Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.40
assuming max odds 2.21
assuming max odds 3.66
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mazatlán FC (Local): 30.19%; León (Visit): 43.09%; Draw: 26.72%. For Mazatlán FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.31. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.65%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.23%EV +2.65%E +0.779%K +1.10%G +0.029% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.65%EV -7.35%E -3.42%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.12%EV -5.43%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-07 00:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.57%EV -1.28%E -0.390%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.95%EV -5.19%E -2.36%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.49%EV -2.49%E -0.681%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-07 00:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.57%EV -1.28%E -0.390%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.95%EV -5.19%E -2.36%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.49%EV -2.49%E -0.681%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-07 01:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -1.88%E -0.579%K -0.836%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.27%EV -7.35%E -3.42%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -3.82%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 00:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.84%EV -2.18%E -0.674%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.75%EV -4.76%E -2.16%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.41%EV -2.22%E -0.606%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-07 00:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -3.39%E -1.06%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -7.35%E -3.42%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 00:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.11%EV -4.90%E -1.56%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.91%EV -6.92%E -3.20%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.98%EV -2.49%E -0.681%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-07 01:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.11%EV -4.90%E -1.56%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.91%EV -6.92%E -3.20%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.98%EV -2.49%E -0.681%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-07 01:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.96%EV -4.90%E -1.56%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.30%EV -6.06%E -2.78%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.74%EV -5.69%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 00:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.68%EV -5.81%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.08%EV -7.35%E -3.42%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 00:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.41%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.35%E -3.42%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 01:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.41%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.35%E -3.42%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 01:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.41%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.35%E -3.42%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 00:58 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -6.41%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.84%EV -8.64%E -4.08%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -5.16%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 01:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -6.41%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.84%EV -8.64%E -4.08%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -5.16%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 01:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -6.41%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.84%EV -8.64%E -4.08%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -5.16%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 01:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -6.41%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.84%EV -8.64%E -4.08%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -5.16%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 01:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -6.41%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.84%EV -8.64%E -4.08%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -5.16%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 01:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -6.41%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.84%EV -8.64%E -4.08%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -5.16%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 01:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -6.41%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.35%E -3.42%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-07 00:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -6.41%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.35%E -3.42%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-07 01:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -6.41%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.35%E -3.42%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-07 01:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -7.92%E -2.60%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -6.06%E -2.78%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -7.83%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 01:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -7.92%E -2.60%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -6.06%E -2.78%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -7.83%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 01:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -7.92%E -2.60%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -9.50%E -4.53%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -5.16%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 01:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -7.92%E -2.60%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.30%EV -8.64%E -4.08%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -7.83%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 00:52 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.90%EV -7.92%E -2.60%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.05%EV -10.80%E -5.22%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.05%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-07 01:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.90%EV -7.92%E -2.60%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.05%EV -10.80%E -5.22%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.05%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-07 01:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -9.43%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -5.19%E -2.36%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -3.82%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-07 01:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -9.43%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -5.19%E -2.36%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-07 01:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -9.43%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.35%E -3.42%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-07 01:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.43%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -9.50%E -4.53%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-07 00:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.43%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -9.50%E -4.53%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-07 00:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.43%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.91%EV -11.66%E -5.69%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -7.83%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-07 01:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -9.43%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.50%E -4.53%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-07 01:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -9.43%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -9.50%E -4.53%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -14.51%E -4.53%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-07 01:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.92%EV -10.94%E -3.71%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.13%EV -13.81%E -6.91%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.96%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-07 01:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -12.45%E -4.29%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -5.19%E -2.36%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -7.83%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 00:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -12.45%E -4.29%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -9.50%E -4.53%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-07 01:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -12.45%E -4.29%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -9.50%E -4.53%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-07 01:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -12.45%E -4.29%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -9.50%E -4.53%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-07 01:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -12.45%E -4.29%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -11.66%E -5.69%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-07 01:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.42%EV -12.45%E -4.29%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.01%EV -9.50%E -4.53%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -14.51%E -4.53%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-03-07 00:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.42%EV -12.45%E -4.29%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.01%EV -9.50%E -4.53%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -14.51%E -4.53%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-03-07 01:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.42%EV -12.45%E -4.29%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.01%EV -9.50%E -4.53%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -14.51%E -4.53%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-03-07 00:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.42%EV -12.45%E -4.29%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.01%EV -9.50%E -4.53%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -14.51%E -4.53%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-03-07 00:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -13.05%E -4.53%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -13.81%E -6.91%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -19.85%E -6.62%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-03-07 01:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.05%EV -13.96%E -4.90%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.14%EV -9.50%E -4.53%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.81%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-03-07 01:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.16%EV -13.96%E -4.90%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.98%EV -13.81%E -6.91%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.86%EV -14.51%E -4.53%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-03-07 00:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.11%EV -15.47%E -5.52%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.49%EV -11.66%E -5.69%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-03-07 01:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.38% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10% | 1.1% | 2026-03-07 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.38% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10% | 1.1% | 2026-03-07 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.38% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10% | 1.1% | 2026-03-07 01:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.84% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.81% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.35% | 1.6% | 2026-03-07 01:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.61% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.24% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.15% | 2.3% | 2026-03-07 01:00 |