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Mazatlán FC v Toluca
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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Mazatlán FC (Casa)
Previsione 19.92%5.02quota equa
EV +15.56%
Vantaggio +2.68%
Kelly +3.24%
Crescita +0.504%
ipotizzando la quota massima 5.80
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
15.83%19.79%19.74%22.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.004.784.735.8025.00%20.91%21.12%17.24%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Toluca (Trasferta)
Previsione 58.19%1.72quota equa
EV -3.99%
Vantaggio -2.42%
Kelly -6.14%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.65
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
55.85%58.31%58.32%63.31%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.431.561.571.6569.93%64.13%63.69%60.61%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 21.89%4.57quota equa
EV -1.72%
Vantaggio -0.384%
Kelly -0.494%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.49
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.86%21.90%21.93%23.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.604.164.204.4927.78%24.05%23.81%22.27%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (54 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV +15.56%E +2.68%K +3.24%G +0.504% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.31%EV -15.63%E -10.78%K -34.73%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -3.69%E -0.840%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 00:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.53%EV +7.59%E +1.41%K +1.73%G +0.131% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.70%EV -9.23%E -5.91%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.77%EV -4.79%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 00:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.53%EV +7.59%E +1.41%K +1.73%G +0.131% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.70%EV -9.23%E -5.91%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.77%EV -4.79%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 00:55 |
| Unibet | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.51%EV +5.60%E +1.06%K +1.30%G +0.073% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.65%EV -10.97%E -7.17%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -6.98%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 00:50 |
| Grosvenor | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.51%EV +5.60%E +1.06%K +1.30%G +0.073% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.65%EV -10.97%E -7.17%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -6.98%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 00:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.51%EV +5.60%E +1.06%K +1.30%G +0.073% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.65%EV -10.97%E -7.17%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -6.98%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 00:50 |
| Casumo | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.51%EV +5.60%E +1.06%K +1.30%G +0.073% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.65%EV -10.97%E -7.17%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -6.98%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 00:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.51%EV +5.60%E +1.06%K +1.30%G +0.073% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.65%EV -10.97%E -7.17%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -6.98%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 00:54 |
| betPARX | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.51%EV +5.60%E +1.06%K +1.30%G +0.073% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.65%EV -10.97%E -7.17%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -6.98%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 00:54 |
| TABtouch | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV +5.60%E +1.06%K +1.30%G +0.073% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.81%EV -12.14%E -8.04%K -23.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86%EV -8.07%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 00:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.32%EV +4.60%E +0.877%K +1.08%G +0.050% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.03%EV -13.30%E -8.93%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV -8.07%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-23 00:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.32%EV +4.60%E +0.877%K +1.08%G +0.050% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.03%EV -13.30%E -8.93%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV -8.07%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-23 00:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.30%EV +3.61%E +0.693%K +0.858%G +0.031% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.77%EV -13.88%E -9.38%K -28.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.94%EV -10.26%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-23 00:54 |
| BetOnline.ag | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.78%EV +2.61%E +0.507%K +0.629%G +0.016% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.69%EV -5.74%E -3.54%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 4.49I 22.27%NM 21.54%EV -1.72%E -0.384%K -0.494%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-23 00:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.78%EV +2.61%E +0.507%K +0.629%G +0.016% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.69%EV -5.74%E -3.54%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 4.49I 22.27%NM 21.54%EV -1.72%E -0.384%K -0.494%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-23 00:54 |
| 1xBet | 5.04I 19.84%NM 19.06%EV +0.418%E +0.083%K +0.103%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.95%EV -5.15%E -3.16%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 4.37I 22.88%NM 21.99%EV -4.35%E -0.996%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-23 00:54 |
| LeoVegas | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.40%EV -0.379%E -0.076%K -0.095%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 60.85%EV -16.79%E -11.74%K -39.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.75%EV -12.45%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-04-23 00:54 |
| PMU (FR) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.40%EV -0.379%E -0.076%K -0.095%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 60.85%EV -16.79%E -11.74%K -39.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.75%EV -12.45%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-04-23 00:55 |
| Pinnacle | 4.99I 20.04%NM 19.29%EV -0.578%E -0.116%K -0.145%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.33%EV -3.99%E -2.42%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -5.88%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-23 00:50 |
| FanDuel | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -2.37%E -0.484%K -0.608%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.78%EV -9.23%E -5.91%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -3.69%E -0.840%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 00:50 |
| Coolbet | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.48%EV -3.37%E -0.694%K -0.875%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.05%EV -6.90%E -4.31%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -3.69%E -0.840%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 00:50 |
| DraftKings | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -4.36%E -0.909%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.33%EV -5.74%E -3.54%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.98%EV -5.88%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 00:50 |
| Bovada | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -4.36%E -0.909%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.85%EV -10.39%E -6.75%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -3.69%E -0.840%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 00:50 |
| Fanatics | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -5.36%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.67%EV -7.48%E -4.70%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -5.88%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 00:44 |
| Bet Victor | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -5.36%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.21%EV -6.90%E -4.31%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -8.07%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 00:53 |
| SportsBet | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -5.36%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.06%EV -8.64%E -5.51%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -5.23%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 00:49 |
| PlayUp | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -5.36%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.90%EV -6.90%E -4.31%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -10.26%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 00:54 |
| GTbets | 4.72I 21.19%NM 19.62%EV -5.96%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.99%EV -8.64%E -5.51%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -5.23%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 00:54 |
| NordicBet | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -6.36%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.64%EV -5.74%E -3.54%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.50%EV -9.17%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 00:54 |
| Betsson | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -6.36%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.64%EV -5.74%E -3.54%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.50%EV -9.17%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 00:54 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.70%EV -6.36%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.25%EV -7.48%E -4.70%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -8.07%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 00:54 |
| BetUS | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.62%EV -6.36%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.62%EV -6.90%E -4.31%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.76%EV -11.36%E -2.80%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 00:54 |
| Fliff | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.60%EV -7.35%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.43%EV -9.23%E -5.91%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.96%EV -9.17%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-23 00:54 |
| BetMGM | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -8.35%E -1.81%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.08%EV -6.32%E -3.92%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.59%EV -5.23%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 00:50 |
| Bet Right | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -8.35%E -1.81%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.15%EV -8.06%E -5.10%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -8.07%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-23 00:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -10.34%E -2.30%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.43%EV -5.74%E -3.54%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -6.98%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 00:54 |
| Betway | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -10.34%E -2.30%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.43%EV -6.32%E -3.92%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -8.07%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 00:45 |
| Everygame | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -10.34%E -2.30%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.96%EV -6.90%E -4.31%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -12.45%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-23 00:54 |
| betfred_uk | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -10.34%E -2.30%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -8.64%E -5.51%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -12.45%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-23 00:54 |
| Paddy Power | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -10.34%E -2.30%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.68%EV -10.97%E -7.17%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -8.07%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-23 00:49 |
| Sky Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74%EV -10.34%E -2.30%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.06%EV -10.97%E -7.17%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.21%EV -12.45%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-23 00:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.05%EV -10.34%E -2.30%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 57.14%EV -12.72%E -8.48%K -25.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.81%EV -21.20%E -5.89%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-04-23 00:35 |
| 888sport | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.10%EV -12.33%E -2.80%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -8.64%E -5.51%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.58%EV -17.92%E -4.78%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-23 00:54 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.10%EV -12.33%E -2.80%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -8.64%E -5.51%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.58%EV -17.92%E -4.78%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-23 00:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.10%EV -12.33%E -2.80%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -8.64%E -5.51%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.58%EV -17.92%E -4.78%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-23 00:54 |
| Coral | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.66%EV -13.73%E -3.17%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.98%EV -8.64%E -5.51%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -12.45%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-23 00:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.66%EV -13.73%E -3.17%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.98%EV -8.64%E -5.51%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -12.45%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-23 00:50 |
| William Hill | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -13.73%E -3.17%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -6.90%E -4.31%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -16.83%E -4.43%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-23 00:49 |
| NetBet (FR) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 19.91%EV -14.33%E -3.33%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 57.85%EV -13.88%E -9.38%K -28.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.24%EV -15.73%E -4.09%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-04-23 00:54 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.64%EV -15.32%E -3.61%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 57.70%EV -11.55%E -7.60%K -22.22%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 21.66%EV -11.36%E -2.80%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-23 00:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -16.32%E -3.89%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.04%EV -6.90%E -4.31%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.23%EV -5.88%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-23 00:54 |
| BoyleSports | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.16%EV -16.32%E -3.89%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.62%EV -8.64%E -5.51%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -12.45%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-23 00:54 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.85%EV -16.32%E -3.89%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.25%EV -10.97%E -7.17%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.90%EV -12.45%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-04-23 00:54 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.03%EV -20.30%E -5.08%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.48%EV -9.23%E -5.91%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.49%EV -10.26%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-23 00:55 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.69% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.30% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-04-23 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.69% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.30% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-04-23 00:55 |
| Matchbook | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.69% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.30% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-04-23 00:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.01% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40% | 1.5% | 2026-04-23 00:55 |
| Kalshi | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.61% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.82% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.57% | 2.1% | 2026-04-23 00:50 |
| Smarkets | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.82% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.94% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.24% | 2.2% | 2026-04-23 00:54 |