Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.70
assuming max odds 2.81
assuming max odds 3.64
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Juárez (Local): 36.29%; Monterrey (Visit): 36.91%; Draw: 26.80%. For Monterrey (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.71. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.81, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.71%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.54%EV -10.35%E -4.19%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.87%EV +3.71%E +1.32%K +2.05%G +0.076% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.59%EV -7.55%E -2.19%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-14 02:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%EV -5.63%E -2.17%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30%EV -0.346%E -0.128%K -0.204%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -8.89%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-13 15:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%EV -5.63%E -2.17%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30%EV -0.346%E -0.128%K -0.204%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -8.89%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-13 15:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -4.54%E -1.73%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.64%EV -2.56%E -0.970%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.58%EV -2.46%E -0.676%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-14 02:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.06%EV -7.45%E -2.92%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.79%EV -2.56%E -0.970%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.15%EV -6.75%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-14 02:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -9.26%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.25%EV -2.93%E -1.11%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -10.23%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-13 15:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -9.26%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.25%EV -2.93%E -1.11%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -10.23%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-13 15:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -9.26%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.25%EV -2.93%E -1.11%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -10.23%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-13 15:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -9.26%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.25%EV -2.93%E -1.11%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -10.23%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-13 15:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -9.26%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.25%EV -2.93%E -1.11%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -10.23%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-13 15:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -9.26%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.25%EV -2.93%E -1.11%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -10.23%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-13 15:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -9.26%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.25%EV -2.93%E -1.11%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -10.23%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-13 15:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.75%EV -2.00%E -0.742%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.13%EV -4.04%E -1.55%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.12%EV -4.60%E -1.29%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-14 02:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.75%EV -2.00%E -0.742%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.13%EV -4.04%E -1.55%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.12%EV -4.60%E -1.29%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-14 02:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -9.26%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -4.04%E -1.55%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -11.57%E -3.51%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-13 15:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.27%EV -4.91%E -1.87%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.26%EV -5.88%E -2.31%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.47%EV -3.80%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-14 02:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.34%EV -5.63%E -2.17%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.05%EV -5.88%E -2.31%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -4.87%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-14 02:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -7.45%E -2.92%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -5.88%E -2.31%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.21%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 02:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -5.63%E -2.17%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -5.88%E -2.31%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.89%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 02:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -5.63%E -2.17%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -5.88%E -2.31%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.89%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 02:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.55%EV -9.99%E -4.03%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.55%EV -5.88%E -2.31%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -12.91%E -3.97%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-13 15:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.55%EV -9.99%E -4.03%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.55%EV -5.88%E -2.31%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -12.91%E -3.97%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-13 15:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.03%EV -11.80%E -4.86%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.29%EV -5.88%E -2.31%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -12.91%E -3.97%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-13 15:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.47%EV -7.81%E -3.08%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 36.61%EV -6.62%E -2.62%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 26.93%EV -7.82%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-14 02:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.47%EV -7.81%E -3.08%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 36.61%EV -6.62%E -2.62%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 26.93%EV -7.82%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-14 02:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.68%EV -8.54%E -3.39%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 36.53%EV -6.62%E -2.62%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -7.55%E -2.19%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-14 02:43 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.08%EV -6.36%E -2.46%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.94%EV -6.99%E -2.77%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -7.55%E -2.19%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-14 02:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.08%EV -6.36%E -2.46%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.94%EV -6.99%E -2.77%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -7.55%E -2.19%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-14 02:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.63%E -2.17%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.73%E -3.09%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -6.21%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 02:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.63%E -2.17%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.73%E -3.09%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -6.21%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 02:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -5.63%E -2.17%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -7.73%E -3.09%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -8.89%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 02:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.41%EV -9.26%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.41%EV -7.73%E -3.09%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -10.23%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-14 02:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -11.08%E -4.52%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -7.73%E -3.09%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -8.89%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-14 02:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.26%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -7.73%E -3.09%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -11.57%E -3.51%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-14 02:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.93%EV -13.62%E -5.72%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.16%EV -7.73%E -3.09%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.91%EV -15.59%E -4.95%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-13 15:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -9.26%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -9.57%E -3.91%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -6.21%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-14 02:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -9.26%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -9.57%E -3.91%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -6.21%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-14 02:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.26%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -9.57%E -3.91%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -8.89%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-14 02:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -11.08%E -4.52%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -9.57%E -3.91%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -11.57%E -3.51%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-14 02:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -11.08%E -4.52%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -9.57%E -3.91%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -11.57%E -3.51%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-14 02:14 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -11.08%E -4.52%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -9.57%E -3.91%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -14.25%E -4.45%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-03-14 02:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -4.91%E -1.87%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -11.42%E -4.76%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -6.21%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-14 02:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.04%EV -11.08%E -4.52%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.79%EV -11.42%E -4.76%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -12.91%E -3.97%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-14 02:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.04%EV -11.08%E -4.52%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.79%EV -11.42%E -4.76%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -12.91%E -3.97%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-14 02:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.04%EV -11.08%E -4.52%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.79%EV -11.42%E -4.76%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -12.91%E -3.97%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-14 02:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.04%EV -11.08%E -4.52%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.79%EV -11.42%E -4.76%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -12.91%E -3.97%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-14 02:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.84%EV -12.89%E -5.37%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.15%EV -12.16%E -5.11%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.01%EV -8.89%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-14 02:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.53%EV -12.89%E -5.37%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.30%EV -13.26%E -5.64%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.17%EV -10.23%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-14 02:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 35.52%EV -10.35%E -4.19%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 37.65%EV -14.00%E -6.01%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 26.83%EV -12.38%E -3.78%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-14 02:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.80%EV -12.89%E -5.37%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.35%EV -15.11%E -6.57%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.85%EV -14.25%E -4.45%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-03-14 02:40 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.39% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49% | 1.0% | 2026-03-14 02:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.39% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49% | 1.0% | 2026-03-14 02:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.39% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49% | 1.0% | 2026-03-14 02:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.39% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49% | 1.0% | 2026-03-14 02:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.19% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.46% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.35% | 1.6% | 2026-03-14 02:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.91% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.88% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.21% | 3.1% | 2026-03-14 02:50 |