L’École des cotes

Monterrey v Querétaro

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-05 01:02 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Monterrey (Local)

Prévision 60.10%1.66cote équitable
EV -5.05%
Avantage -3.20%
Kelly -8.71%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.58

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.43%60.09%60.12%65.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.351.501.511.5874.07%66.62%66.23%63.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Querétaro (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.01%5.88cote équitable
EV +14.78%
Avantage +2.19%
Kelly +2.57%
Croissance +0.380%

avec la cote maximale 6.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.63%16.96%17.01%18.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.805.785.606.7520.83%17.31%17.86%14.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.90%4.37cote équitable
EV +3.05%
Avantage +0.677%
Kelly +0.871%
Croissance +0.027%

avec la cote maximale 4.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.93%22.95%22.87%25.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.404.054.024.5029.41%24.68%24.88%22.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -12.86%E -8.87%K -28.58%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.98%EV +14.78%E +2.19%K +2.57%G +0.380%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV +3.05%E +0.677%K +0.871%G +0.027%6.0%2026-03-05 01:00
Svenska Spel1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -12.86%E -8.87%K -28.58%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.98%EV +14.78%E +2.19%K +2.57%G +0.380%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV +3.05%E +0.677%K +0.871%G +0.027%6.0%2026-03-05 01:00
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.07%EV -14.06%E -9.83%K -32.71%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV +14.78%E +2.19%K +2.57%G +0.380%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV +0.758%E +0.172%K +0.223%G +0.002%7.5%2026-03-05 01:00
Grosvenor1.43I 69.93%NM 65.07%EV -14.06%E -9.83%K -32.71%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV +14.78%E +2.19%K +2.57%G +0.380%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV +0.758%E +0.172%K +0.223%G +0.002%7.5%2026-03-05 01:00
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.07%EV -14.06%E -9.83%K -32.71%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV +14.78%E +2.19%K +2.57%G +0.380%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV +0.758%E +0.172%K +0.223%G +0.002%7.5%2026-03-05 01:00
Casumo1.43I 69.93%NM 65.07%EV -14.06%E -9.83%K -32.71%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV +14.78%E +2.19%K +2.57%G +0.380%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV +0.758%E +0.172%K +0.223%G +0.002%7.5%2026-03-05 01:00
Unibet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.07%EV -14.06%E -9.83%K -32.71%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV +14.78%E +2.19%K +2.57%G +0.380%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV +0.758%E +0.172%K +0.223%G +0.002%7.5%2026-03-05 01:00
betPARX1.43I 69.93%NM 65.07%EV -14.06%E -9.83%K -32.71%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV +14.78%E +2.19%K +2.57%G +0.380%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV +0.758%E +0.172%K +0.223%G +0.002%7.5%2026-03-05 01:00
TABtouch1.41I 70.92%NM 65.23%EV -15.27%E -10.83%K -37.23%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.63%EV +14.78%E +2.19%K +2.57%G +0.380%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -0.387%E -0.089%K -0.116%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-05 01:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.05%EV -15.87%E -11.33%K -39.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV +10.53%E +1.62%K +1.92%G +0.202%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.94%EV -0.387%E -0.089%K -0.116%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-05 01:00
LiveScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 65.05%EV -15.87%E -11.33%K -39.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV +10.53%E +1.62%K +1.92%G +0.202%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.94%EV -0.387%E -0.089%K -0.116%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-05 01:00
Virgin Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 65.22%EV -17.07%E -12.37%K -44.92%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.85%EV +10.53%E +1.62%K +1.92%G +0.202%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.93%EV -1.53%E -0.356%K -0.464%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-05 01:00
LeoVegas1.35I 74.07%NM 65.26%EV -18.87%E -13.98%K -53.92%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.77%EV +8.83%E +1.38%K +1.64%G +0.144%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.98%EV -3.82%E -0.910%K -1.19%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-05 01:00
1xBet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.17%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000%6.38I 15.67%NM 15.05%EV +8.49%E +1.33%K +1.58%G +0.134%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV -7.49%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-05 00:59
BetOnline.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 61.46%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.56%EV +5.43%E +0.876%K +1.04%G +0.057%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.97%EV -3.82%E -0.910%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-05 00:59
LowVig.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 61.46%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.56%EV +5.43%E +0.876%K +1.04%G +0.057%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.97%EV -3.82%E -0.910%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-05 01:00
Pinnacle1.58I 63.29%NM 61.07%EV -5.05%E -3.20%K -8.71%G +0.000%6.11I 16.37%NM 15.79%EV +3.90%E +0.638%K +0.763%G +0.030%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.14%EV -4.51%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-05 00:59
Coolbet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.77%EV -7.45%E -4.84%K -13.80%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +2.03%E +0.338%K +0.406%G +0.008%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.38%EV -2.68%E -0.630%K -0.824%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 00:58
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 60.39%EV -7.45%E -4.84%K -13.80%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.76%EV +0.330%E +0.056%K +0.067%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -10.69%E -2.74%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-05 00:59
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 60.19%EV -6.25%E -4.01%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.33%EV -2.22%E -0.386%K -0.468%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -8.40%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-05 01:00
GTbets1.56I 64.10%NM 60.42%EV -6.25%E -4.01%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.74I 17.42%NM 16.42%EV -2.39%E -0.417%K -0.504%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.16%EV -6.80%E -1.67%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 00:59
Marathon Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 60.98%EV -8.65%E -5.69%K -16.64%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.41%EV -3.92%E -0.694%K -0.843%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -6.11%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-05 00:59
Bovada1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -8.05%E -5.26%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.45%EV -4.77%E -0.852%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -9.55%E -2.42%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-05 00:56
BetUS1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -8.05%E -5.26%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.45%EV -4.77%E -0.852%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -9.55%E -2.42%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-05 00:59
Fliff1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -9.86%E -6.57%K -19.71%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%EV -4.77%E -0.852%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -8.40%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-05 01:00
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 60.09%EV -6.25%E -4.01%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -6.47%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -6.11%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-05 01:00
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 60.25%EV -6.85%E -4.42%K -12.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -6.47%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.11%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-05 00:59
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -6.85%E -4.42%K -12.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -6.47%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -8.40%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-05 01:00
SportsBet1.55I 64.52%NM 59.55%EV -6.85%E -4.42%K -12.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -6.47%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -10.69%E -2.74%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-05 01:00
Bet Right1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -8.65%E -5.69%K -16.64%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -6.47%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -8.40%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-05 00:59
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 59.68%EV -8.05%E -5.26%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.60%EV -6.47%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.72%EV -11.84%E -3.07%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-05 00:59
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 59.97%EV -9.86%E -6.57%K -19.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.36%EV -6.47%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -12.98%E -3.42%K -4.64%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-05 01:00
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -5.05%E -3.20%K -8.71%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -8.17%E -1.51%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -9.55%E -2.42%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-05 01:00
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -5.05%E -3.20%K -8.71%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -8.17%E -1.51%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -9.55%E -2.42%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-05 01:00
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 60.24%EV -7.45%E -4.84%K -13.80%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -10.72%E -2.04%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -3.82%E -0.910%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 01:00
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 58.43%EV -5.05%E -3.20%K -8.71%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -10.72%E -2.04%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -11.84%E -3.07%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-05 01:00
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 58.26%EV -8.05%E -5.26%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -10.72%E -2.04%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.76%EV -17.56%E -4.88%K -6.75%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-05 01:00
NetBet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 60.18%EV -14.06%E -9.83%K -32.71%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 16.87%EV -13.27%E -2.60%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.95%EV -14.13%E -3.77%K -5.14%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-05 00:59
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -6.85%E -4.42%K -12.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -14.97%E -2.99%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -3.82%E -0.910%K -1.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-05 01:00
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 58.72%EV -7.45%E -4.84%K -13.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -14.97%E -2.99%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -10.69%E -2.74%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-05 01:00
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -9.86%E -6.57%K -19.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -14.97%E -2.99%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -8.40%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-05 01:00
Betclic (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 59.78%EV -11.66%E -7.93%K -24.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.57%EV -14.97%E -2.99%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 22.65%EV -11.15%E -2.87%K -3.87%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-05 00:59
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 58.25%EV -9.86%E -6.57%K -19.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -14.97%E -2.99%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.27%EV -17.56%E -4.88%K -6.75%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-05 01:00
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 58.25%EV -9.86%E -6.57%K -19.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -14.97%E -2.99%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.27%EV -17.56%E -4.88%K -6.75%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-05 00:59
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.25%EV -9.86%E -6.57%K -19.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -14.97%E -2.99%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.27%EV -17.56%E -4.88%K -6.75%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-05 00:59
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.25%EV -9.86%E -6.57%K -19.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -14.97%E -2.99%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.27%EV -17.56%E -4.88%K -6.75%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-05 00:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 57.43%EV -9.86%E -6.57%K -19.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.23%EV -14.97%E -2.99%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.34%EV -22.14%E -6.51%K -9.23%G +0.000%16.1%2026-03-05 01:00
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.75%EV -9.86%E -6.57%K -19.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.36%EV -18.38%E -3.83%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.89%EV -11.84%E -3.07%K -4.15%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-05 01:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.42%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.98%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59%0.9%2026-03-05 01:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.42%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.98%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59%0.9%2026-03-05 01:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.42%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.98%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59%0.9%2026-03-05 01:00
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 60.72%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.86%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.42%1.7%2026-03-05 01:00
Smarkets1.61I 62.11%NM 60.82%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.30%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.88%2.1%2026-03-05 01:00