L’École des cotes

Monterrey v Cruz Azul

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-01 01:07 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Monterrey (Local)

Prévision 34.82%2.87cote équitable
EV +2.39%
Avantage +0.811%
Kelly +1.23%
Croissance +0.029%

avec la cote maximale 2.94

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.68%34.99%34.71%37.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.352.592.602.9442.55%38.60%38.46%34.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cruz Azul (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.20%2.62cote équitable
EV +0.461%
Avantage +0.175%
Kelly +0.283%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 2.63

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.93%38.08%38.25%39.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.442.452.6344.44%40.94%40.82%38.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.98%3.71cote équitable
EV -2.61%
Avantage -0.724%
Kelly -1.00%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.61

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.05%26.93%27.03%29.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.393.453.6134.72%29.46%28.99%27.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.94I 34.01%NM 32.68%EV +2.39%E +0.811%K +1.23%G +0.029%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.54%EV -7.18%E -2.95%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.77%EV -6.66%E -1.92%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-01 00:59
Pinnacle2.80I 35.71%NM 34.53%EV -2.49%E -0.889%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.68%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.79%EV -2.61%E -0.724%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-01 01:04
BetOnline.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 34.51%EV -2.49%E -0.889%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.65%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.84%EV -2.88%E -0.801%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-01 01:05
LowVig.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 34.51%EV -2.49%E -0.889%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.65%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.84%EV -2.88%E -0.801%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-01 01:04
GTbets2.73I 36.63%NM 34.58%EV -4.93%E -1.81%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.37%EV -6.03%E -2.45%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.05%EV -5.85%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-01 01:04
Marathon Bet2.72I 36.76%NM 34.09%EV -5.28%E -1.94%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -8.32%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -8.28%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-01 00:59
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -5.97%E -2.21%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -5.58%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-01 01:04
BetUS2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -5.97%E -2.21%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -5.58%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 00:59
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -5.97%E -2.21%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.20%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -6.93%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-01 01:04
FanDuel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -5.97%E -2.21%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -8.28%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 01:04
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -5.97%E -2.21%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -8.32%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -8.28%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-01 01:04
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -5.97%E -2.21%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -8.32%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -8.28%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-01 01:04
Coolbet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.76%EV -7.71%E -2.91%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.16%EV -2.60%E -1.02%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.58%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-01 01:03
Bet Right2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -7.71%E -2.91%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -10.98%E -3.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-01 01:04
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -7.71%E -2.91%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -10.23%E -4.36%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.28%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-01 01:04
Everygame2.65I 37.74%NM 34.26%EV -7.71%E -2.91%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -10.23%E -4.36%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -9.63%E -2.87%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-01 01:00
Bovada2.64I 37.88%NM 34.93%EV -8.06%E -3.05%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.95%EV -7.18%E -2.95%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.28%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 01:04
NordicBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.51%EV -8.76%E -3.34%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -5.27%E -2.12%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.93%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 01:04
Betsson2.62I 38.17%NM 35.51%EV -8.76%E -3.34%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -5.27%E -2.12%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.93%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 01:04
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 34.54%EV -8.76%E -3.34%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.03%EV -9.09%E -3.82%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -10.98%E -3.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-01 01:05
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 33.51%EV -8.76%E -3.34%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.17%EV -12.14%E -5.28%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -16.37%E -5.28%K -7.80%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-01 01:04
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -9.46%E -3.64%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.58%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 01:02
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.96%EV -9.46%E -3.64%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -10.23%E -4.36%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -6.93%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-01 01:04
Sky Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -9.46%E -3.64%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -9.09%E -3.82%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -12.32%E -3.79%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-01 01:05
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -9.46%E -3.64%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -12.14%E -5.28%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -10.98%E -3.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-01 01:04
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -9.46%E -3.64%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -12.14%E -5.28%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -10.98%E -3.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-01 01:04
Betclic (FR)2.58I 38.76%NM 34.01%EV -10.15%E -3.93%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.00%EV -14.05%E -6.25%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.00%EV -12.32%E -3.79%K -5.48%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-01 01:03
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 37.34%EV -11.20%E -4.39%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.21%EV +0.461%E +0.175%K +0.283%G +0.001%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -2.88%E -0.801%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-01 01:04
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.34%EV -11.20%E -4.39%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.21%EV +0.461%E +0.175%K +0.283%G +0.001%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -2.88%E -0.801%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-01 01:04
Fliff2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -11.20%E -4.39%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -9.63%E -2.87%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-01 01:04
Casumo2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -12.94%E -5.18%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -0.685%E -0.264%K -0.428%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.58%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 01:04
Unibet (NL)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -12.94%E -5.18%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -0.685%E -0.264%K -0.428%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.58%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 01:05
Grosvenor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -12.94%E -5.18%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -0.685%E -0.264%K -0.428%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.58%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 01:04
Unibet (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -12.94%E -5.18%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -0.685%E -0.264%K -0.428%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.58%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 01:04
Unibet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -12.94%E -5.18%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -0.685%E -0.264%K -0.428%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.58%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 01:04
betPARX2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -12.94%E -5.18%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -0.685%E -0.264%K -0.428%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.58%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 01:04
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -12.94%E -5.18%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -12.14%E -5.28%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -8.28%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-01 00:53
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 34.86%EV -12.94%E -5.18%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.90%EV -12.14%E -5.28%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.24%EV -13.67%E -4.27%K -6.22%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-01 01:04
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.86%EV -12.94%E -5.18%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.90%EV -12.14%E -5.28%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.24%EV -13.67%E -4.27%K -6.22%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-01 01:04
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.86%EV -12.94%E -5.18%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.90%EV -12.14%E -5.28%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.24%EV -13.67%E -4.27%K -6.22%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-01 01:04
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.28%EV -12.94%E -5.18%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.08%EV -14.05%E -6.25%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.64%EV -16.37%E -5.28%K -7.80%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-01 01:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 33.84%EV -12.94%E -5.18%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.78%EV -12.14%E -5.28%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.38%EV -22.31%E -7.75%K -11.86%G +0.000%18.2%2026-03-01 01:04
BetRivers2.48I 40.32%NM 37.30%EV -13.63%E -5.50%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.27%EV -2.60%E -1.02%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -5.58%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-01 00:53
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -14.68%E -5.99%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.97%EV -2.60%E -1.02%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -6.93%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-01 01:04
NetBet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.17%EV -14.68%E -5.99%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.47%EV -12.14%E -5.28%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.36%EV -15.02%E -4.77%K -6.99%G +0.000%16.0%2026-03-01 01:05
LiveScore Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.36%EV -15.38%E -6.33%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.32%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -6.93%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-01 01:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.36%EV -15.38%E -6.33%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.32%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -6.93%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-01 01:04
Virgin Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -16.42%E -6.84%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -8.28%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-01 01:04
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 37.32%EV -18.16%E -7.73%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.10%EV -7.18%E -2.95%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.58%EV -10.98%E -3.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-01 01:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.47%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%0.8%2026-03-01 01:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.60%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.65%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-03-01 01:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.58%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.33%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.09%1.1%2026-03-01 01:04
Matchbook2.86I 34.97%NM 34.58%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.33%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.09%1.1%2026-03-01 01:04
Smarkets2.84I 35.21%NM 34.50%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.28%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.22%2.1%2026-03-01 01:04