L’École des cotes

Monterrey v Pachuca

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-19 01:05 UTC

Score final : Monterrey 1–3 Pachuca

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Monterrey (Local)

Prévision 39.13%2.56cote équitable
EV -2.17%
Avantage -0.866%
Kelly -1.44%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.21%39.27%39.11%41.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.152.332.352.5046.51%42.94%42.55%40.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Pachuca (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.44%2.90cote équitable
EV +1.59%
Avantage +0.540%
Kelly +0.817%
Croissance +0.013%

avec la cote maximale 2.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.47%34.26%34.37%35.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.692.702.9540.00%37.13%37.04%33.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.43%3.78cote équitable
EV -0.896%
Avantage -0.239%
Kelly -0.326%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.32%26.46%26.51%28.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.453.453.7533.33%29.01%28.99%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.69%EV -6.08%E -2.53%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.29%EV +1.59%E +0.540%K +0.817%G +0.013%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -10.15%E -2.98%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 00:40
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 41.63%EV -12.73%E -5.71%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV +1.59%E +0.540%K +0.817%G +0.013%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -8.82%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 00:25
Pinnacle2.42I 41.32%NM 39.97%EV -5.30%E -2.19%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.82%EV -1.51%E -0.527%K -0.810%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.21%EV -2.48%E -0.673%K -0.923%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-19 00:55
GTbets2.38I 42.02%NM 39.93%EV -6.86%E -2.88%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.23%EV -1.51%E -0.527%K -0.810%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.84%EV -6.45%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 00:10
BetOnline.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 40.29%EV -6.08%E -2.53%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.93%EV -1.85%E -0.649%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.78%EV -0.896%E -0.239%K -0.326%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-19 00:55
Svenska Spel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.71%EV -6.08%E -2.53%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.44%EV -1.85%E -0.649%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.85%EV -6.18%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 01:00
ATG (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.71%EV -6.08%E -2.53%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.44%EV -1.85%E -0.649%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.85%EV -6.18%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 01:01
1xBet2.47I 40.49%NM 38.87%EV -3.34%E -1.35%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.93%EV -2.54%E -0.897%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.20%EV -6.71%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-19 01:00
Unibet (NL)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -8.04%E -3.42%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -3.57%E -1.28%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -8.82%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 01:00
Unibet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -8.04%E -3.42%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -3.57%E -1.28%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -8.82%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 01:01
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -8.04%E -3.42%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -3.57%E -1.28%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -8.82%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 01:01
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -8.04%E -3.42%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -3.57%E -1.28%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -8.82%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 01:01
Casumo2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -8.04%E -3.42%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -3.57%E -1.28%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -8.82%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 01:00
betPARX2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -8.04%E -3.42%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -3.57%E -1.28%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -8.82%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 01:00
LowVig.ag2.50I 40.00%NM 38.63%EV -2.17%E -0.866%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.12%EV -5.29%E -1.93%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.25%EV -2.75%E -0.746%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-19 01:00
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.08%E -2.53%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -5.29%E -1.93%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -7.50%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 00:59
SportsBet2.37I 42.19%NM 39.39%EV -7.25%E -3.06%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -5.29%E -1.93%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.50%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 01:00
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -8.04%E -3.42%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -5.29%E -1.93%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.50%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 00:05
TABtouch2.32I 43.10%NM 39.74%EV -9.21%E -3.97%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -5.29%E -1.93%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -8.82%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 01:01
LiveScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -9.99%E -4.34%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -5.29%E -1.93%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.15%E -2.98%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 01:01
LeoVegas (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -9.99%E -4.34%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -5.29%E -1.93%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.15%E -2.98%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 01:01
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.64%EV -4.12%E -1.68%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.06%EV -7.02%E -2.60%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -4.86%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-19 01:00
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -6.08%E -2.53%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.02%E -2.60%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -10.15%E -2.98%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-19 01:00
BetUS2.33I 42.92%NM 39.55%EV -8.82%E -3.78%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -7.02%E -2.60%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.50%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 00:55
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 40.00%EV -9.99%E -4.34%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -7.02%E -2.60%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -6.18%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 00:45
Fliff2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -9.99%E -4.34%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -7.02%E -2.60%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -8.82%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 01:00
Virgin Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 39.60%EV -10.77%E -4.73%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.44%EV -7.02%E -2.60%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.95%EV -11.47%E -3.42%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-19 01:00
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 38.69%EV -5.30%E -2.19%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.94%EV -7.71%E -2.88%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.37%EV -6.18%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 01:01
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 38.69%EV -5.30%E -2.19%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.94%EV -7.71%E -2.88%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.37%EV -6.18%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 01:00
Bovada2.37I 42.19%NM 38.84%EV -7.25%E -3.06%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.48%EV -8.05%E -3.01%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.82%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-19 00:59
Marathon Bet2.41I 41.49%NM 38.43%EV -5.69%E -2.36%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -8.74%E -3.30%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.62%EV -8.03%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-19 01:00
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -6.08%E -2.53%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -8.74%E -3.30%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.50%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-19 01:00
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -8.04%E -3.42%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -8.74%E -3.30%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -8.82%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 01:00
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -8.04%E -3.42%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -8.74%E -3.30%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.15%E -2.98%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-19 01:00
LeoVegas2.23I 44.84%NM 39.73%EV -12.73%E -5.71%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.43%EV -8.74%E -3.30%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -12.79%E -3.88%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-19 01:00
PMU (FR)2.23I 44.84%NM 39.73%EV -12.73%E -5.71%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.43%EV -8.74%E -3.30%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -12.79%E -3.88%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-19 01:00
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 38.89%EV -9.99%E -4.34%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.01%EV -9.43%E -3.58%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -12.79%E -3.88%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-19 01:01
Bet Victor2.45I 40.82%NM 38.23%EV -4.12%E -1.68%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -9.77%E -3.73%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -4.86%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 01:00
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -9.99%E -4.34%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -9.77%E -3.73%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.15%E -2.98%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 01:00
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -11.95%E -5.31%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.33%EV -9.77%E -3.73%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -7.50%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-19 00:45
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -11.95%E -5.31%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -9.77%E -3.73%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -10.15%E -2.98%K -4.23%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-19 00:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -11.95%E -5.31%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -9.77%E -3.73%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -10.15%E -2.98%K -4.23%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-19 00:05
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -9.99%E -4.34%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -10.46%E -4.02%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -4.86%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-19 00:25
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.66%EV -15.86%E -7.38%K -13.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.62%EV -10.46%E -4.02%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.71%EV -10.15%E -2.98%K -4.23%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-19 00:35
Betclic (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.86%EV -13.91%E -6.32%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 34.12%EV -11.49%E -4.47%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.02%EV -10.94%E -3.25%K -4.62%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-19 00:39
NetBet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.03%EV -15.86%E -7.38%K -13.79%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 33.49%EV -11.49%E -4.47%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.48%EV -14.11%E -4.34%K -6.27%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-19 00:40
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 38.21%EV -9.99%E -4.34%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.16%EV -13.90%E -5.56%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -12.79%E -3.88%K -5.56%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-19 01:01
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 38.21%EV -9.99%E -4.34%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.16%EV -13.90%E -5.56%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -12.79%E -3.88%K -5.56%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-19 01:00
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.21%EV -9.99%E -4.34%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.16%EV -13.90%E -5.56%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -12.79%E -3.88%K -5.56%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-19 01:00
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.21%EV -9.99%E -4.34%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.16%EV -13.90%E -5.56%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -12.79%E -3.88%K -5.56%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-19 01:00
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 39.04%EV -11.95%E -5.31%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.13%EV -13.90%E -5.56%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -10.15%E -2.98%K -4.23%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-19 01:00
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.72%EV -13.91%E -6.32%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.95%EV -13.90%E -5.56%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.33%EV -8.82%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-19 00:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 38.27%EV -13.91%E -6.32%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.67%EV -13.90%E -5.56%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.06%EV -20.72%E -6.91%K -10.36%G +0.000%18.8%2026-04-19 00:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.45%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.04%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51%0.6%2026-04-19 01:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.45%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.04%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51%0.6%2026-04-19 01:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.45%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.04%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51%0.6%2026-04-19 01:01
Matchbook2.52I 39.68%NM 39.36%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.20%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.45%0.8%2026-04-19 01:00
Smarkets2.50I 40.00%NM 39.31%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.13%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.56%1.7%2026-04-19 01:00
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 39.24%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.28%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48%1.9%2026-04-19 01:00