مدرسة الاحتمالات

Monterrey v Cruz Azul

البداية: 2026-03-01 01:07 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

49 شركة مراهنات (15 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Monterrey (المضيف)

التنبؤ 34.82%2.87السعر العادل
EV +2.39%
الأفضلية +0.811%
Kelly +1.23%
النمو +0.029%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.94

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
32.68%34.99%34.71%37.51%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.352.592.602.9442.55%38.60%38.46%34.01%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Cruz Azul (الضيف)

التنبؤ 38.20%2.62السعر العادل
EV +0.461%
الأفضلية +0.175%
Kelly +0.283%
النمو +0.001%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.63

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
35.93%38.08%38.25%39.54%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.252.442.452.6344.44%40.94%40.82%38.02%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 26.98%3.71السعر العادل
EV -2.61%
الأفضلية -0.724%
Kelly -1.00%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.61

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.05%26.93%27.03%29.38%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.393.453.6134.72%29.46%28.99%27.70%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (49 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet2.94I 34.01%NM 32.68%EV +2.39%E +0.811%K +1.23%G +0.029%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.54%EV -7.18%E -2.95%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.77%EV -6.66%E -1.92%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-01 00:59
Pinnacle2.80I 35.71%NM 34.53%EV -2.49%E -0.889%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.68%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.79%EV -2.61%E -0.724%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-01 01:04
BetOnline.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 34.51%EV -2.49%E -0.889%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.65%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.84%EV -2.88%E -0.801%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-01 01:05
LowVig.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 34.51%EV -2.49%E -0.889%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.65%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.84%EV -2.88%E -0.801%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-01 01:04
GTbets2.73I 36.63%NM 34.58%EV -4.93%E -1.81%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.37%EV -6.03%E -2.45%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.05%EV -5.85%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-01 01:04
Marathon Bet2.72I 36.76%NM 34.09%EV -5.28%E -1.94%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -8.32%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -8.28%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-01 00:59
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -5.97%E -2.21%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -5.58%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-01 01:04
BetUS2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -5.97%E -2.21%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -5.58%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 00:59
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -5.97%E -2.21%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.20%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -6.93%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-01 01:04
FanDuel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -5.97%E -2.21%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -8.28%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 01:04
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -5.97%E -2.21%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -8.32%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -8.28%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-01 01:04
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -5.97%E -2.21%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -8.32%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -8.28%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-01 01:04
Coolbet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.76%EV -7.71%E -2.91%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.16%EV -2.60%E -1.02%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.58%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-01 01:03
Bet Right2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -7.71%E -2.91%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -10.98%E -3.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-01 01:04
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -7.71%E -2.91%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -10.23%E -4.36%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.28%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-01 01:04
Everygame2.65I 37.74%NM 34.26%EV -7.71%E -2.91%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -10.23%E -4.36%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -9.63%E -2.87%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-01 01:00
Bovada2.64I 37.88%NM 34.93%EV -8.06%E -3.05%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.95%EV -7.18%E -2.95%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.28%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 01:04
NordicBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.51%EV -8.76%E -3.34%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -5.27%E -2.12%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.93%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 01:04
Betsson2.62I 38.17%NM 35.51%EV -8.76%E -3.34%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -5.27%E -2.12%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.93%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 01:04
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 34.54%EV -8.76%E -3.34%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.03%EV -9.09%E -3.82%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -10.98%E -3.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-01 01:05
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 33.51%EV -8.76%E -3.34%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.17%EV -12.14%E -5.28%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -16.37%E -5.28%K -7.80%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-01 01:04
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -9.46%E -3.64%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.58%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 01:02
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.96%EV -9.46%E -3.64%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -10.23%E -4.36%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -6.93%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-01 01:04
Sky Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -9.46%E -3.64%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -9.09%E -3.82%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -12.32%E -3.79%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-01 01:05
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -9.46%E -3.64%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -12.14%E -5.28%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -10.98%E -3.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-01 01:04
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -9.46%E -3.64%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -12.14%E -5.28%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -10.98%E -3.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-01 01:04
Betclic (FR)2.58I 38.76%NM 34.01%EV -10.15%E -3.93%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.00%EV -14.05%E -6.25%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.00%EV -12.32%E -3.79%K -5.48%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-01 01:03
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 37.34%EV -11.20%E -4.39%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.21%EV +0.461%E +0.175%K +0.283%G +0.001%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -2.88%E -0.801%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-01 01:04
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.34%EV -11.20%E -4.39%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.21%EV +0.461%E +0.175%K +0.283%G +0.001%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -2.88%E -0.801%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-01 01:04
Fliff2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -11.20%E -4.39%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -9.63%E -2.87%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-01 01:04
Casumo2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -12.94%E -5.18%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -0.685%E -0.264%K -0.428%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.58%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 01:04
Unibet (NL)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -12.94%E -5.18%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -0.685%E -0.264%K -0.428%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.58%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 01:05
Grosvenor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -12.94%E -5.18%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -0.685%E -0.264%K -0.428%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.58%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 01:04
Unibet (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -12.94%E -5.18%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -0.685%E -0.264%K -0.428%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.58%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 01:04
Unibet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -12.94%E -5.18%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -0.685%E -0.264%K -0.428%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.58%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 01:04
betPARX2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -12.94%E -5.18%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -0.685%E -0.264%K -0.428%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.58%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 01:04
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -12.94%E -5.18%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -12.14%E -5.28%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -8.28%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-01 00:53
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 34.86%EV -12.94%E -5.18%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.90%EV -12.14%E -5.28%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.24%EV -13.67%E -4.27%K -6.22%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-01 01:04
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.86%EV -12.94%E -5.18%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.90%EV -12.14%E -5.28%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.24%EV -13.67%E -4.27%K -6.22%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-01 01:04
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.86%EV -12.94%E -5.18%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.90%EV -12.14%E -5.28%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.24%EV -13.67%E -4.27%K -6.22%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-01 01:04
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.28%EV -12.94%E -5.18%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.08%EV -14.05%E -6.25%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.64%EV -16.37%E -5.28%K -7.80%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-01 01:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 33.84%EV -12.94%E -5.18%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.78%EV -12.14%E -5.28%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.38%EV -22.31%E -7.75%K -11.86%G +0.000%18.2%2026-03-01 01:04
BetRivers2.48I 40.32%NM 37.30%EV -13.63%E -5.50%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.27%EV -2.60%E -1.02%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -5.58%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-01 00:53
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -14.68%E -5.99%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.97%EV -2.60%E -1.02%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -6.93%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-01 01:04
NetBet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.17%EV -14.68%E -5.99%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.47%EV -12.14%E -5.28%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.36%EV -15.02%E -4.77%K -6.99%G +0.000%16.0%2026-03-01 01:05
LiveScore Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.36%EV -15.38%E -6.33%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.32%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -6.93%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-01 01:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.36%EV -15.38%E -6.33%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.32%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -6.93%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-01 01:04
Virgin Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -16.42%E -6.84%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -8.28%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-01 01:04
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 37.32%EV -18.16%E -7.73%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.10%EV -7.18%E -2.95%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.58%EV -10.98%E -3.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-01 01:05
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.47%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%0.8%2026-03-01 01:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.60%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.65%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-03-01 01:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.58%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.33%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.09%1.1%2026-03-01 01:04
Matchbook2.86I 34.97%NM 34.58%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.33%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.09%1.1%2026-03-01 01:04
Smarkets2.84I 35.21%NM 34.50%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.28%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.22%2.1%2026-03-01 01:04