Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

FC Juárez v Pachuca

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-05 03:00 UTC

Score final : FC Juárez 0–2 Pachuca

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

FC Juárez (Local)

Prévision 25.81%3.87cote équitable
EV -0.096%
Avantage -0.025%
Kelly -0.034%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.87

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.29%25.90%25.74%27.59%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.473.503.8732.26%28.80%28.57%25.84%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pachuca (Visiteur)

Prévision 46.97%2.13cote équitable
EV -1.37%
Avantage -0.651%
Kelly -1.24%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.24%46.81%47.10%48.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.851.992.002.1054.05%50.23%50.00%47.62%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.22%3.67cote équitable
EV -2.02%
Avantage -0.561%
Kelly -0.777%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.24%27.30%27.16%28.54%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.343.353.6032.26%29.92%29.85%27.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : FC Juárez (Local) : 25.81% ; Pachuca (Visiteur) : 46.97% ; Match nul : 27.22%. Pour FC Juárez (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.874. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.870, pour une espérance de -0.096% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag🎯3.87I 25.84%NM 24.96%EV -0.096%E -0.025%K -0.034%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.59%EV -4.65%E -2.29%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.45%EV -4.20%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-04 10:24
BetOnline.ag🎯3.87I 25.84%NM 24.96%EV -0.096%E -0.025%K -0.034%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.59%EV -4.65%E -2.29%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.45%EV -4.20%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-04 10:25
BetUS🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 25.14%EV -0.612%E -0.159%K -0.215%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.21%EV -3.72%E -1.81%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.65%EV -4.74%E -1.35%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-04 10:29
Tipico (DE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -1.90%E -0.501%K -0.680%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -10.76%E -5.66%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-04 04:05
Pinnacle🎯3.76I 26.60%NM 25.57%EV -2.94%E -0.781%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.35%EV -4.65%E -2.29%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.08%EV -3.38%E -0.952%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-04 12:40
GTbets🎯3.76I 26.60%NM 25.15%EV -2.94%E -0.781%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.52%EV -6.53%E -3.28%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.33%EV -5.83%E -1.68%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 17:35
1xBet🎯3.71I 26.95%NM 25.10%EV -4.23%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.51%EV -7.94%E -4.05%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-04 12:39
Unibet (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -4.48%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.23%EV -7.00%E -3.54%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 04:05
Marathon Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -4.48%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.73%EV -8.88%E -4.58%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-04 12:35
DraftKings🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.07%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.06%E -3.03%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.74%E -1.35%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 12:45
Betway🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.07%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -8.41%E -4.31%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -4.74%E -1.35%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 03:45
NordicBet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -8.36%E -2.35%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.85%EV -5.12%E -2.54%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -10.18%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-04 13:35
Betsson🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -8.36%E -2.35%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.85%EV -5.12%E -2.54%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -10.18%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-04 13:35
LeoVegas🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -8.36%E -2.35%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -8.41%E -4.31%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-04 04:10
Betclic (FR)🎯3.53I 28.33%NM 25.29%EV -8.87%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.24%EV -11.23%E -5.94%K -12.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-04 14:33
Coolbet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -9.65%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.77%EV -5.12%E -2.54%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.24%EV -2.02%E -0.561%K -0.777%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 13:40
FanDuel🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -9.65%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -1.37%E -0.651%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -10.18%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 14:33
SportsBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -9.65%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.14%EV -2.31%E -1.11%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -8.82%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 14:33
Fanatics🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.65%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.06%E -3.03%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.74%E -1.35%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 12:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -9.65%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -3.72%E -1.81%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -10.18%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-04 14:30
betano_uk🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.65%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.06%E -3.03%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-04 12:35
Bet Victor🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.65%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.06%E -3.03%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-04 12:34
PlayUp🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.65%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.12%EV -6.06%E -3.03%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -8.82%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-04 13:34
Fliff🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.65%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.41%E -4.31%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.18%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-04 14:35
BoyleSports🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.43%EV -9.65%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 47.60%EV -12.17%E -6.51%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -10.18%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-04 08:20
Svenska Spel🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -10.94%E -3.17%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%EV -2.78%E -1.34%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -6.10%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 12:39
ATG (SE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -10.94%E -3.17%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%EV -2.78%E -1.34%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -6.10%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 12:39
NetBet (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 25.36%EV -10.94%E -3.17%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.30%EV -13.11%E -7.09%K -15.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.34%EV -12.91%E -4.03%K -5.87%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-04 12:35
Bet Right🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -12.23%E -3.60%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.38%EV -7.00%E -3.54%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.62%EV -6.10%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-04 13:40
Paddy Power🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -12.23%E -3.60%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -6.06%E -3.03%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-04 14:35
Unibet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -13.52%E -4.04%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.09%EV -4.19%E -2.05%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.82%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-04 12:40
Casumo🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -13.52%E -4.04%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.09%EV -4.19%E -2.05%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.82%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-04 12:40
Unibet (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -13.52%E -4.04%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.09%EV -4.19%E -2.05%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.82%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-04 12:39
Unibet (NL)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -13.52%E -4.04%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.09%EV -4.19%E -2.05%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.82%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-04 12:39
Grosvenor🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -13.52%E -4.04%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.09%EV -4.19%E -2.05%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.82%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-04 12:39
BetRivers🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -13.52%E -4.04%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.09%EV -4.19%E -2.05%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.82%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-04 12:40
betPARX🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -13.52%E -4.04%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.09%EV -4.19%E -2.05%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.82%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-04 12:39
betfred_uk🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -14.81%E -4.49%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -8.41%E -4.31%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-04 13:40
Neds🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -14.81%E -4.49%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -8.41%E -4.31%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-04 03:49
888sport🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -14.81%E -4.49%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.05%EV -8.41%E -4.31%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -15.63%E -5.04%K -7.44%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-04 13:40
888sport (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -14.81%E -4.49%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.05%EV -8.41%E -4.31%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -15.63%E -5.04%K -7.44%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-04 13:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -14.81%E -4.49%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.05%EV -8.41%E -4.31%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -15.63%E -5.04%K -7.44%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-04 13:40
William Hill🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -14.81%E -4.49%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.05%EV -8.41%E -4.31%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -15.63%E -5.04%K -7.44%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-04 13:44
TABtouch🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -16.10%E -4.95%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.83%EV -6.06%E -3.03%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-04 12:39
LiveScore Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.40%EV -16.10%E -4.95%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.20%EV -7.47%E -3.79%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.40%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-04 12:39
Virgin Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.40%EV -16.10%E -4.95%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.20%EV -7.47%E -3.79%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.40%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-04 12:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -16.10%E -4.95%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.33%EV -7.94%E -4.05%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-04 12:39
Sky Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -16.10%E -4.95%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -6.06%E -3.03%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -15.63%E -5.04%K -7.44%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-04 14:30
PMU (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 27.59%EV -19.97%E -6.44%K -9.51%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 45.26%EV -11.23%E -5.94%K -12.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.15%EV -14.27%E -4.53%K -6.64%G +0.000%16.9%2026-09-04 12:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎3.95I 25.32%NM 25.04%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86%1.1%2026-09-04 14:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.95I 25.32%NM 24.93%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.74%1.6%2026-09-04 14:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.95I 25.32%NM 24.93%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.74%1.6%2026-09-04 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.95I 25.32%NM 24.93%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.74%1.6%2026-09-04 14:25
Kalshi◎3.85I 25.97%NM 25.46%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.05%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%2.0%2026-09-04 14:25
Smarkets◎3.85I 25.97%NM 25.41%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.03%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.56%2.2%2026-09-04 14:35