La scuola delle quote

Mazatlán FC v Cruz Azul

Inizio: 2026-03-21 03:06 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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50 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Mazatlán FC (Casa)

Previsione 19.70%5.08quota equa
EV +4.43%
Vantaggio +0.835%
Kelly +1.03%
Crescita +0.046%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.72%19.62%19.79%21.23%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.204.804.805.3023.81%20.83%20.83%18.87%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Cruz Azul (Trasferta)

Previsione 58.71%1.70quota equa
EV -3.14%
Vantaggio -1.90%
Kelly -4.82%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.65

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
55.85%58.70%58.63%60.19%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.471.561.561.6568.03%64.07%64.10%60.61%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 21.59%4.63quota equa
EV -1.54%
Vantaggio -0.338%
Kelly -0.434%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.56

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.96%21.68%21.58%24.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.504.174.134.5628.57%23.98%24.24%21.93%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (50 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
ATG (SE)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.78%EV +4.43%E +0.835%K +1.03%G +0.046%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.04%EV -7.83%E -4.99%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.18%EV -8.24%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 03:05
Svenska Spel5.30I 18.87%NM 17.78%EV +4.43%E +0.835%K +1.03%G +0.046%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.04%EV -7.83%E -4.99%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.18%EV -8.24%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 03:05
Unibet5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV +2.46%E +0.472%K +0.585%G +0.014%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.51%EV -8.42%E -5.40%K -15.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -11.48%E -2.80%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 02:35
Unibet (NL)5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV +2.46%E +0.472%K +0.585%G +0.014%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.51%EV -8.42%E -5.40%K -15.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -11.48%E -2.80%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 02:25
Grosvenor5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV +2.46%E +0.472%K +0.585%G +0.014%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.51%EV -8.42%E -5.40%K -15.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -11.48%E -2.80%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 02:25
Casumo5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV +2.46%E +0.472%K +0.585%G +0.014%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.51%EV -8.42%E -5.40%K -15.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -11.48%E -2.80%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 02:25
Unibet (SE)5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV +2.46%E +0.472%K +0.585%G +0.014%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.51%EV -8.42%E -5.40%K -15.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -11.48%E -2.80%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 02:35
betPARX5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV +2.46%E +0.472%K +0.585%G +0.014%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.51%EV -8.42%E -5.40%K -15.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -11.48%E -2.80%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 02:25
BetRivers5.20I 19.23%NM 17.78%EV +2.46%E +0.472%K +0.585%G +0.014%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.66%EV -9.01%E -5.81%K -16.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -11.48%E -2.80%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 02:35
TABtouch5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV +2.46%E +0.472%K +0.585%G +0.014%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.82%EV -9.59%E -6.23%K -17.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -11.48%E -2.80%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 03:04
LiveScore Bet5.10I 19.61%NM 17.86%EV +0.486%E +0.095%K +0.118%G +0.001%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.92%EV -10.77%E -7.08%K -20.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -11.48%E -2.80%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-21 03:05
LeoVegas (SE)5.10I 19.61%NM 17.79%EV +0.486%E +0.095%K +0.118%G +0.001%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.08%EV -11.35%E -7.52%K -22.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -11.48%E -2.80%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-21 03:05
1xBet5.08I 19.69%NM 18.90%EV +0.092%E +0.018%K +0.022%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.27%EV -4.90%E -3.02%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.82%EV -5.00%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 03:05
FanDuel5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -1.48%E -0.297%K -0.371%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -7.83%E -4.99%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -5.00%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 03:04
Bet Victor5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -1.48%E -0.297%K -0.371%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -7.83%E -4.99%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -6.51%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 03:05
PlayUp5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -1.48%E -0.297%K -0.371%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.71%EV -9.01%E -5.81%K -16.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -8.24%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 03:05
Virgin Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -1.48%E -0.297%K -0.371%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -11.94%E -7.96%K -23.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.63%E -3.41%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-21 03:05
Betsson4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -2.47%E -0.499%K -0.625%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.19%EV -9.01%E -5.81%K -16.38%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.96%EV -3.92%E -0.881%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 03:04
NordicBet4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -2.47%E -0.499%K -0.625%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.19%EV -9.01%E -5.81%K -16.38%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.96%EV -3.92%E -0.881%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 03:05
Bet Right4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -3.45%E -0.705%K -0.886%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.86%EV -8.42%E -5.40%K -15.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -11.48%E -2.80%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 03:04
LeoVegas4.90I 20.41%NM 17.89%EV -3.45%E -0.705%K -0.886%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 59.63%EV -13.70%E -9.32%K -29.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.48%EV -15.79%E -4.05%K -5.45%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-21 03:05
GTbets4.86I 20.58%NM 19.38%EV -4.24%E -0.873%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -5.48%E -3.41%K -8.99%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.11%EV -8.02%E -1.88%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 03:05
Marathon Bet4.85I 20.62%NM 19.10%EV -4.44%E -0.915%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.37%EV -8.42%E -5.40%K -15.03%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.54%EV -7.16%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 03:05
Pinnacle4.82I 20.75%NM 20.01%EV -5.03%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.46%EV -3.14%E -1.90%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.48I 22.32%NM 21.53%EV -3.27%E -0.730%K -0.940%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-21 03:05
LowVig.ag4.80I 20.83%NM 20.15%EV -5.43%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.63%EV -3.14%E -1.90%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 21.22%EV -1.54%E -0.338%K -0.434%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-21 03:05
BetOnline.ag4.80I 20.83%NM 20.15%EV -5.43%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.63%EV -3.14%E -1.90%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 21.22%EV -1.54%E -0.338%K -0.434%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-21 03:04
DraftKings4.80I 20.83%NM 19.81%EV -5.43%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.06%EV -5.48%E -3.41%K -8.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -2.84%E -0.631%K -0.811%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 03:04
Coolbet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.78%EV -5.43%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.89%EV -3.72%E -2.27%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34%EV -8.24%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 02:25
BetUS4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -5.43%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.08%EV -6.66%E -4.19%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -5.00%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 03:05
BetMGM4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -6.41%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.45%EV -5.48%E -3.41%K -8.99%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.73%EV -6.51%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 03:05
Fanatics4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -6.41%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.67%EV -6.66%E -4.19%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -7.16%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 03:05
Betway4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -6.41%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.06%EV -7.83%E -4.99%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -6.51%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 03:04
SportsBet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -6.41%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.06%EV -7.83%E -4.99%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -6.51%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 03:04
Fliff4.75I 21.05%NM 19.27%EV -6.41%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.67%EV -8.42%E -5.40%K -15.03%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.06%EV -10.40%E -2.51%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 03:04
Paddy Power4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -6.41%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.30%EV -10.18%E -6.65%K -19.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -9.32%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-21 03:05
Bovada4.55I 21.98%NM 20.30%EV -10.35%E -2.27%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.72%EV -6.07%E -3.79%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -9.32%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 02:53
Everygame4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -11.34%E -2.52%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.74%EV -7.83%E -4.99%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -11.48%E -2.80%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-21 02:09
Sky Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74%EV -11.34%E -2.52%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.06%EV -10.18%E -6.65%K -19.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.21%EV -13.63%E -3.41%K -4.54%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-21 03:05
Winamax (DE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.65%EV -13.31%E -3.02%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.23%EV -8.42%E -5.40%K -15.03%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -7.16%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-21 02:10
Ladbrokes (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.25%EV -13.31%E -3.02%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.48%EV -9.01%E -5.81%K -16.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.27%EV -13.63%E -3.41%K -4.54%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-21 03:05
Coral4.40I 22.73%NM 20.25%EV -13.31%E -3.02%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.48%EV -9.01%E -5.81%K -16.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.27%EV -13.63%E -3.41%K -4.54%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-21 03:05
William Hill4.40I 22.73%NM 20.13%EV -13.31%E -3.02%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.15%EV -9.01%E -5.81%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.71%EV -15.79%E -4.05%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-21 03:05
888sport4.40I 22.73%NM 19.98%EV -13.31%E -3.02%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.47%EV -10.18%E -6.65%K -19.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.55%EV -15.79%E -4.05%K -5.45%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-21 03:05
888sport (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 19.98%EV -13.31%E -3.02%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.47%EV -10.18%E -6.65%K -19.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.55%EV -15.79%E -4.05%K -5.45%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-21 03:05
Mr Green (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 19.98%EV -13.31%E -3.02%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.47%EV -10.18%E -6.65%K -19.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.55%EV -15.79%E -4.05%K -5.45%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-21 03:05
Betclic (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 19.97%EV -13.31%E -3.02%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 57.79%EV -10.77%E -7.08%K -20.71%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.24%EV -14.71%E -3.73%K -4.99%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-21 02:39
NetBet (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 19.53%EV -13.31%E -3.02%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 58.44%EV -13.70%E -9.32%K -29.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.03%EV -15.79%E -4.05%K -5.45%G +0.000%16.4%2026-03-21 03:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.33I 23.09%NM 19.73%EV -14.69%E -3.39%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 55.85%EV -10.18%E -6.65%K -19.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.41%EV -24.43%E -6.98%K -9.77%G +0.000%17.0%2026-03-21 03:05
BoyleSports4.20I 23.81%NM 21.23%EV -17.25%E -4.11%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.53%EV -9.01%E -5.81%K -16.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.23%EV -9.32%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-20 22:55
Winamax (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 20.78%EV -17.25%E -4.11%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 57.41%EV -10.77%E -7.08%K -20.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.82%EV -13.63%E -3.41%K -4.54%G +0.000%14.6%2026-03-21 02:10
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook5.30I 18.87%NM 18.69%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.30%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-03-21 03:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.62%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.45%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.93%1.3%2026-03-21 03:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.62%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.45%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.93%1.3%2026-03-21 03:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.62%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.45%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.93%1.3%2026-03-21 03:05
Kalshi5.00I 20.00%NM 19.64%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.79%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.58%1.9%2026-03-21 03:05
Smarkets5.10I 19.61%NM 19.12%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.73%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.16%2.6%2026-03-21 03:05