La scuola delle quote

León v Atlas

Inizio: 2026-04-05 01:06 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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52 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

León (Casa)

Previsione 43.53%2.30quota equa
EV +0.122%
Vantaggio +0.053%
Kelly +0.094%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.15%43.27%43.62%45.92%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.952.142.152.3051.28%46.70%46.51%43.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Atlas (Trasferta)

Previsione 28.90%3.46quota equa
EV +3.75%
Vantaggio +1.04%
Kelly +1.45%
Crescita +0.054%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.59

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.73%29.15%28.83%31.34%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.113.103.5935.71%32.15%32.26%27.86%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 27.57%3.63quota equa
EV -2.68%
Vantaggio -0.759%
Kelly -1.06%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.53

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.87%27.57%27.55%28.83%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.283.273.5334.72%30.48%30.53%28.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (52 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet2.09I 47.85%NM 45.92%EV -9.02%E -4.32%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.73%EV +3.75%E +1.04%K +1.45%G +0.054%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.34%EV -3.23%E -0.920%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-05 00:59
Pinnacle2.17I 46.08%NM 44.61%EV -5.54%E -2.55%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.89%EV +0.278%E +0.080%K +0.113%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.50%EV -2.95%E -0.839%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-05 00:59
LowVig.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.94%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.68%EV -2.61%E -0.775%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.38%EV -2.68%E -0.759%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-05 00:59
BetOnline.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.94%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.68%EV -2.61%E -0.775%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.38%EV -2.68%E -0.759%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-05 01:00
Coolbet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.62%EV -5.10%E -2.34%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -4.63%E -1.40%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.56%EV -4.88%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 00:58
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -8.58%E -4.09%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.63%E -1.40%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 01:05
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -8.58%E -4.09%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.63%E -1.40%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 01:03
Marathon Bet2.11I 47.39%NM 43.96%EV -8.15%E -3.86%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.11%EV -4.63%E -1.40%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.94%EV -8.47%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 01:04
Bovada2.08I 48.08%NM 44.42%EV -9.45%E -4.55%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -4.63%E -1.40%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-05 00:58
BetUS2.08I 48.08%NM 44.42%EV -9.45%E -4.55%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -4.63%E -1.40%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-05 00:59
GTbets2.14I 46.73%NM 44.00%EV -6.84%E -3.20%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.71%EV -5.21%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -4.88%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 00:59
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 44.22%EV -10.76%E -5.25%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -6.08%E -1.87%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-05 00:59
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -6.41%E -2.98%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.52%E -2.35%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 01:04
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.58%E -4.09%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.52%E -2.35%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-05 01:04
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -12.94%E -6.47%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -7.52%E -2.35%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-05 00:59
Svenska Spel2.30I 43.48%NM 41.38%EV +0.122%E +0.053%K +0.094%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -8.97%E -2.85%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.41%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 01:05
ATG (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.38%EV +0.122%E +0.053%K +0.094%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -8.97%E -2.85%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.41%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 01:04
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 43.02%EV -6.41%E -2.98%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -8.97%E -2.85%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 01:00
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 43.37%EV -7.71%E -3.64%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -8.97%E -2.85%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-05 01:04
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.37%EV -7.71%E -3.64%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -8.97%E -2.85%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-05 01:04
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -10.41%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 01:04
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.41%E -2.98%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -10.41%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-05 01:05
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.41%E -2.98%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -10.41%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-05 01:04
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -6.41%E -2.98%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -10.41%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-05 01:04
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 43.06%EV -10.76%E -5.25%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -10.41%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -14.53%E -4.69%K -6.92%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-05 00:59
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 43.06%EV -10.76%E -5.25%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -10.41%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -14.53%E -4.69%K -6.92%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-05 01:05
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.06%EV -10.76%E -5.25%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -10.41%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -14.53%E -4.69%K -6.92%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-05 00:59
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.06%EV -10.76%E -5.25%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -10.41%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -14.53%E -4.69%K -6.92%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-05 00:59
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -2.05%E -0.913%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -11.86%E -3.89%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 01:04
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -2.05%E -0.913%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -11.86%E -3.89%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 01:04
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -2.05%E -0.913%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -11.86%E -3.89%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 01:04
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -2.05%E -0.913%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -11.86%E -3.89%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 01:04
Casumo2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -2.05%E -0.913%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -11.86%E -3.89%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 01:04
betPARX2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -2.05%E -0.913%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -11.86%E -3.89%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 01:05
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -2.93%E -1.31%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -11.86%E -3.89%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-05 01:04
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -6.41%E -2.98%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -11.86%E -3.89%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-05 00:59
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -2.05%E -0.913%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -13.30%E -4.43%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.50%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 01:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -13.30%E -4.43%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -11.78%E -3.68%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-05 01:04
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -13.30%E -4.43%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -11.78%E -3.68%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-05 01:04
Virgin Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.34%EV -5.10%E -2.34%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -13.30%E -4.43%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.61%EV -13.15%E -4.18%K -6.12%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-05 01:04
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -6.41%E -2.98%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -13.30%E -4.43%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.78%E -3.68%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 01:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -6.41%E -2.98%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -13.30%E -4.43%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.78%E -3.68%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 01:05
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.58%E -4.09%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -13.30%E -4.43%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-05 01:04
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.45%EV -12.94%E -6.47%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.97%EV -13.30%E -4.43%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.59%EV -13.15%E -4.18%K -6.12%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-05 00:59
NetBet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 44.07%EV -15.11%E -7.75%K -15.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.65%EV -13.30%E -4.43%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.28%EV -13.15%E -4.18%K -6.12%G +0.000%16.4%2026-04-05 01:00
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -6.41%E -2.98%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -16.19%E -5.58%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-05 01:04
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 41.41%EV -7.71%E -3.64%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.27%EV -16.19%E -5.58%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -14.53%E -4.69%K -6.92%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-05 01:04
PMU (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 41.41%EV -7.71%E -3.64%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.27%EV -16.19%E -5.58%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -14.53%E -4.69%K -6.92%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-05 01:04
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 42.60%EV -10.76%E -5.25%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.11%EV -16.19%E -5.58%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.29%EV -11.78%E -3.68%K -5.35%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-05 01:04
Betclic (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.22%EV -6.41%E -2.98%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -17.64%E -6.19%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -11.78%E -3.68%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-05 01:02
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.56%EV -8.58%E -4.09%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.17%EV -19.08%E -6.82%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -11.78%E -3.68%K -5.35%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-05 01:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 41.52%EV -12.94%E -6.47%K -12.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.65%EV -19.08%E -6.82%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.83%EV -20.60%E -7.15%K -10.96%G +0.000%20.4%2026-04-05 01:04
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.57%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72%1.1%2026-04-05 01:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.43%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.40%1.4%2026-04-05 01:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.87%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.95%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.17%2.2%2026-04-05 01:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.87%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.95%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.17%2.2%2026-04-05 01:05
Matchbook2.18I 45.87%NM 44.17%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.91%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.91%3.8%2026-04-05 01:05
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 44.17%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.32%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.51%3.9%2026-04-05 01:02