Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.60
assuming max odds 2.20
assuming max odds 3.42
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: León (Local): 27.86%; América (Visit): 43.91%; Draw: 28.22%. For León (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.59. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.305%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV +0.305%E +0.085%K +0.117%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.26%EV -3.39%E -1.54%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.31%EV -11.38%E -3.62%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 02:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.01%EV -1.09%E -0.306%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.19%EV -4.71%E -2.17%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.80%EV -6.01%E -1.81%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-22 03:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -1.09%E -0.306%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.27%EV -7.78%E -3.71%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.96%EV -4.04%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-22 02:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -1.09%E -0.306%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.27%EV -7.78%E -3.71%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.96%EV -4.04%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-22 02:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.39%EV -1.65%E -0.466%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.35%EV -4.27%E -1.96%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.27%EV -3.47%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-22 03:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.62%EV -2.48%E -0.709%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.94%EV -3.39%E -1.54%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.43%EV -4.04%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-21 19:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.62%EV -2.48%E -0.709%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.94%EV -3.39%E -1.54%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.43%EV -4.04%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-21 19:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -3.87%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.98%E -4.87%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -5.45%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-22 02:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -3.87%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.98%E -4.87%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -5.45%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-22 02:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -3.87%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.98%E -4.87%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -5.45%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-22 02:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -3.87%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.98%E -4.87%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -5.45%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-22 02:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -3.87%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.98%E -4.87%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -5.45%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-22 02:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -3.87%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.98%E -4.87%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -5.45%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-22 02:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -3.87%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.45%EV -10.42%E -5.11%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -5.45%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-22 02:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -3.87%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -11.29%E -5.59%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-22 02:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.35%EV -4.43%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.05%EV -6.46%E -3.03%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.60%EV -7.43%E -2.26%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-21 18:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.27%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.59%E -2.60%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-22 02:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.27%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.78%E -3.71%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-22 02:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.27%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.78%E -3.71%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-22 02:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -5.27%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -7.78%E -3.71%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.27%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-22 02:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -5.27%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -12.17%E -6.09%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-22 02:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -5.27%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -12.17%E -6.09%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-22 02:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -6.66%E -1.99%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -6.90%E -3.26%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -8.27%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-22 02:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -6.66%E -1.99%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -6.90%E -3.26%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -8.27%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-22 02:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -6.66%E -1.99%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.11%EV -8.22%E -3.93%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -8.27%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-22 03:03 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.86%EV -6.66%E -1.99%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.45%EV -13.05%E -6.59%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -8.27%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-22 02:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.77%EV -6.94%E -2.08%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.96%EV -7.34%E -3.48%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.28%EV -7.43%E -2.26%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-22 03:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -8.05%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.59%E -2.60%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 03:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -8.05%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.59%E -2.60%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 02:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.05%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.78%E -3.71%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.04%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-22 02:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.05%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.78%E -3.71%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-22 02:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.05%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -6.90%E -3.26%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -8.27%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-22 02:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.05%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -9.98%E -4.87%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-22 02:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -8.05%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -9.98%E -4.87%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -9.68%E -3.03%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-22 02:54 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -8.05%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -9.98%E -4.87%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -9.68%E -3.03%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-22 02:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -8.05%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -9.98%E -4.87%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -12.51%E -4.03%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-22 02:08 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.61%EV -8.05%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.51%EV -15.25%E -7.90%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.88%EV -11.09%E -3.52%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-22 02:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.61%EV -8.05%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.51%EV -15.25%E -7.90%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.88%EV -11.09%E -3.52%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-22 02:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -9.45%E -2.91%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.05%EV -5.59%E -2.60%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -8.27%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-22 02:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -9.45%E -2.91%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -9.98%E -4.87%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-22 02:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -9.45%E -2.91%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -9.98%E -4.87%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -15.33%E -5.11%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-22 03:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -9.45%E -2.91%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -9.98%E -4.87%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -15.33%E -5.11%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-22 03:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.04%EV -9.45%E -2.91%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.06%EV -14.37%E -7.37%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.90%EV -11.09%E -3.52%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-22 02:44 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -10.84%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -9.98%E -4.87%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -9.68%E -3.03%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-22 02:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -10.84%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -9.98%E -4.87%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -12.51%E -4.03%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-22 02:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.95%EV -10.84%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.11%EV -12.17%E -6.09%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.94%EV -18.71%E -6.50%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-04-22 03:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 27.58%EV -11.40%E -3.58%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.30%EV -13.05%E -6.59%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.11%EV -11.94%E -3.83%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-22 02:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -13.63%E -4.40%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -9.98%E -4.87%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -8.27%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-22 02:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -13.63%E -4.40%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -9.98%E -4.87%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -9.68%E -3.03%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-22 02:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -13.63%E -4.40%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -9.98%E -4.87%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -9.68%E -3.03%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-22 02:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -13.63%E -4.40%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -7.78%E -3.71%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -15.33%E -5.11%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-22 03:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -13.63%E -4.40%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -7.78%E -3.71%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -15.33%E -5.11%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-22 03:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -13.63%E -4.40%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.05%EV -12.17%E -6.09%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -9.68%E -3.03%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-22 02:44 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.17%EV -15.02%E -4.92%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 43.18%EV -12.61%E -6.34%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.64%EV -15.33%E -5.11%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-04-22 02:54 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.35% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80% | 0.7% | 2026-04-22 03:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.19% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69% | 1.0% | 2026-04-22 03:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.19% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69% | 1.0% | 2026-04-22 03:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.19% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69% | 1.0% | 2026-04-22 03:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.17% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.06% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.77% | 2.2% | 2026-04-22 02:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.73% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14% | 3.0% | 2026-04-22 03:00 |