La escuela de los momios

Monterrey v Atlético San Luis

Inicio: 2026-04-04 23:02 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Monterrey (Local)

Predicción 61.42%1.63momio equitativo
EV -2.34%
Ventaja -1.47%
Kelly -3.96%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.59

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.24%61.40%61.37%62.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.421.491.501.5970.42%66.91%66.67%62.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Atlético San Luis (Visitante)

Predicción 17.44%5.73momio equitativo
EV +6.40%
Ventaja +1.05%
Kelly +1.25%
Crecimiento +0.080%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.41%17.32%17.49%18.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.755.425.406.1021.05%18.46%18.52%16.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 21.13%4.73momio equitativo
EV -0.464%
Ventaja -0.098%
Kelly -0.125%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.71

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.47%21.28%21.14%23.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.214.204.7127.78%23.76%23.81%21.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel1.53I 65.36%NM 61.92%EV -6.02%E -3.94%K -11.36%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.53%EV +6.40%E +1.05%K +1.25%G +0.080%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV -11.24%E -2.68%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-04 23:00
ATG (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.92%EV -6.02%E -3.94%K -11.36%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.53%EV +6.40%E +1.05%K +1.25%G +0.080%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV -11.24%E -2.68%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-04 23:00
Coolbet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.70%EV -6.02%E -3.94%K -11.36%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.99%EV +4.66%E +0.776%K +0.931%G +0.043%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.32%EV -4.90%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 23:00
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -7.86%E -5.24%K -15.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV +4.66%E +0.776%K +0.931%G +0.043%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -13.35%E -3.26%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 23:00
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -7.86%E -5.24%K -15.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV +4.66%E +0.776%K +0.931%G +0.043%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -13.35%E -3.26%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 23:00
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -7.86%E -5.24%K -15.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV +4.66%E +0.776%K +0.931%G +0.043%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -13.35%E -3.26%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 23:00
Casumo1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -7.86%E -5.24%K -15.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV +4.66%E +0.776%K +0.931%G +0.043%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -13.35%E -3.26%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 23:01
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -7.86%E -5.24%K -15.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV +4.66%E +0.776%K +0.931%G +0.043%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -13.35%E -3.26%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 23:00
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -7.86%E -5.24%K -15.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV +4.66%E +0.776%K +0.931%G +0.043%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -13.35%E -3.26%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 23:01
TABtouch1.49I 67.11%NM 62.04%EV -8.48%E -5.69%K -17.30%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV +4.66%E +0.776%K +0.931%G +0.043%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -13.35%E -3.26%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 23:00
BetRivers1.49I 67.11%NM 62.04%EV -8.48%E -5.69%K -17.30%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV +4.66%E +0.776%K +0.931%G +0.043%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -13.35%E -3.26%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 22:46
LeoVegas (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 61.69%EV -9.71%E -6.60%K -20.65%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.64%EV +1.17%E +0.201%K +0.243%G +0.003%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -15.47%E -3.87%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-04 23:00
LiveScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 61.69%EV -9.71%E -6.60%K -20.65%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.64%EV +1.17%E +0.201%K +0.243%G +0.003%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -15.47%E -3.87%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-04 23:01
Virgin Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 62.02%EV -10.93%E -7.54%K -24.30%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.50%EV +1.17%E +0.201%K +0.243%G +0.003%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -15.47%E -3.87%K -5.16%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-04 23:00
Pinnacle1.54I 64.94%NM 62.53%EV -5.41%E -3.51%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.79I 17.27%NM 16.63%EV +0.993%E +0.171%K +0.207%G +0.002%4.62I 21.65%NM 20.84%EV -2.37%E -0.512%K -0.654%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 22:59
LowVig.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 62.61%EV -5.41%E -3.51%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.92%EV -0.577%E -0.101%K -0.123%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 20.47%EV -0.464%E -0.098%K -0.125%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-04 22:59
BetOnline.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 62.61%EV -5.41%E -3.51%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.92%EV -0.577%E -0.101%K -0.123%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 20.47%EV -0.464%E -0.098%K -0.125%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-04 22:59
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 62.95%EV -9.09%E -6.14%K -18.94%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.35%EV -0.577%E -0.101%K -0.123%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -4.90%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 23:00
LeoVegas1.42I 70.42%NM 61.82%EV -12.78%E -9.00%K -30.42%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.68%EV -2.32%E -0.414%K -0.505%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.51%EV -17.58%E -4.51%K -6.06%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-04 23:00
PMU (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 61.82%EV -12.78%E -9.00%K -30.42%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.68%EV -2.32%E -0.414%K -0.505%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.51%EV -17.58%E -4.51%K -6.06%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-04 23:00
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -7.86%E -5.24%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -4.07%E -0.739%K -0.903%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -4.90%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 23:00
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -7.86%E -5.24%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -4.07%E -0.739%K -0.903%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -7.01%E -1.59%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 23:00
GTbets1.53I 65.36%NM 61.06%EV -6.02%E -3.94%K -11.36%G +0.000%5.41I 18.48%NM 17.27%EV -5.64%E -1.04%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 21.67%EV -8.92%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 23:00
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 61.61%EV -6.63%E -4.37%K -12.76%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -5.81%E -1.08%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.05%EV -5.96%E -1.34%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 23:01
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.61%EV -6.63%E -4.37%K -12.76%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -5.81%E -1.08%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.05%EV -5.96%E -1.34%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 23:00
BetUS1.50I 66.67%NM 61.63%EV -7.86%E -5.24%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.12%EV -5.81%E -1.08%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.25%EV -8.07%E -1.86%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 22:59
Marathon Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%EV -7.86%E -5.24%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.33%EV -6.68%E -1.25%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.84%EV -5.96%E -1.34%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 22:59
1xBet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.25%EV -2.34%E -1.47%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.33I 18.76%NM 17.97%EV -7.03%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.77%EV -7.01%E -1.59%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-04 22:59
DraftKings1.53I 65.36%NM 61.30%EV -6.02%E -3.94%K -11.36%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.86%EV -8.43%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -4.90%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 23:01
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 61.01%EV -6.02%E -3.94%K -11.36%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -8.43%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -7.01%E -1.59%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 23:00
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 60.71%EV -6.02%E -3.94%K -11.36%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -8.43%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.60%EV -9.13%E -2.12%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 23:00
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 60.86%EV -6.63%E -4.37%K -12.76%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.62%EV -8.43%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -9.13%E -2.12%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 23:00
Bet Right1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -7.86%E -5.24%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -8.43%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.54%EV -10.18%E -2.40%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-04 22:59
Fliff1.50I 66.67%NM 60.97%EV -7.86%E -5.24%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.76%EV -10.17%E -1.97%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.27%EV -9.13%E -2.12%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 22:59
Winamax (DE)1.49I 67.11%NM 60.72%EV -8.48%E -5.69%K -17.30%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.74%EV -11.04%E -2.17%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -11.24%E -2.68%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-04 23:00
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -6.02%E -3.94%K -11.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -12.79%E -2.56%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -8.49%E -1.96%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 22:59
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -7.86%E -5.24%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -12.79%E -2.56%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -11.24%E -2.68%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-04 22:59
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -7.86%E -5.24%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -12.79%E -2.56%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -15.47%E -3.87%K -5.16%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-04 22:58
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -7.86%E -5.24%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -12.79%E -2.56%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -15.47%E -3.87%K -5.16%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-04 23:00
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -7.86%E -5.24%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -12.79%E -2.56%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -15.47%E -3.87%K -5.16%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-04 22:59
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -7.86%E -5.24%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -12.79%E -2.56%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -15.47%E -3.87%K -5.16%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-04 22:58
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -11.55%E -8.02%K -26.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -12.79%E -2.56%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -8.49%E -1.96%K -2.55%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-04 23:00
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -11.55%E -8.02%K -26.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -12.79%E -2.56%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -11.24%E -2.68%K -3.51%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-04 23:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 59.24%EV -11.55%E -8.02%K -26.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.06%EV -12.79%E -2.56%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.70%EV -23.92%E -6.64%K -9.20%G +0.000%17.2%2026-04-04 23:00
Betclic (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 60.90%EV -11.55%E -8.02%K -26.25%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 17.72%EV -13.66%E -2.76%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.39%EV -13.35%E -3.26%K -4.31%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-04 22:58
Unibet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 60.79%EV -12.16%E -8.51%K -28.29%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.74%EV -14.53%E -2.97%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.47%EV -14.41%E -3.56%K -4.73%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-04 22:59
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -7.86%E -5.24%K -15.73%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -16.28%E -3.39%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -15.47%E -3.87%K -5.16%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-04 23:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -7.86%E -5.24%K -15.73%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -16.28%E -3.39%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -15.47%E -3.87%K -5.16%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-04 23:00
Winamax (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 59.58%EV -9.09%E -6.14%K -18.94%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.37%EV -16.28%E -3.39%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.05%EV -15.47%E -3.87%K -5.16%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-04 23:00
NetBet (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 60.58%EV -12.78%E -9.00%K -30.42%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 17.92%EV -16.28%E -3.39%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.50%EV -15.47%E -3.87%K -5.16%G +0.000%16.3%2026-04-04 22:59
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 60.75%EV -11.55%E -8.02%K -26.25%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.42%EV -17.15%E -3.61%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.83%EV -11.24%E -2.68%K -3.51%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-04 22:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.59I 62.89%NM 62.37%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.53%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.10%0.8%2026-04-04 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.00%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05%1.1%2026-04-04 23:01
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 63.70%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.69%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.61%1.9%2026-04-04 23:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.56I 64.10%NM 62.82%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.33%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.85%2.0%2026-04-04 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 62.82%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.33%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.85%2.0%2026-04-04 23:00
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 61.87%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.82%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.31%4.3%2026-04-04 23:00