Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Monterrey v Tigres

Início: 2026-09-13 01:10 UTC

Final: Monterrey 0–0 Tigres

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Monterrey (Local)

Previsão 46.80%2.14odd justa
EV +1.08%
Vantagem +0.499%
Kelly +0.929%
Crescimento +0.010%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.16

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.13%46.57%46.76%48.29%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.872.022.002.1653.48%49.62%50.00%46.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Tigres (Visitante)

Previsão 26.34%3.80odd justa
EV -0.178%
Vantagem -0.047%
Kelly -0.064%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.79

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.34%26.56%26.32%30.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.803.343.403.7935.71%29.91%29.41%26.39%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.87%3.72odd justa
EV -3.28%
Vantagem -0.911%
Kelly -1.26%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.75%26.87%26.92%28.06%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.203.423.453.6031.25%29.24%28.99%27.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Monterrey (Local): 46.80%; Tigres (Visitante): 26.34%; Empate: 26.87%. Para Monterrey (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.14. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.16, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.08%.

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
ATG (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.38%EV +1.08%E +0.499%K +0.929%G +0.010%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -18.35%E -5.92%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -4.62%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 00:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.38%EV +1.08%E +0.499%K +0.929%G +0.010%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -18.35%E -5.92%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -4.62%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 00:55
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.25%EV -0.794%E -0.375%K -0.709%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -20.99%E -7.00%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -5.97%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-13 00:55
Casumo🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.25%EV -0.794%E -0.375%K -0.709%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -20.99%E -7.00%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -5.97%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-13 00:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.25%EV -0.794%E -0.375%K -0.709%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -20.99%E -7.00%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -5.97%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-13 00:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.25%EV -0.794%E -0.375%K -0.709%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -20.99%E -7.00%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -5.97%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-13 00:55
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.25%EV -0.794%E -0.375%K -0.709%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -20.99%E -7.00%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -5.97%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-13 00:55
Grosvenor🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.25%EV -0.794%E -0.375%K -0.709%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -20.99%E -7.00%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -5.97%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-13 00:55
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.25%EV -0.794%E -0.375%K -0.709%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -20.99%E -7.00%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -5.97%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-13 00:55
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -1.73%E -0.824%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -10.00%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 01:06
BetOnline.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.45%EV -2.67%E -1.28%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.26%EV -3.08%E -0.836%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.29%EV -4.89%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-13 00:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.45%EV -2.67%E -1.28%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.26%EV -3.08%E -0.836%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.29%EV -4.89%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-13 00:45
BetUS🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.45%EV -2.67%E -1.28%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.26%EV -3.08%E -0.836%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.29%EV -4.89%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-13 00:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.28%EV -3.13%E -1.51%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.37%EV -22.30%E -7.56%K -11.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-13 00:55
TABtouch🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.28%EV -3.13%E -1.51%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.37%EV -22.30%E -7.56%K -11.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-13 00:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.28%EV -3.13%E -1.51%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.37%EV -22.30%E -7.56%K -11.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-13 00:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.13%EV -4.07%E -1.99%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.48%EV -23.62%E -8.14%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.39%EV -10.00%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-13 00:55
Pinnacle🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.56%EV -5.01%E -2.47%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.54%EV -0.442%E -0.117%K -0.159%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.89%EV -3.55%E -0.988%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-13 01:01
1xBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.54%EV -5.47%E -2.71%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.34%EV -0.178%E -0.047%K -0.064%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.13%EV -4.89%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-13 00:59
GTbets🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.66%EV -5.47%E -2.71%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.40%EV -5.97%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.97%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 00:55
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.85%EV -5.47%E -2.71%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -6.50%E -1.83%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -11.34%E -3.44%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 01:06
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.85%EV -5.47%E -2.71%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -6.50%E -1.83%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -11.34%E -3.44%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 01:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.41%E -3.20%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.18%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.97%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 00:55
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.41%E -3.20%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.18%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.97%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 00:50
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.41%E -3.20%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.82%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.97%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 00:55
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.41%E -3.20%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.82%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.97%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 00:55
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.41%E -3.20%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.18%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 01:04
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.29%EV -6.41%E -3.20%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -6.50%E -1.83%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -10.00%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 01:05
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -6.41%E -3.20%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -13.08%E -3.96%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-13 01:01
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -6.41%E -3.20%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -15.72%E -4.91%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-13 01:01
LeoVegas🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.56%EV -7.35%E -3.71%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -9.13%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-13 01:01
PMU (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 43.30%EV -7.81%E -3.97%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.46%EV -26.25%E -9.38%K -14.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.24%EV -12.68%E -3.90%K -5.64%G +0.000%17.2%2026-09-13 00:55
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -8.75%E -4.49%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.82%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -3.28%E -0.911%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-13 00:59
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -8.75%E -4.49%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.82%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -3.28%E -0.911%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-13 00:59
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.75%E -4.49%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-13 00:55
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.75%E -4.49%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -7.82%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.34%E -3.44%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-13 01:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.75%E -4.49%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -7.82%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.34%E -3.44%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-13 01:06
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -8.75%E -4.49%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -12.68%E -3.90%K -5.64%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-13 01:04
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -8.75%E -4.49%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.08%E -3.96%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -11.34%E -3.44%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-13 00:55
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -8.75%E -4.49%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -14.03%E -4.38%K -6.38%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-13 00:55
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -8.75%E -4.49%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -14.03%E -4.38%K -6.38%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-13 00:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -8.75%E -4.49%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -14.03%E -4.38%K -6.38%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-13 00:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -8.75%E -4.49%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -14.03%E -4.38%K -6.38%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-13 00:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.77%EV -9.22%E -4.75%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -7.82%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -3.28%E -0.911%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-13 00:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -11.09%E -5.84%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -5.18%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -5.97%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 00:46
NetBet (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 46.36%EV -12.03%E -6.40%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.41%EV -13.08%E -3.96%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.23%EV -14.03%E -4.38%K -6.38%G +0.000%14.7%2026-09-13 01:05
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.24%EV -12.49%E -6.68%K -14.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -13.08%E -3.96%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.61%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-13 01:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 46.94%EV -12.49%E -6.68%K -14.36%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.05%EV -11.24%E -3.34%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.01%EV -12.68%E -3.90%K -5.64%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-13 00:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.48%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.95%0.3%2026-09-13 01:06
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.48%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.95%0.3%2026-09-13 01:06
Matchbook◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.31%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.7%2026-09-13 01:06
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.72%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%0.7%2026-09-13 01:06
Kalshi◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.55%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%1.0%2026-09-13 01:00
Smarkets◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.30%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.64%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.06%2.6%2026-09-13 01:06