Language:English
Monterrey v Querétaro
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Monterrey (Local)
Prediction 60.10%1.66fair odd
EV -5.05%
Edge -3.20%
Kelly -8.71%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.58
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.43%60.09%60.12%65.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.351.501.511.5874.07%66.62%66.23%63.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Querétaro (Visit)
Prediction 17.01%5.88fair odd
EV +14.78%
Edge +2.19%
Kelly +2.57%
Growth +0.380%
assuming max odds 6.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.63%16.96%17.01%18.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.805.785.606.7520.83%17.31%17.86%14.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.90%4.37fair odd
EV +3.05%
Edge +0.677%
Kelly +0.871%
Growth +0.027%
assuming max odds 4.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.93%22.95%22.87%25.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.404.054.024.5029.41%24.68%24.88%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Monterrey (Local): 60.10%; Querétaro (Visit): 17.01%; Draw: 22.90%. For Querétaro (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.88. 19 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +14.78%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -12.86%E -8.87%K -28.58%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.98%EV +14.78%E +2.19%K +2.57%G +0.380% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV +3.05%E +0.677%K +0.871%G +0.027% | 6.0% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -12.86%E -8.87%K -28.58%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.98%EV +14.78%E +2.19%K +2.57%G +0.380% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV +3.05%E +0.677%K +0.871%G +0.027% | 6.0% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.07%EV -14.06%E -9.83%K -32.71%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV +14.78%E +2.19%K +2.57%G +0.380% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV +0.758%E +0.172%K +0.223%G +0.002% | 7.5% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.07%EV -14.06%E -9.83%K -32.71%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV +14.78%E +2.19%K +2.57%G +0.380% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV +0.758%E +0.172%K +0.223%G +0.002% | 7.5% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.07%EV -14.06%E -9.83%K -32.71%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV +14.78%E +2.19%K +2.57%G +0.380% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV +0.758%E +0.172%K +0.223%G +0.002% | 7.5% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.07%EV -14.06%E -9.83%K -32.71%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV +14.78%E +2.19%K +2.57%G +0.380% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV +0.758%E +0.172%K +0.223%G +0.002% | 7.5% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.07%EV -14.06%E -9.83%K -32.71%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV +14.78%E +2.19%K +2.57%G +0.380% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV +0.758%E +0.172%K +0.223%G +0.002% | 7.5% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.07%EV -14.06%E -9.83%K -32.71%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV +14.78%E +2.19%K +2.57%G +0.380% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV +0.758%E +0.172%K +0.223%G +0.002% | 7.5% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.23%EV -15.27%E -10.83%K -37.23%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.63%EV +14.78%E +2.19%K +2.57%G +0.380% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -0.387%E -0.089%K -0.116%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.05%EV -15.87%E -11.33%K -39.67%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV +10.53%E +1.62%K +1.92%G +0.202% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.94%EV -0.387%E -0.089%K -0.116%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.05%EV -15.87%E -11.33%K -39.67%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV +10.53%E +1.62%K +1.92%G +0.202% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.94%EV -0.387%E -0.089%K -0.116%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.22%EV -17.07%E -12.37%K -44.92%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.85%EV +10.53%E +1.62%K +1.92%G +0.202% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.93%EV -1.53%E -0.356%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 65.26%EV -18.87%E -13.98%K -53.92%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.77%EV +8.83%E +1.38%K +1.64%G +0.144% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.98%EV -3.82%E -0.910%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.17%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 6.38I 15.67%NM 15.05%EV +8.49%E +1.33%K +1.58%G +0.134% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV -7.49%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-05 00:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.46%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.56%EV +5.43%E +0.876%K +1.04%G +0.057% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.97%EV -3.82%E -0.910%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-05 00:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.46%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.56%EV +5.43%E +0.876%K +1.04%G +0.057% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.97%EV -3.82%E -0.910%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.07%EV -5.05%E -3.20%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 6.11I 16.37%NM 15.79%EV +3.90%E +0.638%K +0.763%G +0.030% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.14%EV -4.51%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-05 00:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.77%EV -7.45%E -4.84%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +2.03%E +0.338%K +0.406%G +0.008% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.38%EV -2.68%E -0.630%K -0.824%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 00:58 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.39%EV -7.45%E -4.84%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.76%EV +0.330%E +0.056%K +0.067%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -10.69%E -2.74%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-05 00:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.19%EV -6.25%E -4.01%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.33%EV -2.22%E -0.386%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -8.40%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.42%EV -6.25%E -4.01%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 5.74I 17.42%NM 16.42%EV -2.39%E -0.417%K -0.504%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.16%EV -6.80%E -1.67%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-05 00:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.98%EV -8.65%E -5.69%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.41%EV -3.92%E -0.694%K -0.843%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -6.11%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-05 00:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -8.05%E -5.26%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.45%EV -4.77%E -0.852%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -9.55%E -2.42%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-05 00:56 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -8.05%E -5.26%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.45%EV -4.77%E -0.852%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -9.55%E -2.42%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-05 00:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -9.86%E -6.57%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%EV -4.77%E -0.852%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -8.40%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.09%EV -6.25%E -4.01%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -6.47%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -6.11%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.25%EV -6.85%E -4.42%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -6.47%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.11%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-05 00:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -6.85%E -4.42%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -6.47%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -8.40%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.55%EV -6.85%E -4.42%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -6.47%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -10.69%E -2.74%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -8.65%E -5.69%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -6.47%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -8.40%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-05 00:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.68%EV -8.05%E -5.26%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.60%EV -6.47%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.72%EV -11.84%E -3.07%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-05 00:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.97%EV -9.86%E -6.57%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.36%EV -6.47%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -12.98%E -3.42%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -5.05%E -3.20%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -8.17%E -1.51%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -9.55%E -2.42%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -5.05%E -3.20%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -8.17%E -1.51%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -9.55%E -2.42%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.24%EV -7.45%E -4.84%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -10.72%E -2.04%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -3.82%E -0.910%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.43%EV -5.05%E -3.20%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -10.72%E -2.04%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -11.84%E -3.07%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.26%EV -8.05%E -5.26%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -10.72%E -2.04%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.76%EV -17.56%E -4.88%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 60.18%EV -14.06%E -9.83%K -32.71%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 16.87%EV -13.27%E -2.60%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.95%EV -14.13%E -3.77%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-03-05 00:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -6.85%E -4.42%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -14.97%E -2.99%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -3.82%E -0.910%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.72%EV -7.45%E -4.84%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -14.97%E -2.99%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -10.69%E -2.74%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -9.86%E -6.57%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -14.97%E -2.99%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -8.40%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 59.78%EV -11.66%E -7.93%K -24.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.57%EV -14.97%E -2.99%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 22.65%EV -11.15%E -2.87%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-05 00:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.25%EV -9.86%E -6.57%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -14.97%E -2.99%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.27%EV -17.56%E -4.88%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.25%EV -9.86%E -6.57%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -14.97%E -2.99%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.27%EV -17.56%E -4.88%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-05 00:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.25%EV -9.86%E -6.57%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -14.97%E -2.99%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.27%EV -17.56%E -4.88%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-05 00:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.25%EV -9.86%E -6.57%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -14.97%E -2.99%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.27%EV -17.56%E -4.88%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-05 00:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 57.43%EV -9.86%E -6.57%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.23%EV -14.97%E -2.99%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.34%EV -22.14%E -6.51%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.75%EV -9.86%E -6.57%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.36%EV -18.38%E -3.83%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.89%EV -11.84%E -3.07%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.42% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.98% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59% | 0.9% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.42% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.98% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59% | 0.9% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.42% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.98% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59% | 0.9% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.72% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.86% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.42% | 1.7% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.82% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.30% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.88% | 2.1% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |