La escuela de los momios

Mazatlán FC v León

Inicio: 2026-03-07 01:04 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Mazatlán FC (Local)

Predicción 30.19%3.31momio equitativo
EV +2.65%
Ventaja +0.779%
Kelly +1.10%
Crecimiento +0.029%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.23%30.23%30.14%31.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.043.053.4035.71%32.87%32.79%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

León (Visitante)

Predicción 43.09%2.32momio equitativo
EV -4.76%
Ventaja -2.16%
Kelly -3.94%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.21

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.73%43.05%43.16%44.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.122.122.2150.00%47.10%47.17%45.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.72%3.74momio equitativo
EV -2.22%
Ventaja -0.606%
Kelly -0.834%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.66

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.94%26.73%26.70%28.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.433.453.6633.33%29.12%28.99%27.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet3.40I 29.41%NM 28.23%EV +2.65%E +0.779%K +1.10%G +0.029%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.65%EV -7.35%E -3.42%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.12%EV -5.43%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 00:59
LowVig.ag3.27I 30.58%NM 29.57%EV -1.28%E -0.390%K -0.562%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.95%EV -5.19%E -2.36%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.49%EV -2.49%E -0.681%K -0.938%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-07 00:59
BetOnline.ag3.27I 30.58%NM 29.57%EV -1.28%E -0.390%K -0.562%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.95%EV -5.19%E -2.36%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.49%EV -2.49%E -0.681%K -0.938%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-07 01:00
Coolbet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -1.88%E -0.579%K -0.836%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.27%EV -7.35%E -3.42%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -3.82%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 00:59
Pinnacle3.24I 30.86%NM 29.84%EV -2.18%E -0.674%K -0.974%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.75%EV -4.76%E -2.16%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.41%EV -2.22%E -0.606%K -0.834%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-07 00:59
BetUS3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -3.39%E -1.06%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -7.35%E -3.42%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 00:59
Svenska Spel3.15I 31.75%NM 30.11%EV -4.90%E -1.56%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.91%EV -6.92%E -3.20%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.98%EV -2.49%E -0.681%K -0.938%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 01:00
ATG (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.11%EV -4.90%E -1.56%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.91%EV -6.92%E -3.20%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.98%EV -2.49%E -0.681%K -0.938%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 01:00
GTbets3.15I 31.75%NM 29.96%EV -4.90%E -1.56%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.30%EV -6.06%E -2.78%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.74%EV -5.69%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 00:59
Marathon Bet3.12I 32.05%NM 29.68%EV -5.81%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.08%EV -7.35%E -3.42%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 00:59
Unibet (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.41%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.35%E -3.42%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 01:00
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.41%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.35%E -3.42%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 01:00
Bet Victor3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.41%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.35%E -3.42%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 00:58
Unibet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -6.41%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.84%EV -8.64%E -4.08%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -5.16%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 01:00
Unibet (NL)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -6.41%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.84%EV -8.64%E -4.08%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -5.16%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 01:00
Casumo3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -6.41%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.84%EV -8.64%E -4.08%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -5.16%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 01:00
Unibet (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -6.41%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.84%EV -8.64%E -4.08%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -5.16%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 01:00
Grosvenor3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -6.41%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.84%EV -8.64%E -4.08%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -5.16%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 01:00
betPARX3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -6.41%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.84%EV -8.64%E -4.08%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -5.16%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 01:00
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -6.41%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.35%E -3.42%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 00:59
SportsBet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -6.41%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.35%E -3.42%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 01:00
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -6.41%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.35%E -3.42%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 01:00
Betsson3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -7.92%E -2.60%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -6.06%E -2.78%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -7.83%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 01:00
NordicBet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -7.92%E -2.60%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -6.06%E -2.78%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -7.83%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 01:00
TABtouch3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -7.92%E -2.60%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -9.50%E -4.53%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -5.16%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 01:00
Bovada3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -7.92%E -2.60%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.30%EV -8.64%E -4.08%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -7.83%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 00:52
LiveScore Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.90%EV -7.92%E -2.60%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.05%EV -10.80%E -5.22%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.05%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 01:00
LeoVegas (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.90%EV -7.92%E -2.60%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.05%EV -10.80%E -5.22%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.05%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 01:00
DraftKings3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -9.43%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -5.19%E -2.36%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -3.82%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 01:00
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -9.43%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -5.19%E -2.36%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 01:00
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -9.43%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.35%E -3.42%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 01:00
Everygame3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.43%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -9.50%E -4.53%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-07 00:59
Fliff3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.43%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -9.50%E -4.53%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-07 00:59
Virgin Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.43%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.91%EV -11.66%E -5.69%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -7.83%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-07 01:00
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -9.43%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.50%E -4.53%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-07 01:00
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -9.43%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -9.50%E -4.53%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -14.51%E -4.53%K -6.59%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-07 01:00
LeoVegas2.95I 33.90%NM 29.92%EV -10.94%E -3.71%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.13%EV -13.81%E -6.91%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.96%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-07 01:00
Bet Right2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -12.45%E -4.29%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -5.19%E -2.36%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -7.83%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 00:59
Winamax (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -12.45%E -4.29%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -9.50%E -4.53%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-07 01:00
Coral2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -12.45%E -4.29%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -9.50%E -4.53%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-07 01:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -12.45%E -4.29%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -9.50%E -4.53%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-07 01:00
BoyleSports2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -12.45%E -4.29%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -11.66%E -5.69%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-07 01:00
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 30.42%EV -12.45%E -4.29%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.01%EV -9.50%E -4.53%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -14.51%E -4.53%K -6.59%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-07 00:59
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 30.42%EV -12.45%E -4.29%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.01%EV -9.50%E -4.53%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -14.51%E -4.53%K -6.59%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-07 01:00
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.42%EV -12.45%E -4.29%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.01%EV -9.50%E -4.53%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -14.51%E -4.53%K -6.59%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-07 00:59
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.42%EV -12.45%E -4.29%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.01%EV -9.50%E -4.53%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -14.51%E -4.53%K -6.59%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-07 00:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -13.05%E -4.53%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -13.81%E -6.91%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -19.85%E -6.62%K -9.93%G +0.000%18.1%2026-03-07 01:00
Betclic (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.05%EV -13.96%E -4.90%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.14%EV -9.50%E -4.53%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.81%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-07 01:00
NetBet (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.16%EV -13.96%E -4.90%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.98%EV -13.81%E -6.91%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.86%EV -14.51%E -4.53%K -6.59%G +0.000%16.3%2026-03-07 00:59
Winamax (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.11%EV -15.47%E -5.52%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.49%EV -11.66%E -5.69%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-07 01:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.38%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10%1.1%2026-03-07 01:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.38%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10%1.1%2026-03-07 01:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.38%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10%1.1%2026-03-07 01:00
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 29.84%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.81%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.35%1.6%2026-03-07 01:00
Smarkets3.30I 30.30%NM 29.61%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.24%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.15%2.3%2026-03-07 01:00