Language:English
FC Juárez v Pachuca
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
FC Juárez (Local)
Prediction 25.81%3.87fair odd
EV -0.096%
Edge -0.025%
Kelly -0.034%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.87
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.29%25.90%25.74%27.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.473.503.8732.26%28.80%28.57%25.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Pachuca (Visit)
Prediction 46.97%2.13fair odd
EV -1.37%
Edge -0.651%
Kelly -1.24%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.24%46.81%47.10%48.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.992.002.1054.05%50.23%50.00%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.22%3.67fair odd
EV -2.02%
Edge -0.561%
Kelly -0.777%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.24%27.30%27.16%28.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.343.353.6032.26%29.92%29.85%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Juárez (Local): 25.81%; Pachuca (Visit): 46.97%; Draw: 27.22%. For FC Juárez (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.874. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.870, with an expected value of -0.096%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.96%EV -0.096%E -0.025%K -0.034%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.59%EV -4.65%E -2.29%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.45%EV -4.20%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-04 10:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.96%EV -0.096%E -0.025%K -0.034%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.59%EV -4.65%E -2.29%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.45%EV -4.20%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-04 10:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.14%EV -0.612%E -0.159%K -0.215%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.21%EV -3.72%E -1.81%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.65%EV -4.74%E -1.35%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-04 10:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -1.90%E -0.501%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -10.76%E -5.66%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-04 04:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.57%EV -2.94%E -0.781%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.35%EV -4.65%E -2.29%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.08%EV -3.38%E -0.952%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-04 12:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.15%EV -2.94%E -0.781%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.52%EV -6.53%E -3.28%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.33%EV -5.83%E -1.68%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 17:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.10%EV -4.23%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.51%EV -7.94%E -4.05%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-04 12:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -4.48%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.23%EV -7.00%E -3.54%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-04 04:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -4.48%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.73%EV -8.88%E -4.58%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-04 12:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.07%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.06%E -3.03%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.74%E -1.35%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 12:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.07%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -8.41%E -4.31%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -4.74%E -1.35%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-04 03:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -8.36%E -2.35%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.85%EV -5.12%E -2.54%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -10.18%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-04 13:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -8.36%E -2.35%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.85%EV -5.12%E -2.54%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -10.18%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-04 13:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -8.36%E -2.35%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -8.41%E -4.31%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-04 04:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.53I 28.33%NM 25.29%EV -8.87%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.24%EV -11.23%E -5.94%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-04 14:33 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -9.65%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.77%EV -5.12%E -2.54%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.24%EV -2.02%E -0.561%K -0.777%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 13:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -9.65%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -1.37%E -0.651%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -10.18%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 14:33 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -9.65%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.14%EV -2.31%E -1.11%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -8.82%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 14:33 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.65%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.06%E -3.03%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.74%E -1.35%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 12:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -9.65%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -3.72%E -1.81%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -10.18%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.65%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.06%E -3.03%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-04 12:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.65%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.06%E -3.03%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-04 12:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.65%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.12%EV -6.06%E -3.03%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -8.82%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-04 13:34 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.65%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.41%E -4.31%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.18%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.43%EV -9.65%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.60%EV -12.17%E -6.51%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -10.18%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-04 08:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -10.94%E -3.17%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%EV -2.78%E -1.34%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -6.10%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 12:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -10.94%E -3.17%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%EV -2.78%E -1.34%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -6.10%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 12:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.36%EV -10.94%E -3.17%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.30%EV -13.11%E -7.09%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.34%EV -12.91%E -4.03%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-04 12:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -12.23%E -3.60%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.38%EV -7.00%E -3.54%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.62%EV -6.10%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-04 13:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -12.23%E -3.60%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -6.06%E -3.03%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -13.52%E -4.04%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.09%EV -4.19%E -2.05%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.82%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-04 12:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -13.52%E -4.04%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.09%EV -4.19%E -2.05%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.82%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-04 12:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -13.52%E -4.04%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.09%EV -4.19%E -2.05%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.82%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-04 12:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -13.52%E -4.04%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.09%EV -4.19%E -2.05%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.82%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-04 12:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -13.52%E -4.04%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.09%EV -4.19%E -2.05%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.82%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-04 12:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -13.52%E -4.04%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.09%EV -4.19%E -2.05%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.82%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-04 12:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -13.52%E -4.04%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.09%EV -4.19%E -2.05%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.82%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-04 12:39 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -14.81%E -4.49%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -8.41%E -4.31%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-04 13:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -14.81%E -4.49%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -8.41%E -4.31%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-04 03:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -14.81%E -4.49%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.05%EV -8.41%E -4.31%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -15.63%E -5.04%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-04 13:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -14.81%E -4.49%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.05%EV -8.41%E -4.31%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -15.63%E -5.04%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-04 13:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -14.81%E -4.49%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.05%EV -8.41%E -4.31%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -15.63%E -5.04%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-04 13:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -14.81%E -4.49%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.05%EV -8.41%E -4.31%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -15.63%E -5.04%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-04 13:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -16.10%E -4.95%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.83%EV -6.06%E -3.03%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-04 12:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.40%EV -16.10%E -4.95%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.20%EV -7.47%E -3.79%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.40%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-04 12:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.40%EV -16.10%E -4.95%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.20%EV -7.47%E -3.79%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.40%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-04 12:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -16.10%E -4.95%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.33%EV -7.94%E -4.05%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-04 12:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -16.10%E -4.95%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -6.06%E -3.03%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -15.63%E -5.04%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.59%EV -19.97%E -6.44%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 45.26%EV -11.23%E -5.94%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.15%EV -14.27%E -4.53%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-09-04 12:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.04% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86% | 1.1% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.93% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.74% | 1.6% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.93% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.74% | 1.6% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.93% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.74% | 1.6% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.46% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.05% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49% | 2.0% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.41% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.03% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.56% | 2.2% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |