Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Monterrey v Atlético San Luis

Kickoff: 2026-04-04 23:02 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Monterrey (Local)

Prediction 61.42%1.63fair odd
EV -2.34%
Edge -1.47%
Kelly -3.96%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.24%61.40%61.37%62.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.491.501.5970.42%66.91%66.67%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Atlético San Luis (Visit)

Prediction 17.44%5.73fair odd
EV +6.40%
Edge +1.05%
Kelly +1.25%
Growth +0.080%

assuming max odds 6.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.41%17.32%17.49%18.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.755.425.406.1021.05%18.46%18.52%16.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.13%4.73fair odd
EV -0.464%
Edge -0.098%
Kelly -0.125%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.47%21.28%21.14%23.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.214.204.7127.78%23.76%23.81%21.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Monterrey (Local): 61.42%; Atlético San Luis (Visit): 17.44%; Draw: 21.13%. For Atlético San Luis (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.73. 15 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.40%.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.92%EV -6.02%E -3.94%K -11.36%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.53%EV +6.40%E +1.05%K +1.25%G +0.080%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV -11.24%E -2.68%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-04 23:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.92%EV -6.02%E -3.94%K -11.36%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.53%EV +6.40%E +1.05%K +1.25%G +0.080%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV -11.24%E -2.68%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-04 23:00
Coolbet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.70%EV -6.02%E -3.94%K -11.36%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.99%EV +4.66%E +0.776%K +0.931%G +0.043%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.32%EV -4.90%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 23:00
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -7.86%E -5.24%K -15.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV +4.66%E +0.776%K +0.931%G +0.043%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -13.35%E -3.26%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 23:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -7.86%E -5.24%K -15.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV +4.66%E +0.776%K +0.931%G +0.043%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -13.35%E -3.26%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 23:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -7.86%E -5.24%K -15.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV +4.66%E +0.776%K +0.931%G +0.043%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -13.35%E -3.26%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 23:00
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -7.86%E -5.24%K -15.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV +4.66%E +0.776%K +0.931%G +0.043%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -13.35%E -3.26%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 23:01
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -7.86%E -5.24%K -15.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV +4.66%E +0.776%K +0.931%G +0.043%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -13.35%E -3.26%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 23:00
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -7.86%E -5.24%K -15.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV +4.66%E +0.776%K +0.931%G +0.043%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -13.35%E -3.26%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 23:01
TABtouch🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.04%EV -8.48%E -5.69%K -17.30%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV +4.66%E +0.776%K +0.931%G +0.043%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -13.35%E -3.26%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 23:00
BetRivers🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.04%EV -8.48%E -5.69%K -17.30%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV +4.66%E +0.776%K +0.931%G +0.043%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -13.35%E -3.26%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 22:46
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.69%EV -9.71%E -6.60%K -20.65%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.64%EV +1.17%E +0.201%K +0.243%G +0.003%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -15.47%E -3.87%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-04 23:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.69%EV -9.71%E -6.60%K -20.65%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.64%EV +1.17%E +0.201%K +0.243%G +0.003%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -15.47%E -3.87%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-04 23:01
Virgin Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.02%EV -10.93%E -7.54%K -24.30%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.50%EV +1.17%E +0.201%K +0.243%G +0.003%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -15.47%E -3.87%K -5.16%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-04 23:00
Pinnacle🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.53%EV -5.41%E -3.51%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.79I 17.27%NM 16.63%EV +0.993%E +0.171%K +0.207%G +0.002%4.62I 21.65%NM 20.84%EV -2.37%E -0.512%K -0.654%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 22:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.61%EV -5.41%E -3.51%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.92%EV -0.577%E -0.101%K -0.123%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 20.47%EV -0.464%E -0.098%K -0.125%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-04 22:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.61%EV -5.41%E -3.51%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.92%EV -0.577%E -0.101%K -0.123%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 20.47%EV -0.464%E -0.098%K -0.125%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-04 22:59
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.95%EV -9.09%E -6.14%K -18.94%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.35%EV -0.577%E -0.101%K -0.123%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -4.90%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 23:00
LeoVegas🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 61.82%EV -12.78%E -9.00%K -30.42%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.68%EV -2.32%E -0.414%K -0.505%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.51%EV -17.58%E -4.51%K -6.06%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-04 23:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 61.82%EV -12.78%E -9.00%K -30.42%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.68%EV -2.32%E -0.414%K -0.505%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.51%EV -17.58%E -4.51%K -6.06%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-04 23:00
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -7.86%E -5.24%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -4.07%E -0.739%K -0.903%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -4.90%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 23:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -7.86%E -5.24%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -4.07%E -0.739%K -0.903%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -7.01%E -1.59%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 23:00
GTbets🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.06%EV -6.02%E -3.94%K -11.36%G +0.000%5.41I 18.48%NM 17.27%EV -5.64%E -1.04%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 21.67%EV -8.92%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 23:00
Betsson🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.61%EV -6.63%E -4.37%K -12.76%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -5.81%E -1.08%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.05%EV -5.96%E -1.34%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 23:01
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.61%EV -6.63%E -4.37%K -12.76%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -5.81%E -1.08%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.05%EV -5.96%E -1.34%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 23:00
BetUS🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.63%EV -7.86%E -5.24%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.12%EV -5.81%E -1.08%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.25%EV -8.07%E -1.86%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 22:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%EV -7.86%E -5.24%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.33%EV -6.68%E -1.25%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.84%EV -5.96%E -1.34%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 22:59
1xBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.25%EV -2.34%E -1.47%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.33I 18.76%NM 17.97%EV -7.03%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.77%EV -7.01%E -1.59%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-04 22:59
DraftKings🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.30%EV -6.02%E -3.94%K -11.36%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.86%EV -8.43%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -4.90%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 23:01
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.01%EV -6.02%E -3.94%K -11.36%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -8.43%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -7.01%E -1.59%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 23:00
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.71%EV -6.02%E -3.94%K -11.36%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -8.43%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.60%EV -9.13%E -2.12%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 23:00
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.86%EV -6.63%E -4.37%K -12.76%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.62%EV -8.43%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -9.13%E -2.12%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 23:00
Bet Right🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -7.86%E -5.24%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -8.43%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.54%EV -10.18%E -2.40%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-04 22:59
Fliff🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.97%EV -7.86%E -5.24%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.76%EV -10.17%E -1.97%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.27%EV -9.13%E -2.12%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 22:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.72%EV -8.48%E -5.69%K -17.30%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.74%EV -11.04%E -2.17%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -11.24%E -2.68%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-04 23:00
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -6.02%E -3.94%K -11.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -12.79%E -2.56%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -8.49%E -1.96%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 22:59
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -7.86%E -5.24%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -12.79%E -2.56%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -11.24%E -2.68%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-04 22:59
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -7.86%E -5.24%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -12.79%E -2.56%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -15.47%E -3.87%K -5.16%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-04 22:58
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -7.86%E -5.24%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -12.79%E -2.56%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -15.47%E -3.87%K -5.16%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-04 23:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -7.86%E -5.24%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -12.79%E -2.56%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -15.47%E -3.87%K -5.16%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-04 22:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -7.86%E -5.24%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -12.79%E -2.56%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -15.47%E -3.87%K -5.16%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-04 22:58
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -11.55%E -8.02%K -26.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -12.79%E -2.56%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -8.49%E -1.96%K -2.55%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-04 23:00
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -11.55%E -8.02%K -26.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -12.79%E -2.56%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -11.24%E -2.68%K -3.51%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-04 23:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 59.24%EV -11.55%E -8.02%K -26.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.06%EV -12.79%E -2.56%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.70%EV -23.92%E -6.64%K -9.20%G +0.000%17.2%2026-04-04 23:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.90%EV -11.55%E -8.02%K -26.25%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 17.72%EV -13.66%E -2.76%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.39%EV -13.35%E -3.26%K -4.31%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-04 22:58
Unibet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 60.79%EV -12.16%E -8.51%K -28.29%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.74%EV -14.53%E -2.97%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.47%EV -14.41%E -3.56%K -4.73%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-04 22:59
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -7.86%E -5.24%K -15.73%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -16.28%E -3.39%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -15.47%E -3.87%K -5.16%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-04 23:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -7.86%E -5.24%K -15.73%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -16.28%E -3.39%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -15.47%E -3.87%K -5.16%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-04 23:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 59.58%EV -9.09%E -6.14%K -18.94%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.37%EV -16.28%E -3.39%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.05%EV -15.47%E -3.87%K -5.16%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-04 23:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 60.58%EV -12.78%E -9.00%K -30.42%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 17.92%EV -16.28%E -3.39%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.50%EV -15.47%E -3.87%K -5.16%G +0.000%16.3%2026-04-04 22:59
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.75%EV -11.55%E -8.02%K -26.25%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.42%EV -17.15%E -3.61%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.83%EV -11.24%E -2.68%K -3.51%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-04 22:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.59I 62.89%NM 62.37%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.53%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.10%0.8%2026-04-04 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.00%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05%1.1%2026-04-04 23:01
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 63.70%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.69%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.61%1.9%2026-04-04 23:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.56I 64.10%NM 62.82%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.33%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.85%2.0%2026-04-04 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 62.82%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.33%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.85%2.0%2026-04-04 23:00
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 61.87%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.82%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.31%4.3%2026-04-04 23:00