La escuela de los momios

Mazatlán FC v Cruz Azul

Inicio: 2026-03-21 03:06 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Mazatlán FC (Local)

Predicción 19.70%5.08momio equitativo
EV +4.43%
Ventaja +0.835%
Kelly +1.03%
Crecimiento +0.046%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.72%19.62%19.79%21.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.204.804.805.3023.81%20.83%20.83%18.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Cruz Azul (Visitante)

Predicción 58.71%1.70momio equitativo
EV -3.14%
Ventaja -1.90%
Kelly -4.82%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.85%58.70%58.63%60.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.471.561.561.6568.03%64.07%64.10%60.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 21.59%4.63momio equitativo
EV -1.54%
Ventaja -0.338%
Kelly -0.434%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.56

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.96%21.68%21.58%24.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.504.174.134.5628.57%23.98%24.24%21.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
ATG (SE)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.78%EV +4.43%E +0.835%K +1.03%G +0.046%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.04%EV -7.83%E -4.99%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.18%EV -8.24%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 03:05
Svenska Spel5.30I 18.87%NM 17.78%EV +4.43%E +0.835%K +1.03%G +0.046%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.04%EV -7.83%E -4.99%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.18%EV -8.24%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 03:05
Unibet5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV +2.46%E +0.472%K +0.585%G +0.014%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.51%EV -8.42%E -5.40%K -15.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -11.48%E -2.80%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 02:35
Unibet (NL)5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV +2.46%E +0.472%K +0.585%G +0.014%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.51%EV -8.42%E -5.40%K -15.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -11.48%E -2.80%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 02:25
Grosvenor5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV +2.46%E +0.472%K +0.585%G +0.014%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.51%EV -8.42%E -5.40%K -15.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -11.48%E -2.80%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 02:25
Casumo5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV +2.46%E +0.472%K +0.585%G +0.014%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.51%EV -8.42%E -5.40%K -15.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -11.48%E -2.80%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 02:25
Unibet (SE)5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV +2.46%E +0.472%K +0.585%G +0.014%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.51%EV -8.42%E -5.40%K -15.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -11.48%E -2.80%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 02:35
betPARX5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV +2.46%E +0.472%K +0.585%G +0.014%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.51%EV -8.42%E -5.40%K -15.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -11.48%E -2.80%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 02:25
BetRivers5.20I 19.23%NM 17.78%EV +2.46%E +0.472%K +0.585%G +0.014%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.66%EV -9.01%E -5.81%K -16.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -11.48%E -2.80%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 02:35
TABtouch5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV +2.46%E +0.472%K +0.585%G +0.014%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.82%EV -9.59%E -6.23%K -17.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -11.48%E -2.80%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 03:04
LiveScore Bet5.10I 19.61%NM 17.86%EV +0.486%E +0.095%K +0.118%G +0.001%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.92%EV -10.77%E -7.08%K -20.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -11.48%E -2.80%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-21 03:05
LeoVegas (SE)5.10I 19.61%NM 17.79%EV +0.486%E +0.095%K +0.118%G +0.001%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.08%EV -11.35%E -7.52%K -22.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -11.48%E -2.80%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-21 03:05
1xBet5.08I 19.69%NM 18.90%EV +0.092%E +0.018%K +0.022%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.27%EV -4.90%E -3.02%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.82%EV -5.00%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 03:05
FanDuel5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -1.48%E -0.297%K -0.371%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -7.83%E -4.99%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -5.00%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 03:04
Bet Victor5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -1.48%E -0.297%K -0.371%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -7.83%E -4.99%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -6.51%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 03:05
PlayUp5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -1.48%E -0.297%K -0.371%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.71%EV -9.01%E -5.81%K -16.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -8.24%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 03:05
Virgin Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -1.48%E -0.297%K -0.371%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -11.94%E -7.96%K -23.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.63%E -3.41%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-21 03:05
Betsson4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -2.47%E -0.499%K -0.625%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.19%EV -9.01%E -5.81%K -16.38%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.96%EV -3.92%E -0.881%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 03:04
NordicBet4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -2.47%E -0.499%K -0.625%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.19%EV -9.01%E -5.81%K -16.38%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.96%EV -3.92%E -0.881%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 03:05
Bet Right4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -3.45%E -0.705%K -0.886%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.86%EV -8.42%E -5.40%K -15.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -11.48%E -2.80%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 03:04
LeoVegas4.90I 20.41%NM 17.89%EV -3.45%E -0.705%K -0.886%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 59.63%EV -13.70%E -9.32%K -29.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.48%EV -15.79%E -4.05%K -5.45%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-21 03:05
GTbets4.86I 20.58%NM 19.38%EV -4.24%E -0.873%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -5.48%E -3.41%K -8.99%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.11%EV -8.02%E -1.88%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 03:05
Marathon Bet4.85I 20.62%NM 19.10%EV -4.44%E -0.915%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.37%EV -8.42%E -5.40%K -15.03%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.54%EV -7.16%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 03:05
Pinnacle4.82I 20.75%NM 20.01%EV -5.03%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.46%EV -3.14%E -1.90%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.48I 22.32%NM 21.53%EV -3.27%E -0.730%K -0.940%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-21 03:05
LowVig.ag4.80I 20.83%NM 20.15%EV -5.43%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.63%EV -3.14%E -1.90%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 21.22%EV -1.54%E -0.338%K -0.434%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-21 03:05
BetOnline.ag4.80I 20.83%NM 20.15%EV -5.43%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.63%EV -3.14%E -1.90%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 21.22%EV -1.54%E -0.338%K -0.434%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-21 03:04
DraftKings4.80I 20.83%NM 19.81%EV -5.43%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.06%EV -5.48%E -3.41%K -8.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -2.84%E -0.631%K -0.811%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 03:04
Coolbet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.78%EV -5.43%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.89%EV -3.72%E -2.27%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34%EV -8.24%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 02:25
BetUS4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -5.43%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.08%EV -6.66%E -4.19%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -5.00%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 03:05
BetMGM4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -6.41%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.45%EV -5.48%E -3.41%K -8.99%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.73%EV -6.51%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 03:05
Fanatics4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -6.41%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.67%EV -6.66%E -4.19%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -7.16%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 03:05
Betway4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -6.41%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.06%EV -7.83%E -4.99%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -6.51%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 03:04
SportsBet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -6.41%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.06%EV -7.83%E -4.99%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -6.51%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 03:04
Fliff4.75I 21.05%NM 19.27%EV -6.41%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.67%EV -8.42%E -5.40%K -15.03%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.06%EV -10.40%E -2.51%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 03:04
Paddy Power4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -6.41%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.30%EV -10.18%E -6.65%K -19.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -9.32%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-21 03:05
Bovada4.55I 21.98%NM 20.30%EV -10.35%E -2.27%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.72%EV -6.07%E -3.79%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -9.32%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 02:53
Everygame4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -11.34%E -2.52%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.74%EV -7.83%E -4.99%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -11.48%E -2.80%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-21 02:09
Sky Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74%EV -11.34%E -2.52%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.06%EV -10.18%E -6.65%K -19.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.21%EV -13.63%E -3.41%K -4.54%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-21 03:05
Winamax (DE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.65%EV -13.31%E -3.02%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.23%EV -8.42%E -5.40%K -15.03%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -7.16%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-21 02:10
Ladbrokes (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.25%EV -13.31%E -3.02%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.48%EV -9.01%E -5.81%K -16.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.27%EV -13.63%E -3.41%K -4.54%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-21 03:05
Coral4.40I 22.73%NM 20.25%EV -13.31%E -3.02%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.48%EV -9.01%E -5.81%K -16.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.27%EV -13.63%E -3.41%K -4.54%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-21 03:05
William Hill4.40I 22.73%NM 20.13%EV -13.31%E -3.02%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.15%EV -9.01%E -5.81%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.71%EV -15.79%E -4.05%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-21 03:05
888sport4.40I 22.73%NM 19.98%EV -13.31%E -3.02%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.47%EV -10.18%E -6.65%K -19.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.55%EV -15.79%E -4.05%K -5.45%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-21 03:05
888sport (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 19.98%EV -13.31%E -3.02%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.47%EV -10.18%E -6.65%K -19.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.55%EV -15.79%E -4.05%K -5.45%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-21 03:05
Mr Green (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 19.98%EV -13.31%E -3.02%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.47%EV -10.18%E -6.65%K -19.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.55%EV -15.79%E -4.05%K -5.45%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-21 03:05
Betclic (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 19.97%EV -13.31%E -3.02%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 57.79%EV -10.77%E -7.08%K -20.71%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.24%EV -14.71%E -3.73%K -4.99%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-21 02:39
NetBet (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 19.53%EV -13.31%E -3.02%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 58.44%EV -13.70%E -9.32%K -29.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.03%EV -15.79%E -4.05%K -5.45%G +0.000%16.4%2026-03-21 03:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.33I 23.09%NM 19.73%EV -14.69%E -3.39%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 55.85%EV -10.18%E -6.65%K -19.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.41%EV -24.43%E -6.98%K -9.77%G +0.000%17.0%2026-03-21 03:05
BoyleSports4.20I 23.81%NM 21.23%EV -17.25%E -4.11%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.53%EV -9.01%E -5.81%K -16.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.23%EV -9.32%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-20 22:55
Winamax (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 20.78%EV -17.25%E -4.11%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 57.41%EV -10.77%E -7.08%K -20.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.82%EV -13.63%E -3.41%K -4.54%G +0.000%14.6%2026-03-21 02:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook5.30I 18.87%NM 18.69%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.30%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-03-21 03:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.62%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.45%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.93%1.3%2026-03-21 03:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.62%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.45%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.93%1.3%2026-03-21 03:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.62%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.45%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.93%1.3%2026-03-21 03:05
Kalshi5.00I 20.00%NM 19.64%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.79%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.58%1.9%2026-03-21 03:05
Smarkets5.10I 19.61%NM 19.12%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.73%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.16%2.6%2026-03-21 03:05