50%E -1.83%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -10.00%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-13 01:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -6.41%E -3.20%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -13.08%E -3.96%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-13 01:01 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -6.41%E -3.20%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -15.72%E -4.91%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-13 01:01 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.56%EV -7.35%E -3.71%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -9.13%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-13 01:01 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 43.30%EV -7.81%E -3.97%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.46%EV -26.25%E -9.38%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.24%EV -12.68%E -3.90%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-09-13 00:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -8.75%E -4.49%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.82%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -3.28%E -0.911%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-13 00:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -8.75%E -4.49%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.82%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -3.28%E -0.911%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-13 00:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.75%E -4.49%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-13 00:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.75%E -4.49%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -7.82%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.34%E -3.44%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-13 01:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.75%E -4.49%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -7.82%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.34%E -3.44%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-13 01:06 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -8.75%E -4.49%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -12.68%E -3.90%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-13 01:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -8.75%E -4.49%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.08%E -3.96%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -11.34%E -3.44%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-13 00:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -8.75%E -4.49%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -14.03%E -4.38%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-13 00:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -8.75%E -4.49%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -14.03%E -4.38%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-13 00:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -8.75%E -4.49%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -14.03%E -4.38%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-13 00:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -8.75%E -4.49%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -14.03%E -4.38%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-13 00:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.77%EV -9.22%E -4.75%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -7.82%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -3.28%E -0.911%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-13 00:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -11.09%E -5.84%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -5.18%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -5.97%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-13 00:46 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.36%EV -12.03%E -6.40%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.41%EV -13.08%E -3.96%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.23%EV -14.03%E -4.38%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-09-13 01:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.24%EV -12.49%E -6.68%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -13.08%E -3.96%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-13 01:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 46.94%EV -12.49%E -6.68%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 26.05%EV -11.24%E -3.34%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.01%EV -12.68%E -3.90%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-13 00:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.48% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.95% | 0.3% | 2026-09-13 01:06 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.48% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.95% | 0.3% | 2026-09-13 01:06 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.31% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22% | 0.7% | 2026-09-13 01:06 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.72% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83% | 0.7% | 2026-09-13 01:06 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.55% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73% | 1.0% | 2026-09-13 01:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.30% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.64% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.06% | 2.6% | 2026-09-13 01:06 |