La escuela de los momiosLeón v Atlas
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
León (Local)
Predicción 43.53%2.30momio equitativo
EV +0.122%
Ventaja +0.053%
Kelly +0.094%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.15%43.27%43.62%45.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.952.142.152.3051.28%46.70%46.51%43.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Atlas (Visitante)
Predicción 28.90%3.46momio equitativo
EV +3.75%
Ventaja +1.04%
Kelly +1.45%
Crecimiento +0.054%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.59
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.73%29.15%28.83%31.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.113.103.5935.71%32.15%32.26%27.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.57%3.63momio equitativo
EV -2.68%
Ventaja -0.759%
Kelly -1.06%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.53
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.87%27.57%27.55%28.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.283.273.5334.72%30.48%30.53%28.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.92%EV -9.02%E -4.32%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.73%EV +3.75%E +1.04%K +1.45%G +0.054% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.34%EV -3.23%E -0.920%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-05 00:59 |
| Pinnacle | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.61%EV -5.54%E -2.55%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.89%EV +0.278%E +0.080%K +0.113%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.50%EV -2.95%E -0.839%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-05 00:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.94%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.68%EV -2.61%E -0.775%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.38%EV -2.68%E -0.759%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-05 00:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.94%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.68%EV -2.61%E -0.775%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.38%EV -2.68%E -0.759%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-05 01:00 |
| Coolbet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.62%EV -5.10%E -2.34%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -4.63%E -1.40%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.56%EV -4.88%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-05 00:58 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -8.58%E -4.09%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.63%E -1.40%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-05 01:05 |
| Bet Victor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -8.58%E -4.09%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.63%E -1.40%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-05 01:03 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.96%EV -8.15%E -3.86%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.11%EV -4.63%E -1.40%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.94%EV -8.47%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| Bovada | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.42%EV -9.45%E -4.55%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -4.63%E -1.40%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-05 00:58 |
| BetUS | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.42%EV -9.45%E -4.55%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -4.63%E -1.40%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-05 00:59 |
| GTbets | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.00%EV -6.84%E -3.20%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.71%EV -5.21%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -4.88%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-05 00:59 |
| Everygame | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.22%EV -10.76%E -5.25%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -6.08%E -1.87%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-05 00:59 |
| Betway | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -6.41%E -2.98%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.52%E -2.35%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| Fanatics | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.58%E -4.09%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.52%E -2.35%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| BoyleSports | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -12.94%E -6.47%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -7.52%E -2.35%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-05 00:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.38%EV +0.122%E +0.053%K +0.094%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -8.97%E -2.85%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.41%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-05 01:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.38%EV +0.122%E +0.053%K +0.094%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -8.97%E -2.85%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.41%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| PlayUp | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.02%EV -6.41%E -2.98%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -8.97%E -2.85%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-05 01:00 |
| Betsson | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.37%EV -7.71%E -3.64%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -8.97%E -2.85%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| NordicBet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.37%EV -7.71%E -3.64%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -8.97%E -2.85%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| BetMGM | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -10.41%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| SportsBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.41%E -2.98%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -10.41%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-05 01:05 |
| FanDuel | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.41%E -2.98%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -10.41%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| Fliff | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -6.41%E -2.98%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -10.41%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| 888sport | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.06%EV -10.76%E -5.25%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -10.41%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -14.53%E -4.69%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-05 00:59 |
| William Hill | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.06%EV -10.76%E -5.25%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -10.41%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -14.53%E -4.69%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-05 01:05 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.06%EV -10.76%E -5.25%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -10.41%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -14.53%E -4.69%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-05 00:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.06%EV -10.76%E -5.25%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -10.41%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -14.53%E -4.69%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-05 00:59 |
| Unibet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -2.05%E -0.913%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -11.86%E -3.89%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| Grosvenor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -2.05%E -0.913%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -11.86%E -3.89%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -2.05%E -0.913%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -11.86%E -3.89%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -2.05%E -0.913%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -11.86%E -3.89%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| Casumo | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -2.05%E -0.913%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -11.86%E -3.89%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| betPARX | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -2.05%E -0.913%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -11.86%E -3.89%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-05 01:05 |
| TABtouch | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -2.93%E -1.31%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -11.86%E -3.89%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| Bet Right | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -6.41%E -2.98%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -11.86%E -3.89%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-05 00:59 |
| DraftKings | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -2.05%E -0.913%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -13.30%E -4.43%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.50%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-05 01:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -13.30%E -4.43%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -11.78%E -3.68%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -13.30%E -4.43%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -11.78%E -3.68%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.34%EV -5.10%E -2.34%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -13.30%E -4.43%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.61%EV -13.15%E -4.18%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| Coral | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -6.41%E -2.98%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -13.30%E -4.43%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.78%E -3.68%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-05 01:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -6.41%E -2.98%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -13.30%E -4.43%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.78%E -3.68%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-05 01:05 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.58%E -4.09%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -13.30%E -4.43%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.45%EV -12.94%E -6.47%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.97%EV -13.30%E -4.43%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.59%EV -13.15%E -4.18%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-04-05 00:59 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.07%EV -15.11%E -7.75%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.65%EV -13.30%E -4.43%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.28%EV -13.15%E -4.18%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-04-05 01:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -6.41%E -2.98%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -16.19%E -5.58%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| LeoVegas | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.41%EV -7.71%E -3.64%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.27%EV -16.19%E -5.58%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -14.53%E -4.69%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.41%EV -7.71%E -3.64%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.27%EV -16.19%E -5.58%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -14.53%E -4.69%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| Sky Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.60%EV -10.76%E -5.25%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.11%EV -16.19%E -5.58%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.29%EV -11.78%E -3.68%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.22%EV -6.41%E -2.98%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -17.64%E -6.19%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -11.78%E -3.68%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-05 01:02 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.56%EV -8.58%E -4.09%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.17%EV -19.08%E -6.82%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -11.78%E -3.68%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.52%EV -12.94%E -6.47%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.65%EV -19.08%E -6.82%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.83%EV -20.60%E -7.15%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 20.4% | 2026-04-05 01:04 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.57% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72% | 1.1% | 2026-04-05 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.43% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.40% | 1.4% | 2026-04-05 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.87% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.95% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.17% | 2.2% | 2026-04-05 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.87% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.95% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.17% | 2.2% | 2026-04-05 01:05 |
| Matchbook | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.17% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.91% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.91% | 3.8% | 2026-04-05 01:05 |
| Smarkets | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.17% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.32% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.51% | 3.9% | 2026-04-05 01:02 |