La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Monterrey v Cruz Azul
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Monterrey (Local)
Predicción 34.82%2.87momio equitativo
EV +2.39%
Ventaja +0.811%
Kelly +1.23%
Crecimiento +0.029%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.94
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.68%34.99%34.71%37.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.352.592.602.9442.55%38.60%38.46%34.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Cruz Azul (Visitante)
Predicción 38.20%2.62momio equitativo
EV +0.461%
Ventaja +0.175%
Kelly +0.283%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.63
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.93%38.08%38.25%39.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.442.452.6344.44%40.94%40.82%38.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.98%3.71momio equitativo
EV -2.61%
Ventaja -0.724%
Kelly -1.00%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.61
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.05%26.93%27.03%29.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.393.453.6134.72%29.46%28.99%27.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.68%EV +2.39%E +0.811%K +1.23%G +0.029% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.54%EV -7.18%E -2.95%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.77%EV -6.66%E -1.92%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-01 00:59 |
| Pinnacle | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.53%EV -2.49%E -0.889%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.68%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.79%EV -2.61%E -0.724%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-01 01:04 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.51%EV -2.49%E -0.889%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.65%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.84%EV -2.88%E -0.801%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-01 01:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.51%EV -2.49%E -0.889%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.65%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.84%EV -2.88%E -0.801%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-01 01:04 |
| GTbets | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.58%EV -4.93%E -1.81%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.37%EV -6.03%E -2.45%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.05%EV -5.85%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-01 01:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.09%EV -5.28%E -1.94%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -8.32%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -8.28%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-01 00:59 |
| DraftKings | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -5.97%E -2.21%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -5.58%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-01 01:04 |
| BetUS | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -5.97%E -2.21%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -5.58%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-01 00:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -5.97%E -2.21%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.20%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -6.93%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-01 01:04 |
| FanDuel | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -5.97%E -2.21%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -8.28%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-01 01:04 |
| SportsBet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -5.97%E -2.21%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -8.32%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -8.28%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-01 01:04 |
| Betway | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -5.97%E -2.21%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -8.32%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -8.28%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-01 01:04 |
| Coolbet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.76%EV -7.71%E -2.91%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.16%EV -2.60%E -1.02%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.58%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-01 01:03 |
| Bet Right | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -7.71%E -2.91%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -10.98%E -3.33%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-01 01:04 |
| Fanatics | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -7.71%E -2.91%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -10.23%E -4.36%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.28%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-01 01:04 |
| Everygame | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.26%EV -7.71%E -2.91%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -10.23%E -4.36%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -9.63%E -2.87%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-01 01:00 |
| Bovada | 2.64I 37.88%NM 34.93%EV -8.06%E -3.05%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.95%EV -7.18%E -2.95%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.28%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-01 01:04 |
| NordicBet | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.51%EV -8.76%E -3.34%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -5.27%E -2.12%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.93%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-01 01:04 |
| Betsson | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.51%EV -8.76%E -3.34%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -5.27%E -2.12%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.93%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-01 01:04 |
| Paddy Power | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.54%EV -8.76%E -3.34%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.03%EV -9.09%E -3.82%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -10.98%E -3.33%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-01 01:05 |
| William Hill | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.51%EV -8.76%E -3.34%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.17%EV -12.14%E -5.28%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -16.37%E -5.28%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-01 01:04 |
| Bet Victor | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -9.46%E -3.64%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.58%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-01 01:02 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.96%EV -9.46%E -3.64%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -10.23%E -4.36%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -6.93%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-01 01:04 |
| Sky Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -9.46%E -3.64%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -9.09%E -3.82%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -12.32%E -3.79%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-01 01:05 |
| Coral | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -9.46%E -3.64%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -12.14%E -5.28%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -10.98%E -3.33%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-01 01:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -9.46%E -3.64%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -12.14%E -5.28%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -10.98%E -3.33%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-01 01:04 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.58I 38.76%NM 34.01%EV -10.15%E -3.93%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.00%EV -14.05%E -6.25%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.00%EV -12.32%E -3.79%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-01 01:03 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.34%EV -11.20%E -4.39%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.21%EV +0.461%E +0.175%K +0.283%G +0.001% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -2.88%E -0.801%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-01 01:04 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.34%EV -11.20%E -4.39%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.21%EV +0.461%E +0.175%K +0.283%G +0.001% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -2.88%E -0.801%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-01 01:04 |
| Fliff | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -11.20%E -4.39%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -9.63%E -2.87%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-01 01:04 |
| Casumo | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -12.94%E -5.18%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -0.685%E -0.264%K -0.428%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.58%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-01 01:04 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -12.94%E -5.18%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -0.685%E -0.264%K -0.428%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.58%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-01 01:05 |
| Grosvenor | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -12.94%E -5.18%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -0.685%E -0.264%K -0.428%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.58%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-01 01:04 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -12.94%E -5.18%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -0.685%E -0.264%K -0.428%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.58%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-01 01:04 |
| Unibet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -12.94%E -5.18%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -0.685%E -0.264%K -0.428%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.58%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-01 01:04 |
| betPARX | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -12.94%E -5.18%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -0.685%E -0.264%K -0.428%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.58%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-01 01:04 |
| BoyleSports | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -12.94%E -5.18%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -12.14%E -5.28%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -8.28%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-03-01 00:53 |
| 888sport | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.86%EV -12.94%E -5.18%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.90%EV -12.14%E -5.28%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.24%EV -13.67%E -4.27%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-03-01 01:04 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.86%EV -12.94%E -5.18%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.90%EV -12.14%E -5.28%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.24%EV -13.67%E -4.27%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-03-01 01:04 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.86%EV -12.94%E -5.18%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.90%EV -12.14%E -5.28%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.24%EV -13.67%E -4.27%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-03-01 01:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.28%EV -12.94%E -5.18%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.08%EV -14.05%E -6.25%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.64%EV -16.37%E -5.28%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-03-01 01:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.84%EV -12.94%E -5.18%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.78%EV -12.14%E -5.28%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.38%EV -22.31%E -7.75%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 18.2% | 2026-03-01 01:04 |
| BetRivers | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.30%EV -13.63%E -5.50%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.27%EV -2.60%E -1.02%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -5.58%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-01 00:53 |
| TABtouch | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -14.68%E -5.99%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.97%EV -2.60%E -1.02%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -6.93%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-01 01:04 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.17%EV -14.68%E -5.99%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.47%EV -12.14%E -5.28%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.36%EV -15.02%E -4.77%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-03-01 01:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.36%EV -15.38%E -6.33%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.32%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -6.93%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-01 01:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.36%EV -15.38%E -6.33%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.32%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -6.93%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-01 01:04 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -16.42%E -6.84%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -8.28%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-01 01:04 |
| LeoVegas | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.32%EV -18.16%E -7.73%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.10%EV -7.18%E -2.95%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.58%EV -10.98%E -3.33%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-01 01:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.47% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83% | 0.8% | 2026-03-01 01:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.60% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.65% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 1.1% | 2026-03-01 01:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.58% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.33% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.09% | 1.1% | 2026-03-01 01:04 |
| Matchbook | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.58% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.33% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.09% | 1.1% | 2026-03-01 01:04 |
| Smarkets | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.50% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.28% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.22% | 2.1% | 2026-03-01 01:04 |