La escuela de los momiosLeón v América
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
León (Local)
Predicción 27.86%3.59momio equitativo
EV +0.305%
Ventaja +0.085%
Kelly +0.117%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.44%27.84%27.77%28.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.053.333.323.6032.79%30.01%30.12%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
América (Visitante)
Predicción 43.91%2.28momio equitativo
EV -3.39%
Ventaja -1.54%
Kelly -2.83%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.06%43.87%43.96%45.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.932.072.052.2051.81%48.27%48.78%45.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.22%3.54momio equitativo
EV -3.47%
Ventaja -1.02%
Kelly -1.44%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.42
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.40%28.30%28.27%30.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.243.263.4234.72%30.85%30.63%29.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV +0.305%E +0.085%K +0.117%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.26%EV -3.39%E -1.54%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.31%EV -11.38%E -3.62%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 02:44 |
| 1xBet | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.01%EV -1.09%E -0.306%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.19%EV -4.71%E -2.17%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.80%EV -6.01%E -1.81%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-22 03:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -1.09%E -0.306%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.27%EV -7.78%E -3.71%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.96%EV -4.04%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-22 02:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -1.09%E -0.306%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.27%EV -7.78%E -3.71%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.96%EV -4.04%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-22 02:14 |
| Pinnacle | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.39%EV -1.65%E -0.466%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.35%EV -4.27%E -1.96%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.27%EV -3.47%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-22 03:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.62%EV -2.48%E -0.709%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.94%EV -3.39%E -1.54%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.43%EV -4.04%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-21 19:09 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.62%EV -2.48%E -0.709%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.94%EV -3.39%E -1.54%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.43%EV -4.04%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-21 19:10 |
| Unibet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -3.87%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.98%E -4.87%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -5.45%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-22 02:14 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -3.87%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.98%E -4.87%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -5.45%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-22 02:14 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -3.87%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.98%E -4.87%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -5.45%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-22 02:14 |
| Grosvenor | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -3.87%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.98%E -4.87%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -5.45%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-22 02:14 |
| Casumo | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -3.87%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.98%E -4.87%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -5.45%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-22 02:19 |
| betPARX | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -3.87%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.98%E -4.87%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -5.45%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-22 02:14 |
| BetRivers | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -3.87%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.45%EV -10.42%E -5.11%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -5.45%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-22 02:15 |
| TABtouch | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -3.87%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -11.29%E -5.59%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-22 02:14 |
| GTbets | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.35%EV -4.43%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.05%EV -6.46%E -3.03%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.60%EV -7.43%E -2.26%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-21 18:55 |
| BetUS | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.27%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.59%E -2.60%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-22 02:45 |
| FanDuel | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.27%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.78%E -3.71%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-22 02:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.27%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.78%E -3.71%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-22 02:45 |
| SportsBet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -5.27%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -7.78%E -3.71%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.27%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-22 02:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -5.27%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -12.17%E -6.09%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-22 02:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -5.27%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -12.17%E -6.09%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-22 02:14 |
| NordicBet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -6.66%E -1.99%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -6.90%E -3.26%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -8.27%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-22 02:55 |
| Betsson | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -6.66%E -1.99%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -6.90%E -3.26%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -8.27%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-22 02:54 |
| Bovada | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -6.66%E -1.99%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.11%EV -8.22%E -3.93%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -8.27%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-22 03:03 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.86%EV -6.66%E -1.99%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.45%EV -13.05%E -6.59%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -8.27%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-22 02:14 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.77%EV -6.94%E -2.08%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.96%EV -7.34%E -3.48%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.28%EV -7.43%E -2.26%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-22 03:00 |
| DraftKings | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -8.05%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.59%E -2.60%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 03:05 |
| Bet Victor | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -8.05%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.59%E -2.60%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 02:59 |
| BetMGM | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.05%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.78%E -3.71%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.04%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-22 02:29 |
| Fanatics | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.05%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.78%E -3.71%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-22 02:30 |
| PlayUp | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.05%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -6.90%E -3.26%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -8.27%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-22 02:55 |
| Bet Right | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.05%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -9.98%E -4.87%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-22 02:40 |
| Fliff | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -8.05%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -9.98%E -4.87%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -9.68%E -3.03%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-22 02:54 |
| Everygame | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -8.05%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -9.98%E -4.87%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -9.68%E -3.03%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-22 02:54 |
| Paddy Power | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -8.05%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -9.98%E -4.87%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -12.51%E -4.03%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-22 02:08 |
| LeoVegas | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.61%EV -8.05%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.51%EV -15.25%E -7.90%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.88%EV -11.09%E -3.52%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-22 02:14 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.61%EV -8.05%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.51%EV -15.25%E -7.90%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.88%EV -11.09%E -3.52%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-22 02:14 |
| Betway | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -9.45%E -2.91%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.05%EV -5.59%E -2.60%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -8.27%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-22 02:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -9.45%E -2.91%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -9.98%E -4.87%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-22 02:44 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -9.45%E -2.91%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -9.98%E -4.87%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -15.33%E -5.11%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-22 03:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -9.45%E -2.91%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -9.98%E -4.87%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -15.33%E -5.11%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-22 03:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.04%EV -9.45%E -2.91%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.06%EV -14.37%E -7.37%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.90%EV -11.09%E -3.52%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-22 02:44 |
| betfred_uk | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -10.84%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -9.98%E -4.87%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -9.68%E -3.03%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-22 02:40 |
| Sky Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -10.84%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -9.98%E -4.87%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -12.51%E -4.03%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-22 02:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.95%EV -10.84%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.11%EV -12.17%E -6.09%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.94%EV -18.71%E -6.50%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-04-22 03:04 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.18I 31.45%NM 27.58%EV -11.40%E -3.58%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.30%EV -13.05%E -6.59%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.11%EV -11.94%E -3.83%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-22 02:44 |
| BoyleSports | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -13.63%E -4.40%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -9.98%E -4.87%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -8.27%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-22 02:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -13.63%E -4.40%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -9.98%E -4.87%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -9.68%E -3.03%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-22 02:30 |
| Coral | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -13.63%E -4.40%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -9.98%E -4.87%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -9.68%E -3.03%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-22 02:30 |
| 888sport | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -13.63%E -4.40%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -7.78%E -3.71%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -15.33%E -5.11%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-22 03:05 |
| William Hill | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -13.63%E -4.40%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -7.78%E -3.71%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -15.33%E -5.11%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-22 03:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -13.63%E -4.40%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.05%EV -12.17%E -6.09%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -9.68%E -3.03%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-22 02:44 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.17%EV -15.02%E -4.92%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 43.18%EV -12.61%E -6.34%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.64%EV -15.33%E -5.11%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-04-22 02:54 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.35% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80% | 0.7% | 2026-04-22 03:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.19% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69% | 1.0% | 2026-04-22 03:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.19% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69% | 1.0% | 2026-04-22 03:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.19% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69% | 1.0% | 2026-04-22 03:00 |
| Smarkets | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.17% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.06% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.77% | 2.2% | 2026-04-22 02:55 |
| Kalshi | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.73% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14% | 3.0% | 2026-04-22 03:00 |