Language:English
Monterrey v Pachuca
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Monterrey (Local)
Prediction 39.13%2.56fair odd
EV -2.17%
Edge -0.866%
Kelly -1.44%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.21%39.27%39.11%41.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.332.352.5046.51%42.94%42.55%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Pachuca (Visit)
Prediction 34.44%2.90fair odd
EV +1.59%
Edge +0.540%
Kelly +0.817%
Growth +0.013%
assuming max odds 2.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.47%34.26%34.37%35.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.692.702.9540.00%37.13%37.04%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.43%3.78fair odd
EV -0.896%
Edge -0.239%
Kelly -0.326%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.32%26.46%26.51%28.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.453.453.7533.33%29.01%28.99%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Monterrey (Local): 39.13%; Pachuca (Visit): 34.44%; Draw: 26.43%. For Pachuca (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.90. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.95, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.59%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.69%EV -6.08%E -2.53%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.29%EV +1.59%E +0.540%K +0.817%G +0.013% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -10.15%E -2.98%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-19 00:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.63%EV -12.73%E -5.71%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV +1.59%E +0.540%K +0.817%G +0.013% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -8.82%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-19 00:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.97%EV -5.30%E -2.19%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.82%EV -1.51%E -0.527%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.21%EV -2.48%E -0.673%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-19 00:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.93%EV -6.86%E -2.88%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.23%EV -1.51%E -0.527%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.84%EV -6.45%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-19 00:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.29%EV -6.08%E -2.53%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.93%EV -1.85%E -0.649%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.78%EV -0.896%E -0.239%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-19 00:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.71%EV -6.08%E -2.53%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.44%EV -1.85%E -0.649%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.85%EV -6.18%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-19 01:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.71%EV -6.08%E -2.53%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.44%EV -1.85%E -0.649%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.85%EV -6.18%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-19 01:01 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.87%EV -3.34%E -1.35%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.93%EV -2.54%E -0.897%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.20%EV -6.71%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-19 01:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -8.04%E -3.42%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -3.57%E -1.28%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -8.82%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-19 01:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -8.04%E -3.42%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -3.57%E -1.28%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -8.82%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-19 01:01 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -8.04%E -3.42%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -3.57%E -1.28%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -8.82%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-19 01:01 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -8.04%E -3.42%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -3.57%E -1.28%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -8.82%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-19 01:01 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -8.04%E -3.42%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -3.57%E -1.28%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -8.82%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-19 01:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -8.04%E -3.42%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -3.57%E -1.28%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -8.82%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-19 01:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.63%EV -2.17%E -0.866%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.12%EV -5.29%E -1.93%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.25%EV -2.75%E -0.746%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-19 01:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.08%E -2.53%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -5.29%E -1.93%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -7.50%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-19 00:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.39%EV -7.25%E -3.06%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -5.29%E -1.93%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.50%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 01:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -8.04%E -3.42%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -5.29%E -1.93%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.50%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-19 00:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.74%EV -9.21%E -3.97%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -5.29%E -1.93%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -8.82%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 01:01 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -9.99%E -4.34%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -5.29%E -1.93%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.15%E -2.98%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-19 01:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -9.99%E -4.34%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -5.29%E -1.93%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.15%E -2.98%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-19 01:01 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.64%EV -4.12%E -1.68%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.06%EV -7.02%E -2.60%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -4.86%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-19 01:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -6.08%E -2.53%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.02%E -2.60%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -10.15%E -2.98%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-19 01:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.55%EV -8.82%E -3.78%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -7.02%E -2.60%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.50%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 00:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.00%EV -9.99%E -4.34%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -7.02%E -2.60%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -6.18%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-19 00:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -9.99%E -4.34%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -7.02%E -2.60%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -8.82%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-19 01:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.60%EV -10.77%E -4.73%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.44%EV -7.02%E -2.60%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.95%EV -11.47%E -3.42%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-19 01:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.69%EV -5.30%E -2.19%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.94%EV -7.71%E -2.88%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.37%EV -6.18%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-19 01:01 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.69%EV -5.30%E -2.19%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.94%EV -7.71%E -2.88%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.37%EV -6.18%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-19 01:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.84%EV -7.25%E -3.06%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 34.48%EV -8.05%E -3.01%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.82%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-19 00:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.43%EV -5.69%E -2.36%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -8.74%E -3.30%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.62%EV -8.03%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-19 01:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -6.08%E -2.53%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -8.74%E -3.30%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.50%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-19 01:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -8.04%E -3.42%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -8.74%E -3.30%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -8.82%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-19 01:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -8.04%E -3.42%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -8.74%E -3.30%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.15%E -2.98%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-19 01:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.73%EV -12.73%E -5.71%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.43%EV -8.74%E -3.30%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -12.79%E -3.88%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-19 01:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.73%EV -12.73%E -5.71%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.43%EV -8.74%E -3.30%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -12.79%E -3.88%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-19 01:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.89%EV -9.99%E -4.34%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.01%EV -9.43%E -3.58%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -12.79%E -3.88%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-19 01:01 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.23%EV -4.12%E -1.68%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -9.77%E -3.73%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -4.86%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-19 01:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -9.99%E -4.34%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -9.77%E -3.73%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.15%E -2.98%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-19 01:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -11.95%E -5.31%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.33%EV -9.77%E -3.73%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -7.50%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-19 00:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -11.95%E -5.31%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -9.77%E -3.73%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -10.15%E -2.98%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-19 00:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -11.95%E -5.31%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -9.77%E -3.73%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -10.15%E -2.98%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-19 00:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -9.99%E -4.34%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -10.46%E -4.02%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -4.86%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-19 00:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.66%EV -15.86%E -7.38%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.62%EV -10.46%E -4.02%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.71%EV -10.15%E -2.98%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-19 00:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.86%EV -13.91%E -6.32%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 34.12%EV -11.49%E -4.47%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 26.02%EV -10.94%E -3.25%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-19 00:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.03%EV -15.86%E -7.38%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 33.49%EV -11.49%E -4.47%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.48%EV -14.11%E -4.34%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-19 00:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.21%EV -9.99%E -4.34%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.16%EV -13.90%E -5.56%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -12.79%E -3.88%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-19 01:01 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.21%EV -9.99%E -4.34%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.16%EV -13.90%E -5.56%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -12.79%E -3.88%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-19 01:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.21%EV -9.99%E -4.34%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.16%EV -13.90%E -5.56%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -12.79%E -3.88%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-19 01:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.21%EV -9.99%E -4.34%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.16%EV -13.90%E -5.56%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -12.79%E -3.88%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-19 01:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.04%EV -11.95%E -5.31%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.13%EV -13.90%E -5.56%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -10.15%E -2.98%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-19 01:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.72%EV -13.91%E -6.32%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.95%EV -13.90%E -5.56%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.33%EV -8.82%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-19 00:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.27%EV -13.91%E -6.32%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.67%EV -13.90%E -5.56%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.06%EV -20.72%E -6.91%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 18.8% | 2026-04-19 00:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.45% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.04% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51% | 0.6% | 2026-04-19 01:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.45% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.04% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51% | 0.6% | 2026-04-19 01:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.45% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.04% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51% | 0.6% | 2026-04-19 01:01 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.36% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.20% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.45% | 0.8% | 2026-04-19 01:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.31% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.13% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.56% | 1.7% | 2026-04-19 01:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.24% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.28% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48% | 1.9% | 2026-04-19 01:00 |