L’École des cotes

Mazatlán FC v Cruz Azul

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-21 03:06 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Mazatlán FC (Local)

Prévision 19.70%5.08cote équitable
EV +4.43%
Avantage +0.835%
Kelly +1.03%
Croissance +0.046%

avec la cote maximale 5.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.72%19.62%19.79%21.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.204.804.805.3023.81%20.83%20.83%18.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cruz Azul (Visiteur)

Prévision 58.71%1.70cote équitable
EV -3.14%
Avantage -1.90%
Kelly -4.82%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.85%58.70%58.63%60.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.471.561.561.6568.03%64.07%64.10%60.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 21.59%4.63cote équitable
EV -1.54%
Avantage -0.338%
Kelly -0.434%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.96%21.68%21.58%24.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.504.174.134.5628.57%23.98%24.24%21.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.78%EV +4.43%E +0.835%K +1.03%G +0.046%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.04%EV -7.83%E -4.99%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.18%EV -8.24%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 03:05
Svenska Spel5.30I 18.87%NM 17.78%EV +4.43%E +0.835%K +1.03%G +0.046%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.04%EV -7.83%E -4.99%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.18%EV -8.24%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 03:05
Unibet5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV +2.46%E +0.472%K +0.585%G +0.014%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.51%EV -8.42%E -5.40%K -15.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -11.48%E -2.80%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 02:35
Unibet (NL)5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV +2.46%E +0.472%K +0.585%G +0.014%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.51%EV -8.42%E -5.40%K -15.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -11.48%E -2.80%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 02:25
Grosvenor5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV +2.46%E +0.472%K +0.585%G +0.014%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.51%EV -8.42%E -5.40%K -15.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -11.48%E -2.80%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 02:25
Casumo5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV +2.46%E +0.472%K +0.585%G +0.014%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.51%EV -8.42%E -5.40%K -15.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -11.48%E -2.80%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 02:25
Unibet (SE)5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV +2.46%E +0.472%K +0.585%G +0.014%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.51%EV -8.42%E -5.40%K -15.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -11.48%E -2.80%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 02:35
betPARX5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV +2.46%E +0.472%K +0.585%G +0.014%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.51%EV -8.42%E -5.40%K -15.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -11.48%E -2.80%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 02:25
BetRivers5.20I 19.23%NM 17.78%EV +2.46%E +0.472%K +0.585%G +0.014%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.66%EV -9.01%E -5.81%K -16.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -11.48%E -2.80%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 02:35
TABtouch5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV +2.46%E +0.472%K +0.585%G +0.014%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.82%EV -9.59%E -6.23%K -17.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -11.48%E -2.80%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 03:04
LiveScore Bet5.10I 19.61%NM 17.86%EV +0.486%E +0.095%K +0.118%G +0.001%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.92%EV -10.77%E -7.08%K -20.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -11.48%E -2.80%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-21 03:05
LeoVegas (SE)5.10I 19.61%NM 17.79%EV +0.486%E +0.095%K +0.118%G +0.001%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.08%EV -11.35%E -7.52%K -22.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -11.48%E -2.80%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-21 03:05
1xBet5.08I 19.69%NM 18.90%EV +0.092%E +0.018%K +0.022%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.27%EV -4.90%E -3.02%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.82%EV -5.00%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 03:05
FanDuel5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -1.48%E -0.297%K -0.371%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -7.83%E -4.99%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -5.00%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 03:04
Bet Victor5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -1.48%E -0.297%K -0.371%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -7.83%E -4.99%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -6.51%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 03:05
PlayUp5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -1.48%E -0.297%K -0.371%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.71%EV -9.01%E -5.81%K -16.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -8.24%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 03:05
Virgin Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -1.48%E -0.297%K -0.371%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -11.94%E -7.96%K -23.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.63%E -3.41%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-21 03:05
Betsson4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -2.47%E -0.499%K -0.625%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.19%EV -9.01%E -5.81%K -16.38%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.96%EV -3.92%E -0.881%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 03:04
NordicBet4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -2.47%E -0.499%K -0.625%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.19%EV -9.01%E -5.81%K -16.38%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.96%EV -3.92%E -0.881%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 03:05
Bet Right4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -3.45%E -0.705%K -0.886%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.86%EV -8.42%E -5.40%K -15.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -11.48%E -2.80%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 03:04
LeoVegas4.90I 20.41%NM 17.89%EV -3.45%E -0.705%K -0.886%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 59.63%EV -13.70%E -9.32%K -29.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.48%EV -15.79%E -4.05%K -5.45%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-21 03:05
GTbets4.86I 20.58%NM 19.38%EV -4.24%E -0.873%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -5.48%E -3.41%K -8.99%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.11%EV -8.02%E -1.88%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 03:05
Marathon Bet4.85I 20.62%NM 19.10%EV -4.44%E -0.915%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.37%EV -8.42%E -5.40%K -15.03%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.54%EV -7.16%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 03:05
Pinnacle4.82I 20.75%NM 20.01%EV -5.03%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.46%EV -3.14%E -1.90%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.48I 22.32%NM 21.53%EV -3.27%E -0.730%K -0.940%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-21 03:05
LowVig.ag4.80I 20.83%NM 20.15%EV -5.43%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.63%EV -3.14%E -1.90%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 21.22%EV -1.54%E -0.338%K -0.434%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-21 03:05
BetOnline.ag4.80I 20.83%NM 20.15%EV -5.43%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.63%EV -3.14%E -1.90%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 21.22%EV -1.54%E -0.338%K -0.434%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-21 03:04
DraftKings4.80I 20.83%NM 19.81%EV -5.43%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.06%EV -5.48%E -3.41%K -8.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -2.84%E -0.631%K -0.811%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 03:04
Coolbet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.78%EV -5.43%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.89%EV -3.72%E -2.27%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34%EV -8.24%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 02:25
BetUS4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -5.43%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.08%EV -6.66%E -4.19%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -5.00%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 03:05
BetMGM4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -6.41%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.45%EV -5.48%E -3.41%K -8.99%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.73%EV -6.51%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 03:05
Fanatics4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -6.41%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.67%EV -6.66%E -4.19%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -7.16%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 03:05
Betway4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -6.41%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.06%EV -7.83%E -4.99%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -6.51%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 03:04
SportsBet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -6.41%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.06%EV -7.83%E -4.99%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -6.51%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 03:04
Fliff4.75I 21.05%NM 19.27%EV -6.41%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.67%EV -8.42%E -5.40%K -15.03%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.06%EV -10.40%E -2.51%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 03:04
Paddy Power4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -6.41%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.30%EV -10.18%E -6.65%K -19.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -9.32%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-21 03:05
Bovada4.55I 21.98%NM 20.30%EV -10.35%E -2.27%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.72%EV -6.07%E -3.79%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -9.32%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 02:53
Everygame4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -11.34%E -2.52%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.74%EV -7.83%E -4.99%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -11.48%E -2.80%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-21 02:09
Sky Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74%EV -11.34%E -2.52%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.06%EV -10.18%E -6.65%K -19.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.21%EV -13.63%E -3.41%K -4.54%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-21 03:05
Winamax (DE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.65%EV -13.31%E -3.02%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.23%EV -8.42%E -5.40%K -15.03%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -7.16%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-21 02:10
Ladbrokes (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.25%EV -13.31%E -3.02%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.48%EV -9.01%E -5.81%K -16.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.27%EV -13.63%E -3.41%K -4.54%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-21 03:05
Coral4.40I 22.73%NM 20.25%EV -13.31%E -3.02%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.48%EV -9.01%E -5.81%K -16.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.27%EV -13.63%E -3.41%K -4.54%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-21 03:05
William Hill4.40I 22.73%NM 20.13%EV -13.31%E -3.02%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.15%EV -9.01%E -5.81%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.71%EV -15.79%E -4.05%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-21 03:05
888sport4.40I 22.73%NM 19.98%EV -13.31%E -3.02%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.47%EV -10.18%E -6.65%K -19.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.55%EV -15.79%E -4.05%K -5.45%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-21 03:05
888sport (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 19.98%EV -13.31%E -3.02%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.47%EV -10.18%E -6.65%K -19.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.55%EV -15.79%E -4.05%K -5.45%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-21 03:05
Mr Green (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 19.98%EV -13.31%E -3.02%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.47%EV -10.18%E -6.65%K -19.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.55%EV -15.79%E -4.05%K -5.45%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-21 03:05
Betclic (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 19.97%EV -13.31%E -3.02%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 57.79%EV -10.77%E -7.08%K -20.71%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.24%EV -14.71%E -3.73%K -4.99%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-21 02:39
NetBet (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 19.53%EV -13.31%E -3.02%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 58.44%EV -13.70%E -9.32%K -29.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.03%EV -15.79%E -4.05%K -5.45%G +0.000%16.4%2026-03-21 03:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.33I 23.09%NM 19.73%EV -14.69%E -3.39%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 55.85%EV -10.18%E -6.65%K -19.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.41%EV -24.43%E -6.98%K -9.77%G +0.000%17.0%2026-03-21 03:05
BoyleSports4.20I 23.81%NM 21.23%EV -17.25%E -4.11%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.53%EV -9.01%E -5.81%K -16.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.23%EV -9.32%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-20 22:55
Winamax (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 20.78%EV -17.25%E -4.11%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 57.41%EV -10.77%E -7.08%K -20.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.82%EV -13.63%E -3.41%K -4.54%G +0.000%14.6%2026-03-21 02:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook5.30I 18.87%NM 18.69%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.30%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-03-21 03:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.62%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.45%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.93%1.3%2026-03-21 03:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.62%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.45%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.93%1.3%2026-03-21 03:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.62%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.45%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.93%1.3%2026-03-21 03:05
Kalshi5.00I 20.00%NM 19.64%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.79%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.58%1.9%2026-03-21 03:05
Smarkets5.10I 19.61%NM 19.12%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.73%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.16%2.6%2026-03-21 03:05