مدرسة الاحتمالات

León v Atlas

البداية: 2026-04-05 01:06 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

52 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

León (المضيف)

التنبؤ 43.53%2.30السعر العادل
EV +0.122%
الأفضلية +0.053%
Kelly +0.094%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
41.15%43.27%43.62%45.92%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.952.142.152.3051.28%46.70%46.51%43.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Atlas (الضيف)

التنبؤ 28.90%3.46السعر العادل
EV +3.75%
الأفضلية +1.04%
Kelly +1.45%
النمو +0.054%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.59

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.73%29.15%28.83%31.34%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.803.113.103.5935.71%32.15%32.26%27.86%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.57%3.63السعر العادل
EV -2.68%
الأفضلية -0.759%
Kelly -1.06%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.53

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.87%27.57%27.55%28.83%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.283.273.5334.72%30.48%30.53%28.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (52 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet2.09I 47.85%NM 45.92%EV -9.02%E -4.32%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.73%EV +3.75%E +1.04%K +1.45%G +0.054%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.34%EV -3.23%E -0.920%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-05 00:59
Pinnacle2.17I 46.08%NM 44.61%EV -5.54%E -2.55%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.89%EV +0.278%E +0.080%K +0.113%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.50%EV -2.95%E -0.839%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-05 00:59
LowVig.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.94%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.68%EV -2.61%E -0.775%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.38%EV -2.68%E -0.759%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-05 00:59
BetOnline.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.94%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.68%EV -2.61%E -0.775%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.38%EV -2.68%E -0.759%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-05 01:00
Coolbet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.62%EV -5.10%E -2.34%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -4.63%E -1.40%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.56%EV -4.88%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 00:58
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -8.58%E -4.09%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.63%E -1.40%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 01:05
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -8.58%E -4.09%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.63%E -1.40%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 01:03
Marathon Bet2.11I 47.39%NM 43.96%EV -8.15%E -3.86%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.11%EV -4.63%E -1.40%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.94%EV -8.47%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 01:04
Bovada2.08I 48.08%NM 44.42%EV -9.45%E -4.55%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -4.63%E -1.40%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-05 00:58
BetUS2.08I 48.08%NM 44.42%EV -9.45%E -4.55%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -4.63%E -1.40%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-05 00:59
GTbets2.14I 46.73%NM 44.00%EV -6.84%E -3.20%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.71%EV -5.21%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -4.88%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 00:59
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 44.22%EV -10.76%E -5.25%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -6.08%E -1.87%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-05 00:59
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -6.41%E -2.98%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.52%E -2.35%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 01:04
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.58%E -4.09%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.52%E -2.35%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-05 01:04
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -12.94%E -6.47%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -7.52%E -2.35%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-05 00:59
Svenska Spel2.30I 43.48%NM 41.38%EV +0.122%E +0.053%K +0.094%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -8.97%E -2.85%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.41%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 01:05
ATG (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.38%EV +0.122%E +0.053%K +0.094%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -8.97%E -2.85%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.41%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 01:04
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 43.02%EV -6.41%E -2.98%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -8.97%E -2.85%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 01:00
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 43.37%EV -7.71%E -3.64%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -8.97%E -2.85%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-05 01:04
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.37%EV -7.71%E -3.64%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -8.97%E -2.85%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-05 01:04
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -10.41%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 01:04
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.41%E -2.98%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -10.41%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-05 01:05
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.41%E -2.98%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -10.41%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-05 01:04
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -6.41%E -2.98%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -10.41%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-05 01:04
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 43.06%EV -10.76%E -5.25%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -10.41%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -14.53%E -4.69%K -6.92%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-05 00:59
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 43.06%EV -10.76%E -5.25%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -10.41%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -14.53%E -4.69%K -6.92%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-05 01:05
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.06%EV -10.76%E -5.25%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -10.41%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -14.53%E -4.69%K -6.92%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-05 00:59
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.06%EV -10.76%E -5.25%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -10.41%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -14.53%E -4.69%K -6.92%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-05 00:59
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -2.05%E -0.913%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -11.86%E -3.89%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 01:04
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -2.05%E -0.913%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -11.86%E -3.89%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 01:04
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -2.05%E -0.913%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -11.86%E -3.89%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 01:04
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -2.05%E -0.913%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -11.86%E -3.89%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 01:04
Casumo2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -2.05%E -0.913%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -11.86%E -3.89%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 01:04
betPARX2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -2.05%E -0.913%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -11.86%E -3.89%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 01:05
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -2.93%E -1.31%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -11.86%E -3.89%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-05 01:04
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -6.41%E -2.98%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -11.86%E -3.89%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-05 00:59
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -2.05%E -0.913%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -13.30%E -4.43%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.50%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 01:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -13.30%E -4.43%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -11.78%E -3.68%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-05 01:04
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -13.30%E -4.43%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -11.78%E -3.68%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-05 01:04
Virgin Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.34%EV -5.10%E -2.34%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -13.30%E -4.43%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.61%EV -13.15%E -4.18%K -6.12%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-05 01:04
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -6.41%E -2.98%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -13.30%E -4.43%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.78%E -3.68%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 01:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -6.41%E -2.98%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -13.30%E -4.43%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.78%E -3.68%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 01:05
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.58%E -4.09%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -13.30%E -4.43%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-05 01:04
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.45%EV -12.94%E -6.47%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.97%EV -13.30%E -4.43%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.59%EV -13.15%E -4.18%K -6.12%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-05 00:59
NetBet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 44.07%EV -15.11%E -7.75%K -15.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.65%EV -13.30%E -4.43%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.28%EV -13.15%E -4.18%K -6.12%G +0.000%16.4%2026-04-05 01:00
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -6.41%E -2.98%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -16.19%E -5.58%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-05 01:04
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 41.41%EV -7.71%E -3.64%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.27%EV -16.19%E -5.58%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -14.53%E -4.69%K -6.92%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-05 01:04
PMU (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 41.41%EV -7.71%E -3.64%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.27%EV -16.19%E -5.58%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -14.53%E -4.69%K -6.92%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-05 01:04
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 42.60%EV -10.76%E -5.25%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.11%EV -16.19%E -5.58%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.29%EV -11.78%E -3.68%K -5.35%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-05 01:04
Betclic (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.22%EV -6.41%E -2.98%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -17.64%E -6.19%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -11.78%E -3.68%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-05 01:02
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.56%EV -8.58%E -4.09%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.17%EV -19.08%E -6.82%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -11.78%E -3.68%K -5.35%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-05 01:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 41.52%EV -12.94%E -6.47%K -12.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.65%EV -19.08%E -6.82%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.83%EV -20.60%E -7.15%K -10.96%G +0.000%20.4%2026-04-05 01:04
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.57%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72%1.1%2026-04-05 01:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.43%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.40%1.4%2026-04-05 01:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.87%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.95%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.17%2.2%2026-04-05 01:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.87%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.95%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.17%2.2%2026-04-05 01:05
Matchbook2.18I 45.87%NM 44.17%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.91%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.91%3.8%2026-04-05 01:05
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 44.17%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.32%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.51%3.9%2026-04-05 01:02