La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Mazatlán FC v Toluca
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Mazatlán FC (Local)
Predicción 19.92%5.02momio equitativo
EV +15.56%
Ventaja +2.68%
Kelly +3.24%
Crecimiento +0.504%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.83%19.79%19.74%22.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.784.735.8025.00%20.91%21.12%17.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Toluca (Visitante)
Predicción 58.19%1.72momio equitativo
EV -3.99%
Ventaja -2.42%
Kelly -6.14%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.85%58.31%58.32%63.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.431.561.571.6569.93%64.13%63.69%60.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 21.89%4.57momio equitativo
EV -1.72%
Ventaja -0.384%
Kelly -0.494%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.49
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.86%21.90%21.93%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.164.204.4927.78%24.05%23.81%22.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV +15.56%E +2.68%K +3.24%G +0.504% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.31%EV -15.63%E -10.78%K -34.73%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -3.69%E -0.840%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 00:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.53%EV +7.59%E +1.41%K +1.73%G +0.131% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.70%EV -9.23%E -5.91%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.77%EV -4.79%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 00:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.53%EV +7.59%E +1.41%K +1.73%G +0.131% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.70%EV -9.23%E -5.91%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.77%EV -4.79%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 00:55 |
| Unibet | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.51%EV +5.60%E +1.06%K +1.30%G +0.073% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.65%EV -10.97%E -7.17%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -6.98%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 00:50 |
| Grosvenor | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.51%EV +5.60%E +1.06%K +1.30%G +0.073% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.65%EV -10.97%E -7.17%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -6.98%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 00:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.51%EV +5.60%E +1.06%K +1.30%G +0.073% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.65%EV -10.97%E -7.17%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -6.98%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 00:50 |
| Casumo | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.51%EV +5.60%E +1.06%K +1.30%G +0.073% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.65%EV -10.97%E -7.17%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -6.98%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 00:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.51%EV +5.60%E +1.06%K +1.30%G +0.073% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.65%EV -10.97%E -7.17%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -6.98%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 00:54 |
| betPARX | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.51%EV +5.60%E +1.06%K +1.30%G +0.073% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.65%EV -10.97%E -7.17%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -6.98%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 00:54 |
| TABtouch | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV +5.60%E +1.06%K +1.30%G +0.073% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.81%EV -12.14%E -8.04%K -23.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86%EV -8.07%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 00:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.32%EV +4.60%E +0.877%K +1.08%G +0.050% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.03%EV -13.30%E -8.93%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV -8.07%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-23 00:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.32%EV +4.60%E +0.877%K +1.08%G +0.050% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.03%EV -13.30%E -8.93%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV -8.07%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-23 00:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.30%EV +3.61%E +0.693%K +0.858%G +0.031% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.77%EV -13.88%E -9.38%K -28.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.94%EV -10.26%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-23 00:54 |
| BetOnline.ag | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.78%EV +2.61%E +0.507%K +0.629%G +0.016% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.69%EV -5.74%E -3.54%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 4.49I 22.27%NM 21.54%EV -1.72%E -0.384%K -0.494%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-23 00:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.78%EV +2.61%E +0.507%K +0.629%G +0.016% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.69%EV -5.74%E -3.54%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 4.49I 22.27%NM 21.54%EV -1.72%E -0.384%K -0.494%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-23 00:54 |
| 1xBet | 5.04I 19.84%NM 19.06%EV +0.418%E +0.083%K +0.103%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.95%EV -5.15%E -3.16%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 4.37I 22.88%NM 21.99%EV -4.35%E -0.996%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-23 00:54 |
| LeoVegas | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.40%EV -0.379%E -0.076%K -0.095%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 60.85%EV -16.79%E -11.74%K -39.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.75%EV -12.45%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-04-23 00:54 |
| PMU (FR) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.40%EV -0.379%E -0.076%K -0.095%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 60.85%EV -16.79%E -11.74%K -39.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.75%EV -12.45%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-04-23 00:55 |
| Pinnacle | 4.99I 20.04%NM 19.29%EV -0.578%E -0.116%K -0.145%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.33%EV -3.99%E -2.42%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -5.88%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-23 00:50 |
| FanDuel | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -2.37%E -0.484%K -0.608%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.78%EV -9.23%E -5.91%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -3.69%E -0.840%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 00:50 |
| Coolbet | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.48%EV -3.37%E -0.694%K -0.875%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.05%EV -6.90%E -4.31%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -3.69%E -0.840%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 00:50 |
| DraftKings | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -4.36%E -0.909%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.33%EV -5.74%E -3.54%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.98%EV -5.88%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 00:50 |
| Bovada | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -4.36%E -0.909%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.85%EV -10.39%E -6.75%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -3.69%E -0.840%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 00:50 |
| Fanatics | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -5.36%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.67%EV -7.48%E -4.70%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -5.88%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 00:44 |
| Bet Victor | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -5.36%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.21%EV -6.90%E -4.31%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -8.07%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 00:53 |
| SportsBet | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -5.36%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.06%EV -8.64%E -5.51%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -5.23%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 00:49 |
| PlayUp | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -5.36%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.90%EV -6.90%E -4.31%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -10.26%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 00:54 |
| GTbets | 4.72I 21.19%NM 19.62%EV -5.96%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.99%EV -8.64%E -5.51%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -5.23%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 00:54 |
| NordicBet | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -6.36%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.64%EV -5.74%E -3.54%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.50%EV -9.17%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 00:54 |
| Betsson | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -6.36%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.64%EV -5.74%E -3.54%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.50%EV -9.17%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 00:54 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.70%EV -6.36%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.25%EV -7.48%E -4.70%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -8.07%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 00:54 |
| BetUS | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.62%EV -6.36%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.62%EV -6.90%E -4.31%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.76%EV -11.36%E -2.80%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 00:54 |
| Fliff | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.60%EV -7.35%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.43%EV -9.23%E -5.91%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.96%EV -9.17%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-23 00:54 |
| BetMGM | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -8.35%E -1.81%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.08%EV -6.32%E -3.92%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.59%EV -5.23%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 00:50 |
| Bet Right | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -8.35%E -1.81%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.15%EV -8.06%E -5.10%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -8.07%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-23 00:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -10.34%E -2.30%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.43%EV -5.74%E -3.54%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -6.98%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 00:54 |
| Betway | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -10.34%E -2.30%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.43%EV -6.32%E -3.92%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -8.07%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 00:45 |
| Everygame | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -10.34%E -2.30%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.96%EV -6.90%E -4.31%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -12.45%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-23 00:54 |
| betfred_uk | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -10.34%E -2.30%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -8.64%E -5.51%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -12.45%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-23 00:54 |
| Paddy Power | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -10.34%E -2.30%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.68%EV -10.97%E -7.17%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -8.07%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-23 00:49 |
| Sky Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74%EV -10.34%E -2.30%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.06%EV -10.97%E -7.17%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.21%EV -12.45%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-23 00:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.05%EV -10.34%E -2.30%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 57.14%EV -12.72%E -8.48%K -25.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.81%EV -21.20%E -5.89%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-04-23 00:35 |
| 888sport | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.10%EV -12.33%E -2.80%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -8.64%E -5.51%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.58%EV -17.92%E -4.78%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-23 00:54 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.10%EV -12.33%E -2.80%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -8.64%E -5.51%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.58%EV -17.92%E -4.78%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-23 00:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.10%EV -12.33%E -2.80%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -8.64%E -5.51%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.58%EV -17.92%E -4.78%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-23 00:54 |
| Coral | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.66%EV -13.73%E -3.17%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.98%EV -8.64%E -5.51%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -12.45%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-23 00:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.66%EV -13.73%E -3.17%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.98%EV -8.64%E -5.51%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -12.45%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-23 00:50 |
| William Hill | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -13.73%E -3.17%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -6.90%E -4.31%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -16.83%E -4.43%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-23 00:49 |
| NetBet (FR) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 19.91%EV -14.33%E -3.33%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 57.85%EV -13.88%E -9.38%K -28.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.24%EV -15.73%E -4.09%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-04-23 00:54 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.64%EV -15.32%E -3.61%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 57.70%EV -11.55%E -7.60%K -22.22%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 21.66%EV -11.36%E -2.80%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-23 00:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -16.32%E -3.89%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.04%EV -6.90%E -4.31%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.23%EV -5.88%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-23 00:54 |
| BoyleSports | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.16%EV -16.32%E -3.89%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.62%EV -8.64%E -5.51%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -12.45%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-23 00:54 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.85%EV -16.32%E -3.89%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.25%EV -10.97%E -7.17%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.90%EV -12.45%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-04-23 00:54 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.03%EV -20.30%E -5.08%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.48%EV -9.23%E -5.91%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.49%EV -10.26%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-23 00:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.69% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.30% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-04-23 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.69% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.30% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-04-23 00:55 |
| Matchbook | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.69% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.30% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-04-23 00:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.01% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40% | 1.5% | 2026-04-23 00:55 |
| Kalshi | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.61% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.82% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.57% | 2.1% | 2026-04-23 00:50 |
| Smarkets | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.82% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.94% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.24% | 2.2% | 2026-04-23 00:54 |